Woodbine Mohawk Park: Friday 11/2 Analysis
Best Bet: SAND ARTIST (3rd)
Spot Play: KAOTIC (5th)
Race 1 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool
Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool
PICK 5: 3,7,8/10/5/1,2,8,9/1,5,6,9,10 = $12
EARLY PICK 4: 2,8,9/1,5,9,10/3,4,9/1 = $36
LATE PICK 4: 1,9/4,7/1,2/5,8,9 = $24
FINAL CHAMPIONSHIP MEET STATS: 423 - 1293 / $2,354.30
BEST BETS: 70 - 116 / $246.60
SPOT PLAYS: 37 - 115 / $227.40
Race 1
(7) LADY ORB changed hands after her most recent race now she comes up tagged here is a spot where she should do well if nothing's amiss; top call. (3) ANDERSON SEELSTER fits well here on class, but it's hard to know what to do with her coming off a break after dropping to this class. I'll use her in the Pick 5. (8) NOMATTERWHEN comes off a solid try in this class and is one of few with some decent form; using. (5) TEN CARAT can close for a small share again.
Race 2
(10) ESA looks obvious here off his last very good start. Because I can't find any that look like they might beat him, I'll single him, 10-hole and all. (3) SOUTHWIND SPARTAN closed okay without threatening last week. His form is improving, and he can complete this exacta. (2) VENICE should be well-placed early, and he should stick around for a slice. (1) SPELL BOUNDER K should be passing some of these late and he can round out the Tri or Super.
Race 3
(5) SAND ARTIST was hopelessly blocked with pace until the final few strides which was too late for her to catch the leader last week. Assuming Henry will be more aggressive here, I'll single her in this Pick 5. (6) LOVELY DONNA was just behind the choice last time and she is a logical alternative here. (7) RUE HANOVER was closing late in that same race. She's worth a look for the exotics. (1) WALTZING WITH TINA is worth a look on the barn change and getting class relief.
Race 4
(2) FOOT SOLDIER absolutely exploded at the head of the lane last week and he could get the same great trip here; call to repeat. (8) P H HIPPIE comes west with good form and goes for Moreau and Roy. He should be a factor right away. (9) HES GOT SWAGGER has been lights out at Flamboro, but those races are against much easier and I'm not willing to take a short price on him here. (1) DELOREAN SEELSTER blew up the tote board last time. He can close for a slice here.
Race 5
(1) KAOTIC moves inside which may be all she needs to post a mild upset here. (5) COSETTE couldn't keep pace despite coming her own final 1/4 in 27 4/5 last time. She should be tough in this spot moving to the middle of the gate. (9) FRESH EYES closed a big gap late last time. She's worth a look here. (10) SWEET TOUJOURS had a decent comeback race with a 27 1/5 kicker. She could be a sneaky longshot in here.
Race 6
(4) MISTER MUSCLE gets a big barn and driver change here so he gets my nod. (9) ETRUSCAN HANOVER has stayed flat for driver Young three times straight. If he trots, he is an obvious threat here. (3) WINNING LYRIC improved with the drop to this class. He's a threat here starting from a better slot. (5) DEWEYKEEPUMNWHY rarely wins, but he is a good bet to hit the Super in this field.
Race 7
(1) SANDBETWEENURTOES missed a month between starts now she returns in a week. Sharp improvement is expected. (9) REQUEST FOR PAROLE is as good as she gets right now and even from the worst post she should be a threat here. (4) WINDSONMAGNIFIQUE is another at the top of her game who should take at least a share here. (7) EXHILARATED didn't get her trip last time but she did come on in the stretch. She can share here.
Race 8
(4) JIMS GREAT was visually impressive vaulting past the leaders last week and I'll stick with him here. (7) I REFUSE TO LOSE lived up to his name down the lane and that was a sharp effort; using. (9) MISSION THREE may adopt a closing style here and if the pace is solid, he's in with a shot at a price. (5) BIT OF LUCK has hit the board in 75% of his starts; consider using underneath.
Race 9
(2) TOBINS TERROR was flying late last week and the major post improvement gives her every chance here; top call. (1) SLY ELEANOR N got the jump on the choice but that was a strong effort and she figures right back. (5) ONLY ONE STAR beat lesser with the benefit of some soft fractions. A small share seems likely for her this time. (3) MOLLIE Z TAM is worth a look for the exotics shipping in with two good qualifiers.
Race 10
(5) SHEZAREALDEAL drops a level and moves to a better post. She can beat these if she gets put into the race. (8) BUTTERMILK HANOVER went a long trip last week vs. better. She could be a live overlay in here. (9) ACTION MAJESTY drops and adds Lasix; expect improvement. (4) JUST HER LUCK was picked off very late last time and she should be in the hunt here. (1) MS MAC N CHEESE should get another decent trip here and she can share.