Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Tuesday 9/7

Meet Stats: 212 – 611 / $1,136.20 (-$85.80)

Best Bets: 30 – 56 / $110.10 (-$1.90)

Spot Plays: 18 – 56 / $141.30 (+$29.30)

Best Bet: YARIS SEELSTER (5TH)

Spot Play: RACING FORTHE MARK (9TH)

Early Pick 5: 2,3,5/3,5/1,4/2,4,6,8/3 = $9.60

Late Pick 5: 5,8,9/1,8,9/9,10/2,6/1,5,6 = $21.60

Early Pick 4: 2,4,6,8/3/5,8,9/1,8,9 = $48

Late Pick 4: 1,8,9/9,10/2,6/1,5,6 = $36

Race 1: 2YO Fillies NW1 or $15,000 LT **Guaranteed $100,000 Pick 5**

(2) GRACE started her career nicely then she ran into some gait issues. If she stays flat here, she should be tough to beat because she has shown she is clearly one of the fastest fillies in this race and her strong tactical speed gives her an advantage. (5) CLASSIC MAGIC drops out of Golds and she figures to move up sharply facing maidens again; using. (3) SILVER DIAMOND improved last time for a top trotting barn and she should be the main danger here. She's the other one that I'll use in the Pick 5. (8) IRISH CHARM has improving form and she is worth a look for the bottom of the tri or Super.

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Race 2: 2YO Fillies NW1 or $15,000 LT

(3) FREE TO BE ME took a huge class jump into Grand Circuit company and she wasn't disgraced. Price is gone here but she should be tough in this spot. (5) QUEBECOISE looked good breaking her maiden for top connections and she should be the main threat tonight. (2) ONE LAST BET also drops out of a Grand Circuit race to face maidens and she did well in the Whenuwishuponastar series. She should get an aggressive Filion drive and she's not out of this. (1) EDEN HANOVER should be good for another small share racing from close range.

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Race 3: 4YO and Younger NW2 (F&M3) or $20,000 (F&M $30,000)

(1) WARRAWEE WELCOME raced much better last time when she led a Grassroots race to deep stretch. She is one of the best here and she will surely be bet down from her 6 to 1 morning line quote. (4) FUZZY ANGEL missed almost three weeks when she took a check in a Gold race and she should be tighter for this. She is the main danger and hard to leave out of the Pick 5. (8) ELBE might have the best late kick of any in here but she likely will be coming on belatedly to take another small share in this spot. (3) HOPE SO has strong tactical speed which should land her a good following trip and a spot in the bottom of the Tri or Super.

Race 4: 4YO and Younger NW2 or $18,000 - Pick 4

(8) BELIEVE IN BRIAN brings some sneaky good form back from Georgian Downs and he gets a driver upgrade here. He goes for a barn that can score at a big price and I'll take a swing with him looking for some Pick 5 value. (2) FLASH CUBE exits some very fast races where he wasn't disgraced and he should be heard from tonight in a spot where he fits much better. (4) CODYS WATCHING has a similar profile and he should wake up with a better effort tonight; using. (6) TAKE A GAMBLE was a maiden breaker in a nice effort over an off track but this is tougher; using underneath.

Race 5: CLAIMING HDCP $22,000 to $30,000

(3) YARIS SEELSTER raced out of his skin to take a new life's mark in his first start off the claim and he could be (1) MAINTENANCE MAN's kryptonite here as the latter seeks his fourth win in his past six starts and races off the claim for the sixth week straight. (9) SEA LAIRD will be coming with his usual late push but he could have too many to pass when he turns for home; using underneath. (8) JULERICA is another one that gets claimed virtually every week and he goes for a high percentage barn here. He is in the mix again but I prefer to use him underneath.

Race 6: 2YO NW2 or $27,000 LT - Pick 5

(9) MR FRITTER has earned $82K without winning a race by consistently being right there in stakes races every week. This should be his race to lose despite drawing wide. (5) MISCHIEVOUS ROSE was right there with an undefeated filly last time in a Gold race and she should be the one to hold off tonight; using. (8) KIPPER WHIPR SNIPR didn't beat much last week but he sure looked good doing it. He's not out of this but he could get overbet in this tougher spot. (2) CENTURY ISAIAH was going well before he tried Grand Circuit company. He's worth a look for the exotics tonight.

Race 7: 2YO NW $7,000 LT - Pick 4

(8) GREATEST ENDING was good in his debut now he picks up McClure for this second start. He should be tough in here. (9) D J SEELSTER was bought for close to $67K at the London Selected Sale, he is by the top sire and he goes for connections that have been on fire. He could add some value to multi-race tickets at first asking. (1) DREAMFAIR SUNSHINE finished with interest while under mild urging in his debut and he can improve enough to hit the board this week. (2) KOBRA KAI has been right there in both starts and there's no reason to think he won't be part of the Tri or Super again tonight.

Race 8: 4YO and Younger NW1 or $7,000 LT

(9) EMERALD WINGS left, took a tuck then re-rallied in a nice Grassroots effort. He has the gate speed to overcome this wide draw; top call. (10) ARLANDA looks next best but draws worst. I don't love using only the two widest posts on multi-race tickets, but that's how I will play it tonight. (1) STORM TROTTER got a check in Grassroots company and he finished well. He could improve here again and he isn’t impossible in this spot. (8) HANDSOME SEBASTIAN is in the mix every week but it's hard to love him on top at this point. He will be on the bottom of my Tris and Supers.

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Race 9: F&M 4YO and Younger NW2 or $27,500 LT

(2) RACING FORTHE MARK has been close to unbeatable racing through her conditions at Rideau Carlton. She is fast enough to beat these and he gets Roy in the bike; top call. (6) COUNTERCURRENCY left to get position then skimmed the pylons to blow up the tote board. Roy appears to have chosen the choice over this filly but she should be the main threat as she seeks the repeat. (8) P L ORCHID looks for a fourth straight win and her good tactical speed should put her in contention but these are tougher and I'll use her underneath. (3) BUMP IN THE ROAD races well for McNair and she should be in the exotics mix again.

Race 10: NW $3,000 L5 or $7,000 L10

This looks like a race where (5) ROYAL RENEGADE can sit until late in the lane then vault past the leaders; slight nod. (1) IDEAL JET is likely to be sent on a speed mission and he should be the one to catch when they turn for home; using. (6) NEED AROCKET is worth considering on the barn change to Budd and he should offer a big price here. (8) ST LADS FLIRT has come to life in his past two starts at Georgian Downs but he is unlikely to make front leaving this time. I'll use him underneath. (4) PRESTO SCORE can pass a few of these late and he is worth using in the exotics at a big price.