Woodbine Harness

Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Tuesday 9/28

Garnet Barnsdale|Sep 27, 2021

Meet Stats: 254 - 754 / $1,392.40 (-$115.60)

Best Bets: 37 - 69 / $133.30 (-$4.70)

Spot Plays: 20 - 70 / $148.30 (+$8.30)

Best Bet: BEACH GLASS (3RD)

Spot Play: FIRST CLASS HORSE (7TH)

Early Pick 5: 7,8,10/4,5,6/9/1,4,5/1,2,4 = $16.20

Late Pick 5: 4,5/5,10/6/1,2,3/1,5,8 = $7.20

Early Pick 4: 1,4,5/1,2,4/4,5/5,10 = $36

Late Pick 4: 5,10/6/1,2,3/1,5,8 = $18

Race 1: 2YO NW1 or $7,000 LT **Guaranteed $100,000 Pick 5**

(10) TAKE COMMAND took a lot of action last week for a horse coming off a break in stride and two sick scratches and he ended up fourth-over. He was moving well when they hit the wire and he can win this if he gets a reasonable trip. (7) RICKY RESOLVE was much better last week, finishing only a length behind the choice. He has post position advantage on the choice and he is worth a look for the Pick 5. (8) MUSCULUS MASSA is facing much easier here. Sharp improvement is likely and he should be an exotics factor tonight. (5) MR FIREWORKS trotted a 28 3/5 final 1/4 in his latest qualifier. That makes him worth a look for the exotics in this field.

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Race 2: 4YO and Younger NW2 or $18,500 LT AE: NW3 who are NA $1,400/start in 2021

I thought (6) KOUNT BLASTER raced decently on first time Lasix against the dominant Mappos Lion and he fits well here in what should be a much easier assignment; top call. (4) BELIEVE IN BRIAN made a late rush to finish ahead of the choice that night and he raced here Friday night where he didn't show much from an outer post. I can see him doing much better tonight; using. (5) GLOBAL CRUSH was solid beating maidens and he certainly isn't out of this. (7) THE LEGEND HANOVER has high speed in spots but he can be quirky, too. I'll use him on the bottom.

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Race 3: 2YO NW $7,700 LT

(9) BEACH GLASS looked like a monster pacing the lane without being asked as he dominated on debut and he gets the call to repeat, likely at another short price. (8) GREATEST ENDING raced well in defeat vs. a sharp foe and he should be an Exacta factor again today. (3) AINT HE SPECIAL raced well but he was no match for the choice in the stretch. He likely takes another share here. (1) DROPTHERAKEFREDDY was decent on debut and he is worth a look for the bottom of the exotics starting from the inside tonight.

Race 4: 4YO and Younger NW1 or $7,000 LT - Pick 4

(5) TREND trotted a nice back 1/2 into an accelerating pace and he can beat these if he gets put into the race earlier; top call. (4) DEAL WITH LUCUS is fast enough to beat these if he can stay flat but there is some obvious risk here. I wouldn't take a short price. (1) CALLISTO DREAM trotted a 28-flat third 1/4 last time and she continued on for 2nd. She is the third one that I'll use on multi-race tickets. (9) KRYPTONITE is likely to show speed and stick around for another small share.

Race 5: F&M NW $3,000 L5 or $8,300 L10

(1) BET ON BECKY will dominate these if she is even back to 80% of what she was last year. The September 21st qualifying effort indicates that she might be and I'll give her the nod. (2) GREYSTONE NATALI O raced well in her first start out of the Marfisi barn and I'll use her on multi-race tickets tonight. (4) NECTAR had a good trip last week but she was treading water in the lane racing in a monsoon. She is possible vs. these. (6) MACH MY KISS qualified okay for this and I can see her getting position early and riding a trip to a spot in the Tri or Super.

Race 6: ONTARIO SIRES STAKES GOLD 3YO FILLIES - Pick 5

The inside six fillies all exit a Grand Circuit race and of those (5) HP MAMA B was rolling before that race. She gets top billing here. (4) UP AND READY followed the choice and finished slightly ahead of her in that race. She could be a pocket rocket tonight; using. (2) IMEXTRASPECIAL beat the choice twice in the summer and she was close in the Casual Breeze. She's not out of this. (3) DASHING MUSCLE can improve enough to take a small share here.

Race 7: CLM HDCP $22,000 to $30,000 - Pick 4

(5) FIRST CLASS HORSE raced well twice in the top class at Flamboro and he figures to get a setup here in a spot where he fits well; top call. (10) QUAN BLUE CHIP has been dominant the past two weeks at this level but that won't last forever. What price will you accept tonight from the 10-hole? (7) LOVEMYROCKINBIRD is in the mix evert week and I'll use him underneath here. (1) STATE OF PLAY can close for another small share in this spot.

Race 8: 4YO and Younger NW2 (F&M3) or $27,500 (F&M $30,000) LT

(6) ITSTIMETOGOHOME took lots of action on the driver change to Macdonald last week and he converted. This spot is no tougher; call to repeat. (5) VALI HANOVER is capable of being closer if he can leave quicker and I'll use him in Exactas. (2) ARCH HALL raced well in the Prospect Series final Friday night and he can take a slice vs. these. (3) STORM TROTTER’s effort here two starts back puts him in contention for a share vs. these.

Race 9: NW $3,000 L5 or $7,000 L10

(1) GO WEST GO FAST should take control of this race before the 1/2 and he will likely be the one to catch; top call. (2) REVOLT raced well in the rain last week and he figures to be the one to hold off late; using. (3) LEGAL BETTOR was good racing off the claim as expected and he is another in with a shot here. (5) PREMIER JOY A can improve in this spot and he is one to consider for the exotics at a price.

Race 10: F&M 4YO and Younger NW2 or $21,500 LT

(1) FASTERTHANARUMOUR was sharp here winning in the rain here last week and she gets the call to repeat facing slightly tougher. (8) JUST DAISY raced well facing the same driving rain as the choice and she was closing ground late despite having to alter course deep in the lane. She has upset potential here. (5) WHISKEY TO WINE looked good winning at Flamboro but I prefer to use her underneath the top two choices. (3) POSTSCRIPT was interfered with before the start last time and refunded. She should take a share tonight. (2) QUICK SIX rarely missed a check racing at Yonkers and she should be part of the High-5.