Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Tuesday 9/15

Meet Stats: 220 - 694 / $1187.00 (-$201.00)
Best Bets: 34 - 62 / $113.50 (-$11.50)
Spot Plays: 11 - 64 / $85.30 (-$40..70)
Best Bet: NIGHTLIFE SEELSTER (9TH)
Spot Play: ITS HUW YOU KNOW (6TH)
Early Pick 5: 1,3,8/6,9/3,5,6/1,7/4,5,8 = $21,60
Late Pick 5: 6/1,4,5/1,3/3/2,4 = $2.40
Early Pick 4: 1,7/4,5,8/6/1,4,5 = $18
Late Pick 4: 1,3/3/2,4/3,6,9 = $12

Race 1: ONTARIO SIRES STAKES GRASSROOTS 2YO FILLIES **GTD $100,000 Pick 5**

(3) COME ON SUN shows a nice Grassroots race three starts back and getting back to this level should she her return to form; top call. (8) SIRI BLUE CHIP is another filly who has been facing mostly better and Team McNair excels in these Grassroots races; using. (1) CELIA BAYAMA's effort at Clinton after starting from the second tier was good and she is the third one that I am going to use in this Pick 5. (2) DOCS DELIGHT should improve moving off the 9-hole; using on the bottom.

Race 2: 4YO and Younger NW2 (F&M3) or $20,000 (F&M $25,000)

(9) NIMBUS DEO draws worst here but she has been impressive winning her past two starts and she gets top call. (6) MAGIC CAPE is an obvious contender coming off a close defeat in a Gold race, but she does face mixed company and elders and there is a Gold semi-final and Superfinal coming so she is no lock here. (3) TOCCOA FALLS is worth a look for the exotics following a couple of sharp qualifiers. (7) HEAVENSDOOR HANOVER has been racing well when he stays flat; using on the bottom.

Race 3: ONTARIO SIRES STAKES GRASSROOTS 2YO FILLIES

(6) SHIATZU SEELSTER has improved in her last two and while she is likely going to have her hands full with (3) CL SPORTSEXTREME who shows nothing but easy wins when racing in Grassroots company. (5) CONTROL THE THONG is capable if she stays flat and perhaps she didn't like the Clinton surface; using. (2) SHES A SASSY BEACH has come around to her best form recently and she should take at least a slice here.

Race 4: CLM HDCP $25K to $30K - Pick 4

(7) CHOREOGRAPHER continues to run hot and he stands a good chance of controlling this race and taking a third straight win. (1) ARCANE SEELSTER goes to Fellows/Gingras and he could end up being a pocket rocket in the lane; using. (6) LONE WOLF TERROR was motoring late but he ran out of track as often happens with him. I'll use him underneath here. (2) CINNAMACK is worth using going to Auciello's barn and dropping into a claimer.

Race 5: NW $12,000 L5 or $24,000 L10 AE: OPT CLM $30,000

(5) MISTER MAGIC continues to roll and he either wins or breaks it seems so be careful not to take too short of a price. This is a good spot for (4) O NARUTAC PERFETTO who gets his nose back on the gate this week; using. (8) DANCER HALL classes up well against these but he has missed a month and he draws outside so he is certainly no lock despite seemingly holding a class edge. (2) REFI should sit a trip and sneak into the Trip or Super.

Race 6: CLM HDCP $12,000 TO $15,000 - Pick 5

(6) ITS HUW YOU KNOW goes for Moreau off the claim here and he looks solid in this spot. (4) MONTALBANO BI raced better last time and he should get position early here. He is an Exacta factor. (7) JOHNNYS REVENGE was used up early last time when he was stung early after leaving from post 9. He will likely deploy a closing style here and come on late for a share. (8) EXPLOSIVE JET is one of the best horses anywhere to use in the 2-3-4 slots in the Super.

Race 7: ONTARIO SIRES STAKES GRASSROOTS 2YO FILLIES

(5) CYCLONE SISTER gets back to the Grassroots level where she was winning easily in July and she rates top call here. (4) SPORTS DUCHESS' form has improved in her past two starts and she is the second of three that I'll use on multi-race tickets. (1) SPORTSFIRE has excelled racing in Grassroots races and she comes off a sharp try at Clinton after leaving from the worst post; using. (6) OURLITTLEMIRACLE also fits better here but I prefer to use her underneath in a race with a few contenders that look a bit stronger.

Race 8: NW $8,000 L5 or $16,000 L10 AE: OPT CLM $20,000 – Pick 4

(1) MUSCLE FASHION ships in off a series of races where he drew poorly. Five starts back he beat better and he should handle these if he gets a decent trip. (3) MUSCLES JARED qualified faster than his lifetime mark and on that angle I'll use him on late multi-race tickets. (6) BIG RICH should get a much better start here starting from the middle of the gate; using underneath. (4) P L MATT figures here but his break last time is concerning; your call.

Race 9: ONTARIO SIRES STAKES GRASSROOTS 2YO FILLIES

(3) NIGHTLIFE SEELSTER was a Grand Circuit winner just two starts back and she looks strong in this Grassroots race. (6) CHIEFS DREAM GIRL raced tough first up at Clinton and she should be tough in the exotics mix here leaving from the best post. (2) JACKIEOFALLTRADES fits well in Grassroots company; using underneath. (4) SWEET PINK should leave in the top four here and land in the Super.

Race 10: NW $20,500 L5 or $36,500 L10 or NW8 or $120K LT AE: OPT CLM $50,000

(4) GRANDMA HEIDI is in a better spot and leaving from a much better post and she could lead these all the way. (2) IM THE MUSCLE figures to get a better trip this time and he may be the one that the choice is trying to repel. (5) COOL MUSCLE is right there every week and he's hard to leave off Tri tickets. (6) MUSICAL RHYTHM has been in better form, but he should take another small share here.

Race 11: NW $5,000 L5 OR $10,000 L10

(9) DERF HANOVER, 2nd against better last time, has a good shot to lead these all the way. (3) MARQUIS VOLO raced decently when elevated to this class off the claim and he has upset possibilities here. (6) GALIXTON races better when using a closing style which he will likely deploy here. He's the third one that I'll use in this late Pick 4. (5) CINDY LYNN couldn't last against easier last time. I see her hanging on for a small share again. (4) MUSICAL SPELL draws better here and he is likely to work his way into the Super or High-5.