Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Tuesday 8/4

Meet Stats: 125-426/ $654.90 (-$216.10)
Best Bets: 21-39/ $68.10 (-$7.60)
Spot Plays: 9-40 / $64.90 (-$15.10)
Best Bet: NOTORIOUS PINK (8TH)
Spot Play: ALLSTAR SEELSTER (5TH)
Early Pick 5: 6,8,10/2,6,7/2,4/1,2,4/8,9 = $21.60
Late Pick 5: 2,4,9/6,8/5/2,3,6,10/3 = $4.80
Early Pick 4: 1,2,4/8,9/2,4,9/6,8 = $36
Late Pick 4: 5/2,3,6,10/3/3,7 = $8

Race 1: Claiming $8,000 **GTD $75,000 Pick 5**

(8) J J MYSTIC STORM brings good form in from Georgian Downs and he picks up the leading driver. He should get put into this race leaving the gate and he gets top call. (6) ON CRUISE CONTROL is in a better spot here and he should be sent for position near the front leaving the gate; using. (10) DOVUTO HANOVER has improved sharply in his last two but he races best on the engine and I'm not sure how his trip will go after starting from the second tier; demand a price. (9) KATAPARKA is worth a look for the exotics on the barn change.

Race 2: Two Year Olds

(6) THE WHEEL brings two good Grassroots performances to this race and he should be tough here. (7) FASHION FRENZIE trotted a freakish debut mile in Sarnia and he is hard to leave off Pick 5 tickets off that impressive effort. (2) GROOMS HALO should contend if he stays on stride this time and he is another Pick 5 possibility. (8) SOUTHWIND CERSEI has shown enough speed in her qualifiers to contend at first asking; consider for the exotics.

Race 3: Preferred

(4) HEY LIVVY was steppy before the start last week and that took her out of the race. She should offer a better price here and she is capable of rebounding. (2) P L JILL has performed at the highest level for several weeks and there's no reason to think she won’t show up again tonight; using. (5) MUSICAL RHYTHM saved his move for one big late burst and he fell just short. He is obviously capable on his best. (3) GRANDMA HEIDI steps back up off a nice win but this is much tougher; small share predicted.

Race 4: NW $5,000 L5 or $12,000 L8 or NW of $55,000 LT - Pick 4

(2) WESTSLUCKY TERROR steps up off a narrow loss but that was a solid effort and he draws well and keeps Jamieson who knows him best; top call. (1) SWEET N FAST N drops and moves inside and he should wake up in this spot; using. (4) BRODYS SCRAPPER returns following a couple of good efforts at the "B" tracks and he fits well at this level. He's another in with a chance in a contentious dash. (10) WALTER MITTY is worth a look for the Super off the barn change.

Race 5: CLM HDCP $15,000 to $20,000

(9) ALLSTAR SEELSTER drops and gets Roy. Speed blast coming? (4) MISSION THREE draws inside his main rivals and I expect he will be more aggressive early racing off the Fellows claim. He could trip out here. (8) GOLDINTHEBADLANDS has improving form and he should be a good price here again; using. (6) BUDDHA BLUE CHIP couldn't seal the deal last week and while he remains a viable contender, I'll use him underneath in this spot.

Race 6: ONT SIRED 3YO Fillies Grassroots Starters in 2020 - Pick 5

(2) MORE MAGIC had no chance in a very fast mile three starts back then she drew the second tier twice. She can improve sharply here; price play. (4) H P STARLETTE just won a Grassroots race at odds of 51 to 1. She looks like a top contender here. (9) HICKMAN COUNTY can improve if she can avoid another first-up trip here. She could blast to the front this week; beware. (5) BRINYS A FLIRT comes off a solid effort but she's still a maiden; using underneath.

Race 7: 4YO and Younger NW2 (F&M3) or $20,000 (F&M $25,000)

(8) TYMAL RIGGS tripped out but he was overtaken by a rival who sat on his back the entire mile and pounced late. He can likely get another good trip riding (6) STRAVINSKY's cover again and the former gets the nod. The latter had no apparent excuse last week but you know he will be the one to catch again here. (7) GAMBLIN ROAD qualified well enough to suggest that he can hit the board in this spot. (10) VICTOR INVICTUS should pass a few of these late and finish on the fringes; consider for the bottom of Tri bets.

Race 8: WHENUWISHUPONASTAR 2ND LEG 2 YEAR OLD FILLIES - Pick 4

(5) NOTORIOUS PINK was stellar in the first leg of this series and she should convert here as the likely biggest chalk of the night. (2) LILLYSILK was no match for the choice and she can complete the Exacta again. (11) LADY MIDNIGHT was a sharp winner on debut, but the post draw did her no favors here; suing on the bottom. (10) SPELLCHECK HANOVER showed some late interest last week and she can close late to land in this Super.

Race 9: 4YO and Younger NW1 or $7,000 LT

(2) MASSTRO debuts for the hot Alagna barn here is what should be a good spot to make his debut; top call. (10) TALAHASSE HANOVER rode a perfect trip to a runner-up finish in a fast race now she has to navigate post 10; demand a price. (3) HEAT WAVE HANOVER is right there every week and she'll get that maiden win one of these weeks; maybe tonight? (6) KNOCKDOWN DRAGOUT raced well after breaking last week. Her issue is the gate and if she can come away trotting, she's in with a shot.

Race 10: NW $19,500 L5 or $29,000 L10 or NW $160,000 LT AE: OPT CLM $50.000

(3) FINAL CLAIM looks formidable off his last two powerful wins and a threepeat looms at a short price. (2) IM THE MUSCLE got an improved trip last week and a better result; Exacta factor. (6) FREE WILLY HANOVER was game in defeat last week as he held off the backfield late to preserve third. He's hard to leave off Tri tickets. (4) ALL WRAPPED UP is worth a look for the Super making his second start back and making a class drop.

Race 11: NW $3,300 L5 or $8,800 L10

(3) BUSH MAN N gets his nose on the gate following a good effort at this level from post 10 last week and he should be more aggressive now in a spot where he should be tough to beat. (7) CINNABAR DRAGON is usually in the mix at this level and he is the other one that I'll use to close out the late Pick 4. (9) P L IDAHO should find this company easier, but he has been a bit of a money burner this year and I wouldn't take a short price. (6) THE REGULATOR can get position early and stick around to finish in the Super. (1) J M JACK OF HEARTS is another who is likely to ride an inside following trip to a spot in the High-5.