Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Tuesday 8/25

Meet Stats: 167 - 547 / $963.60 (-$130.40)
Best Bets: 26 - 49 / $80.20 (-$17.80)
Spot Plays: 11 - 51 / $85.30 (-$16.70)
Best Bet: HIGHLAND MOWGLI (8TH)
Spot Play: MYSTIC (4TH)
Early Pick 5: 1,3,5/4,5,6/3/3,6/1,2,6 = $10.80
Late Pick 5: 1,2,5/1,5,9/1/2,6,7/4,5,8 = $16.20
Early Pick 4: 3,6/1,2,6/1,2,5/1,5,9 = $54
Late Pick 4: 1/2,6,7/4,5,8/1,2,9 = $27

Race 1: 4YO and Younger NW1 or $7,000 **GTD $75,000 Pick 5**

(3) TALAHASEE SEELSTER is 0 for 16 but she has recent good races in Gold company. If she gets put into this race early, she beats this group. (1) MAGICS WIZARD almost won at this level two starts back with Filion in the bike and he returns here; using. (5) REGAL SEVEN’s best race makes him a contender here and he should be coming on late. He is another Pick 5 possibility. (10) GAB IN MOTION has two good recent qualifiers and he could share here if he has solved his gait issues.

Race 2: ONT SIRED 2YO FILLIES GRASSROOTS STARTERS IN 2020

This looks like a field that (4) HIGHLAND FOXYTROTR can beat and Filion should have her positioned near the front early; top call. (5) PROTOTSTAR looked good winning at Georgian Downs now she gets Christoforou and she is on my Pick 5 ticket. (6) CHELSEAS MAGIC is right there every week and you know that Henry will put her into play here; using. (9) BRINYS A FLIRT beat a weak field last time - a big reason why she was 10 cents on the dollar - and I prefer to use her underneath in this spot.

Race 3: 2YO Fillies NW $5,000 LT

If (3) ALWAYSABEACHDAY can produce similar speed as she did in the Whenuwishuponastar final, her rivals here might be racing for second. (2) DOCS DELIGHT form has improved in her last two starts and she could be a threat here at a price racing from close range. (10) EASYRUNNER HANOVER is also in an easier spot here and McNair will likely get her into the flow this time; consider for the exotics. (9) LADY WRITER can go better here now that she has a race under her belt, and she could add some value to the Super.

Race 4: ONTARIO SIRES STAKES GRASSROOTS 2YO COLTS and GELDINGS - Pick 4

(6) MYSTIC should appreciate class relief here after facing some monsters in his last two starts and he gets the nod. (3) DEFCON SEELSTER was sharp here last week but a sharp debut winner was too tough in the late stages of the race. That should be a good primer for this Grassroots start and he is likely the one to catch. (9) DIEHARD SEELSTER was a distant second in the Balanced Image final on Saturday at Hanover and he fits here but from out there with the trainer listed to drive I'll use him underneath. (7) ALL THE TRIMMINGS is capable of better and moving off post 10 will help; using on the bottom.

Race 5: CLM HDCP $10,000 to $12,000

(2) BROOKLETSJUSTIFIED drops, gets his nose on the gate and a driver switch to Filion; slight nod in a tough race filled with fresh claims. (6) E L WILD SPIRIT goes to the Shepherd barn just as his form is improving and he should be one of the main contenders here. (1) BUTE COURAGE N showed little vs. better but he paced to a lifetime best at this level two starts back so he is hard to toss in this class. (3) ON CRUISE CONTROL emptied the tank when claimed last time in a no-doubt win. He may regress off that effort and I'll use him underneath only here.

Race 6: ONTARIO SIRES STAKES GRASSROOTS 2YO COLTS and GELDINGS - Pick 5

Tough race here with so many having frequent gait issues. I'll side with (5) GROOMS HALO, whose race two starts back when second to Fashion Frenzie is good enough to win this. (1) JULA MAGICIAN appears to have enough speed to contend here but the tricky rail post is not ideal for a young trotter who has trouble staying flat; demand a price. (2) CRAZY GOODBYE is good enough to contend here if he stays flat; using. (9) IMASHARPDEALER should improve in this easier spot and he may sneak into the exotics at a big price.

Race 7: 4YO and Younger NW2 (F&M 3) or $20,000 (F&M $25,000) LT

(5) ROYALTY DEAL just showed that he is a couple of seconds faster than these when Roy took the reins and he won a $107K Gold race. He shows breaks in two of his last four starts and obviously doesn't have to win this race in between stakes engagements. How low of a price will you take on this colt who should win but has some question marks? (9) TYMAL RIGGS gets better every race and he could really spice up the Pick 4 here with an upset which he is capable of if he can work out a trip from out there. (1) SONADORA DEO’s good gate speed makes her a threat here and I'll toss her in my Pick 4 ticket. (2) NIMBUS DEO dominated a weak field of maidens last week. This is a lot tougher; using underneath.

Race 8: ONTARIO SIRES STAKES GRASSROOTS 2YO COLTS and GELDINGS - Pick 4

(1) HIGHLAND MOWGLI has shown some ability against the top trotting colts in the country and this drop into the Grassroots division should lead to his maiden win. (4) FOUR WHEELIN looks next best and he can complete a chalky Exacta. (3) C MY KICKS HANOVER goes for a barn that can get a young trotter to wake up at any time. I'll use him underneath here. (5) INSANITY should drop some time racing on the big track for the first time; consider for the exotics.

Race 9: NW $3,400 L5 or $8,000 L8

This is a good spot for (2) LYONS PEGASUS to take his first win of 2020 and he should get an aggressive J Harris steer in this spot. (6) MACHIN A TRICK is razor-sharp right now and hard to leave off late Pick 4 tickets. (7) DREAMFAIR B J fits better here and he has enough speed to go with these. He is another in with a decent shot. (9) ALWAYS FLASHING A ships in and goes for a barn that can move one up but from the 9-hole I'll use him on the bottom in this spot.

Race 10: ONTARIO SIRED 3 YEAR OLD FILLIES, GRASSROOTS STARTERS IN 2020

(4) MOANA hooked a red-hot Profound Paragon last time and she was no match, but she looks best here, and she gets top billing. (8) GODDESS DE VIE was good in a Grassroots race two starts back and she should be the choice’s main rival here. (5) PIER HO KADO was sharp at Georgian Downs and fell just short. She isn't out of this, but I prefer the top two choices. (3) NO ANGEL HERE will be closing for another share in this spot.

Race 11: NW $8,000 L5 or $16,500 L10 AE: OPT CLM $20,000

(2) P L MATT was dead game holding off a late onslaught last week and he has shown in the past that he can trot faster; call to repeat. (9) DERF HANOVER takes a big drop and he should be very dangerous if he gets put into this race. (1) NOTHING BUT MUSCLE was a good second to a stablemate at this level two starts back and he's a good fit here; using. (4) VENUS DUHARAS returns at a reduced level and she looks sharp enough to take a share here. (5) PINK PISTOL should show some speed if she stays flat this time. I'll use her on the bottom.