Woodbine Mohawk Park: Friday 10/19 Analysis
Best Bet: THE JOY LUCK CLUB (7th)
Spot Play: FOR THE RECORD (6th)
Race 1 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool
Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool
PICK 5: 2,5/2,6/2,5,6,7/2,5,9/3,8 = $19.20
EARLY PICK 4: 2,5,9/3,8/1,5,6/6,8 = $36
LATE PICK 4: 6,8/5,9/2,5,6/3,5,8 = $36
MEET STATS: 400 - 1243 / $2,263.90 BEST BETS: 66 - 110 / $232.00
SPOT PLAYS: 36 - 109 / $222.90
Race 1
(5) HELLO LOVE continues to roll right along, and this is another winnable spot for her; top call. (2) MACHNHOPE had an eventful trip last week and still finished 2nd to the choice; using. (3) TAKEYOURBREATHAWAY parlayed two nice trips into wins and she's not out of this as she may be able to work out another good journey leaving from the inside here. (1) SHARKS SUMMRSHANDY is another sharp filly who should have a say in this very contentious opener to the Pick 5.
Race 2
(2) STRYKING DOVE has been racing well in lower classes out of town but this isn't the toughest spot and she could do here if she can work out a reasonable trip. (6) UPTOWN WOMAN will likely get sent by Henry here and she could take these a long way if she clears early. (5) I C ANATSRO takes slices in more than half of her races this year; consider using underneath. (4) NASTY RUMOUR has faced better here in the past. Maybe a return to the big track can wake her up a bit.
Race 3
(6) TIKI TAKA made a big move and looked a winner last week, but he was nailed late in a good effort. He looks best here. (5) SCOTTIES SPIRIT has been on a tear at Flamboro and she should fit well here; using. (2) JILONA should go better here if she can trip out near the front. She has upset possibilities. (8) AVUNCULAR was victim of several lead changes last time. If he makes front early here, he could be in store for a better fate.
Race 4
(5) ROLL WITH SPARKY took a lot of money at the windows last week then was passively driven. She could beat these with a more aggressive steer. (9) LAY LADY LAY was overtaken late by two tough mares and she is sharp and dangerous vs. these. (2) TWENTY THREE RED steps up off a sharp win, but she isn't out of place here and she can contend. (4) HOT SPOT HANOVER did all the work and was overtaken by the mare that followed her. She should contend for at least a slice here.
Race 5
(3) HLDONTGHTTOYURDRMS wastes no time getting back in action following a decent effort on Monday night; slight nod. (8) WINNING LYRIC takes a big class drop and he will likely be a big chalk here. I'm not sure I'd take odds-on with him starting from out there. (2) WHOSGOINGTOCATCHUS should go better here moving inside; consider for exotics. (1) LIAM NEEDSOME is another who might sneak onto the Superfecta ticket with the move inside.
Race 6
(1) FOR THE RECORD came to life as expected last week now she moves inside where she should start better. She should be a good price here, too; slight nod. (5) QUINTS DREAM is sure to get pounded here off her good try vs. Percy Blue Chip in the Superfinals but she has proven unreliable in these spots in the past; your call. (6) LADY GRANDE can be dangerous here if she blasts and sits a trip near the front; beware. (7) SHE CAN PARTY passed them all last time, but these are tougher and she's likely to finish on the edges here.
Race 7
(8) THE JOY LUCK CLUB powered past them all last week and her sub-27 kicker should play well here, too; call to repeat. (6) WINDSONGMAGNIFIQUE stalked and overcame some swift fractions. She remains a sharp and dangerous contender. (2) REQUEST FOR PAROLE is going well right now for a hot barn and this classy mare can't be counted out in this spot. (5) DON'T STOP BELIEVIN hasn't missed the exacta in five races and while this looks like a tougher spot, she may still be the one to catch.
Race 8
(9) MEADOWBRANCH MEMO keeps getting bet and following a much better effort last week, tonight may be his night. (5) JAKE was beaten by a rival that needed to trot to a new life's mark to do it. He should be tough right back. (7) MARQUIS VOLO figures in this class, but he is usually coming too late. I'll use him underneath. (1) DOTTIE steps up off her only win of the year and she will likely finish on the edges in this class.
Race 9
(5) BEACH BAR was live last week, and she steps up off that sharp win, but she should be up to it; top call. (6) OXFORD COMMA was a narrow loser in this class two starts back; using. (2) SHADOW WORLD also drops a level and she should be in the hunt in this small field. (3) IVESEENTHEFUTURE should be good to round out the Tri or Super.
Race 10
(5) AUDREYS DREAM comes back quick off a sharp win for a hot barn and he gets my nod here. (3) FOOL ME ONCE took a mark of 1:51 1/5 here already this year and he fits this class well. He's a must-use for me in the late Pick 4. (8) UF BETTORS HANOVER was a good 2nd to the choice and he could mow them all down if the late pace slows. (7) HIGHLANDBEACHYCOVE will pepper the pace early and likely hang around for a share. (9) BIG YELLOW is capable of threatening at a price from out there; consider for exotics.