Woodbine Mohawk Park: Friday 12/13 Analysis

Meet Stats – 78 – 246 / $440.20 (-$51.80)
Best Bets – 11 – 24 / $36.50 (- $11.50)
Spot Plays – 3 – 24 / $29.20 (-$18.80)
Best Bet - YOUAREMYCANDYGIRL – (9TH)
Spot Play - HIGH ROLLING A – (5TH)
Pick 5 - 4,6/4,5/1,7/3,5/1,2,3 = $9.60
Early Pick 4 - 3,5/1,2,3/7,8,10/7,8,9 = $54
Late Pick 4 - 7,8,9/5,9,10/7/6,9,10 = $27
Race 1 - 4YO and Younger NW2 or $26,000 - **GTD $50,000 Pick 5**
(4) J M MANDAMIN produced a big first-over effort to win last time and he is in peak form now; call to repeat. (6) POGEY BEACH was a good second to a strong winner and he is the main threat. (3) MILLENIUM SEELSTER - third to the choice last time - should hit the board again. (2) GOOD AND SWEET gets his nose back on the gate here and he can improve with an anticipated better trip.
Race 2 - NW 5 (F&M7) or $87,500 LT
(4) JUMPSHOT couldn't stay with the chalk late last time, but that was a good effort and he looks best here. (5) VENUS DUHARAS exits a fast race where she couldn't bridge the gap late. She remains a viable contender in this spot. (2) HP TITANIA RUNNER doesn't have the same zip that she had in stakes season, but she can close for a share here. (1) ROYAL ESTEEM was used up early last week. She can get a better trip here and land in the Super.
Race 3 - F&M 4YO and Younger NW1 or $8,200 LT
(7) LADYLIKE drops back to the level where she came close to winning two starts back and she has a good shot in here. (1) SAUBLE DELIGHTFUL rates highly on paper, but this is her 13th try and she is likely to get pounded at the windows. I'll use her in the Pick 5 but wouldn't take a short win price. (6) HALLSGLENMAVIS is another who drops back to the level where she raced best. She can close for a share here. (2) BIG NARANCIA raced well last week and she should be in the hunt for another share here.
Race 4 - F&M CLM $15,000 for NW $65,000 LT - **GTD $50,000 Pick 4**
(5) K J ALISON was never threatened last week, winning in a romp. She gets the call to repeat off that effort. (3) CAFE SOCIETY gets off the worst post and she should be the main danger to the choice. (6) AUDI BAYAMA has been in solid form for a while and she should come on late for another share here. (7) HIGHMOON SUNSHINE comes off a nice closing effort; consider for the bottom of the exotics.
Race 5 - F&M NW $10,000 L5 or NW $20,000 L10 or NW $65,000 LT AE: OPT CLM $25,000
(1) HIGH ROLLING A was game in defeat last week, getting nailed in the very last step. She can make amends here. (2) DEB should go better in this second start back and she can sit a nice trip racing near the front; using. (3) LADY ROCKNROLLA A - stablemate to the choice - was sharp in her local debut but this assignment looks a bit tougher; using underneath. (10) CHARMBO BRIE should get a good trip here starting behind the choice and she should be good for a share.
Race 6 - NW 3 (F&M5) or $40,000 (F&M $50,000) LT
(7) HOLDIN ACES raced very well in his Mohawk Park debut and he looks best here; top call. (8) LEFKADA finished right with the choice and she retains driver Roy here; the main danger. (10) REFI looked good winning at Flamboro on Sunday and he's in with a shot here. (1) CAREY ON should be good for a share starting from the inside here.
Race 7 - CLM HDCP $12,000 to $15,000 - Pick 4
(7) CASIMIR OVERDRIVE gets claimed every week - probably because he finishes in the top two 50% of the time - and he looks best here. (8) MISTER GODRO moved up off the claim last week and he is dangerous here. (9) ZEN DA BALLYKEEL races off the Auciello claim here which continues to be a potent angle; using. (4) WOO SHARK is another one that races off the claim; consider for the exotics.
Race 8 - F&M NW $3,300 L5 or $7,800 L10
Class dropper (10) THIS DRAGON ROCKS won at a level higher than this six starts back and she should be tough in here. (5) SPRINGBRIDGEVISION raced better last time and she drops again; using. (9) PRETTY HOT is usually dangerous at this level and Ryan should be sending her hard leaving the gate; price look. (2) TAKEYOURBREATHAWAY was sharp last week but she may have trouble with all the class droppers here.
Race 9 - F&M PREFERRED HANDICAP
(7) YOUAREMYCANDYGIRL excelled racing in this company before she left to go south for a race. She should be hard to beat here. (6) KENDALL SEELSTER has also been racing extremely well and she beat the top males here two starts back. She should be the main threat. (5) DOUBLE A MINT raced well all last winter and she should be heard from here but may be best used underneath. (3) SO MUCH MORE is sharp as a tack, but these are much tougher, and a small share is likely.
Race 10 - CLM HDCP $8,000 to $10,000
(6) E L WILD SPIRIT raced hard setting then chasing strong fractions last time and he gets the nod here in a race with several possibilities. (10) STELIOS drops one level and he may make an early move here once he gets clearance; using. (9) OUTLAW GUNPOWDER is on a roll and hard to leave out despite drawing the worst post. (8) BUDDHA BLUE CHIP is in good form and he should pass a few of these to make it into the High-5. (2) MYBROTHERGEORGE should be flying late again to take a slice.