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Woodbine Harness

Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Wednesday Evening 12/23

Garnet Barnsdale|Dec 22, 2020
Mohawk Logo 1.5

Meet Stats: 382 – 1243 / $2,200.90 (-$329.10)
Best Bets: 62 – 113 / $199.40 (-$26.60)
Spot Plays: 24 - 116 / $194.10 (-$39.10)
Best Bet:
DUNBAR HALL (8TH)
Spot Play: STATE OF MIND (12TH)
Early Pick 5: 3,7,10/5,7,9/2,8/2,5,8/10 = $10.80
Late Pick 5: 4,9,10/1,4,7/1/3,8/3,6 = $7.20
Early Pick 4: 2,5,8/10/4,9,10/1,4,7 = $27
Late Pick 4: 3,8/3,6/2,6,8/8 = $12

Race 1: 4YO and Younger NW1 or $7,000 LT **$100,000 Pick 5**

(7) DAY AT THE GYM, a $40,000 Lexington purchase, qualified well enough on 12/18 to contend here at first asking despite facing elders. This isn't the toughest spot and I'll roll with him in the opener. (10) FORTUNE TELLERS K comes off a nice effort and on paper he's the choice's main rival but he'll need to work out a trip starting from the second tier. (3) FINANCIAL DAY is sure-gaited and he has tactical speed and that makes him a contender in this field. (5) THE PRINCE took some money in his debut but broke at the start. He may round out the Tri or Super if he stays flat this week.

[DRF HARNESS: Get Harness Eye PPs for this card]

Race 2: CLAIMING $8,000

(5) SPORTSMANSHIP qualified faster than most of these race and even though this is only his second start of 2020 Auciello may have him ready now off that effort; top call. Veteran (9) NEEDLECREST has been racing great out of town and this race may not be that tougher; using. (7) H P PATRIOTE gets his nose back on the gate here and races in a claimer for the second straight time. He is worth a look at a price in this spot. (3) FIRST CAR should show speed and hang around for a share again.

[DRF BETS: Wager on tonight's Mohawk Park card at DRF Bets.com!]

Race 3: 4YO and Younger NW2 (F&M 3) or $20,000 (F&M $25,000)

(8) HP STARLETTE got rolling too late last week after getting a slow start from the rail post. The 8-hole is likely better for her and I expect some early Roy aggression tonight; top call. (2) OXFORD HALL is in an easier NW2 race here and he should be heard from in this spot. (10) TUCKERS OUT has some of the best current form but with a 1 for 27 record I'd need a price to back him in the win pool. (4) TRAVELLER can sit a trip and pass a few of these late to sneak into the Super.

Race 4: CLAIMING HANDICAP $15,000 to $20,000 - Pick 4

(5) LEADER TONIGHT comes off two brutal parked jobs in a row now he draws a much better post and he has a decent chance to clear this time which would probably make him tough to beat. (2) PRINT MEDIA gets Filion back here and that makes him a contender in this spot; using. (8) STATE OF PLAY is in solid form now and he should be passing horses late again; using underneath. (7) MOSSIES ART is another who will be rolling late that merits a look for the exotics.

Race 5: NW $3,000 L5 or $7,000 L10

(10) ISITFRIDAYYET makes his third start back, drops and likely pops vs. these. (2) PREMIER JOY A got a speed tightener in at Flamboro the other night. He could go a long way on the engine here. (5) AREUKIDDINMECABBIE produced a nice late burst last week and that could be a signal he is sitting on a top effort. I'll use him on multi-race tickets. (3) MIKEY CAMDEN is a shipper that is worth a look and the tote board might provide some clues with this one.

Race 6: NW3 (F&M5) or $45,000 (F&M $56,250) LT - Pick 5

(10) SHESWILDNFREE has been dominant recently and only the 10-hole can get her beat here. (4) GAB IN MOTION comes off a strong win and he is the logical alternative to the choice. (9) JULA SHES MAGIC should provide a strong early pace and she could get brave if unchallenged for long. I prefer to use her underneath but she isn't impossible. (6) QUESO FRESCO merits a look for the bottom of the Tri and Super coming out of a decent qualifier.

Race 7: NW $5,200 L5 or $11,500 L10

(7) RADLEY HANOVER faces tougher here but he is hot and Henry is driving him with a lot of confidence; call to threepeat. (1) DREAMFAIR MOXY produced a strong late burst last week and he can be right there tonight if he lays a bit closer early. (4) AMERICAN VIRGIN had an impossible trip last week now he gets major post relief and he is another that makes sense in this field. (10) SAMS A CHAMP A should pass many of these in the back 1/2 and land in the Tri or Super.

Race 8: NW $3,000 L5 or $7,000 L10

This is the weakest field (1) DUNBAR HALL has faced all year and although I don't love the 1-hole for him, he should be tough to beat in this spot if he stays flat. (5) XTATIC HANOVER is another who should fit better here and I can see him rounding out this Exacta. (6) ABC MUSCLES BOY wasn't far back in his first race over this track and in this field, he should contend for a share. (4) LAZZARO is another who is worth a look for the exotics making his second start over this track.

[DRF BETS: Wager on tonight's Mohawk Park card at DRF Bets.com!]

Race 9: 4YO and Younger NW2 or $30,000 LT - Pick 4

(8) WINDSUN AZAR brings identical 26 4/5 kickers into this race from his past two starts and if he is in striking range at the 3/4 pole, he will be hard to hold off tonight. (3) GIDDY UP MAX has really hit his best stride in the Moreau barn and he should be the main danger; using. (2) LYONS LIBERTY should improve exiting the Harvest series. I can see him rounding out the Tri here. (4) MAKE IT COME TRUE should be passing horses late again and he should be part of the exotics in this spot.

Race 10: F&M CLAIMING $15,000 for NW $50,000 LT

This race is likely a coin flip between (6) WANNASHAKEYOURTREE and (3) VILLAGE ARTIST who were 1-2 in this class last week. I'll give a slight nod to the former who has the better post but use both on multi-race tickets. (5) SMOKE N REACTOR N goes from a claiming handicap to a conditioned claimer but this is no easy spot; smaller share predicted. (4) POWERED BY MACH comes off an improved effort and she should be in the mix again.

Race 11: NW $5,000 L5 or $10,000 L10

(2) IM THE MUSCLE takes a big class plunge here and Roy likely will be looking to send him right down the road; top call. (8) NOTHING BUT MUSCLE is also in an easier spot here and he should be the one the choice will need to repel late. (6) FLY BEYOND comes off a couple of aggressive tries that didn't work out so he may look to find a helmet to follow here. He could land in the Tri tonight. (10) TRIX AND STONES is another who should be passing horses late and he is worth a look here for the exotics.

Race 12: F&M 4YO and Younger NW2 or $15,000 LT

(8) STATE OF MIND looks to stay unbeaten here and this spot looks no tougher than last week's. She should be hard to get past. (9) LAINIE HANOVER's 12/18 qualifier signals readiness and she can be an exotics factor here at what should be a square price. (7) TWIN B DREAM GIRL’s recent Flamboro form puts her in the mix here and her potent gate speed should help her get position early; using underneath. (4) TRIZZLE TRAZZLE should be able to get a slice here if she is sharp enough coming off a sick scratch. (1) SAULSBROOK FLASHY can sit a nice trip here and sneak into the High-5 at a price.

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