Woodbine Mohawk Park: Friday 2/14 Analysis

Meet Stats – 160 – 532 / $892.40 (-$171.60)
Best Bets – 21 – 52 / $67.00 (- $37.00)
Spot Plays – 10 – 52 / $76.10 (-$27.90)
Best Bet – COUSIN MARY – (1ST)
Spot Play – PATRICKS COOKIE – (8TH)
Early Pick 5 – 2/5/3,7,8/2,3,6,8/4,5,7,9 = $9.60
Late Pick 5 – 2,4/4,6,10/2,8,9/1,4,5,7/6 = $14.40
Early Pick 4 – 2,3,6,8/5,7/2,4/4,6,10 = $48
Late Pick 4 – 4,6,10/2,8,9/1,4,5,7/6 = $48

Race 1 – F&M NW $6,800 L5 or $15,300 L10 or NW $65,000 LT AE: OPT CLM $18,000 - **GTD $75,000 Pick 5**

(2) COUSIN MARY will be heavily backed here on the class drop, but this really is a spot where she should convert with little trouble. Expect J Harris aggression. (4) SPORTY TORI gets Filion listed here and she is capable of much better than she showed last week; Exacta factor. (1) PRETTY HOT will probably get ignored at the windows as usual and she is worth a look for the exotics here. (5) OUR VACATION will be passing horses and she should land in the Tri or Super.

Race 2- NW $6,200 L5 or $13,000 L10 AE: OPT CLM $20,000

(5) MAJOR MUSCLE was crying out for room in the lane last week, but there was none to be had. He gets to drop here, and he should boss this group. (1) OH SO PINE is also in a better spot here and he should improve. (9) SHES GOT PIZAZZ is in great form currently and starting from the 9-hole, she can boost the exotic payoffs here. (10) HIGHLAND DYNAMITE blew up at the start and still won but these are much tougher; small share predicted for her.

Race 3 – 5YO and Younger NW2 or $15,400 LT

(3) DARTH FADER was phenomenal last week. Anything close to a repeat likely means the rest are racing for second. (8) LETS GET PICKLED has shown some grit racing uncovered on the rim and advancing throughout the mile and now he gets a trainer change. He is one to consider as an upsetter here. (7) COMANCHE CREEK will be passing horses late and he should be used on the bottom of the Tri and Super. (1) EXCELLENT NATION gets his nose back on the gate and he should be able top work out a good trip to land a share.

Race 4 – WINE & ROSES TROTTING SERIES - FINAL – 3&4 YEAR 4 OLD FILLIES & MARES – Pick 4

(6) NORTHERN ROYALE was picked off very late after setting an even pace last week. I look for Filion to try to flee the scene on the final turn of this stakes final. (2) CLUB BELVEDERE made two moves to beat the choice and he should be the main danger here. (8) CORNERSTONE has the look of a possible upsetter, and you know his price will be good starting from out there; using. (3) VILLEFRANCHE AS is capable of better and she should hit the ticket this time.

Race 5 – NW $3,000 L5 or $7,000 L10

(5) SOUTHWIND ION was raced uncovered on the rim for an eternity last week and she advanced past most of the field before tiring. She can get a much better trip here; top call. (7) JAN fits well vs. these and she looks well prepared for her 2020 debut. Expect a Hudon speed blast here. (4) TURBO DIVA has been close at this level several times and she should be part of this Trifecta. (9) MADDYS CREDIT will be coming late again but she may be too far back after starting from the 9-hole; your call.

Race 6 – F&M NW $6,800 L5 or $15,300 L10 or NW $65,000 LT AE:OPT CLM $18,000- Late Pick 5

(4) TWIN B TIPSTER moved first up into a slow middle 1/2 which made things tough on her last week. Making her third start back in a good spot here she can convert, and her price should be better. (2) MISS MADY beat better two starts back and she is the logical mare to beat here. (7) CHARMBO BRIE stacks up well vs. these and she could pose a big threat if she stays flat this time. (6) TAKEYOURBREATHAWAY is racing well right now and Henry is a good partner for her; using underneath.

Race 7 – F&M NW $10,200 L5 or $20,000 L10 or NW $75,000 LT AE: OPT CLM $25,000

(4) JUST HER LUCK was too far back last week but she closed well to get close at the wire. She should start quicker here and get into the flow earlier; slight nod in a contentious dash with several options. (10) LADY ROCKNROLLA A can get another good trip here as she shoots for a second straight win in this class and she should be right there again. (6) INVERSE HANOVER was picked off late by a sharp mare in what was a solid effort and she figures here despite the class rise. (3) SO LONG DARLING is another sharp mare in with a shot in a race that will likely come down to trip.

Race 8 – F&M CLM HDCP $15,000 to $18,000 for NW $75,000 LT

(9) PATRICKS COOKIE was loaded with pace in the lane last week but couldn’t find a way through. I don’t love that she drew the 9-hole again, but you know price will be there and I’ll take a swing with her in this spot hoping she can get put into the flow this time. (8) AKITA BAYAMA raced well from this post last week and she should be a threat again. (2) MONEYMAKEHERSMILE rarely misses the board and she should be in the mix again starting from a good post. (1) KWANTUM KEY probably fits better in this conditioned claimer and she could wake up in this spot after qualifying well for this; consider for the exotics.

Race 9 – F&M 5YO and Younger NW3 or $50,000

(4) BACK IN THE GAME has a good chance to control this race on the front end and she’s the one to beat here. (1) VINTAGE WHEY has developed a nice closing kick, but she needs to be mindful of the choice getting away from her. (5) SUGAR SHADOW is capable of better and she will probably leave quicker here. She is an exotics factor. (7) ALLY ELIZABETH was held up until very late, but she still rolled by easily. These are tougher but she should be a factor.

Race 10 – NW $3,000 L5 or $10,000 L9

(6) DAWSON SPRINGS takes a big class drop here and he should take beating against this group. (2) HEAD TURNING JAG was close last time he raced this low and he should get put into play by Henry leaving the gate; using. (5) GREAT MAGIC never gets bet, but he can land a spot in the Tri or Super here again racing close to the front. (8) MUSICAL SPELL is another who rarely takes action and he could sneak into the picture late at a price. (7) CANTABERNET is worth a look off his most recent qualifier.