Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Tuesday 8/18

Meet Stats: 151-514/ $888.50 (-$239.20)
Best Bets: 24-46/ $75.70 (-$16.30)
Spot Plays: 10-48 / $71.20 (-$24.80)
Best Bet: E L WILD SPIRIT (6TH)
Spot Play: LYONS TILT HANOVER (3RD)
Early Pick 5: 2,6,9/3,5,6/2,7/4,7/2,6,10 = $21.60
Late Pick 5: 6,7/5,9,10/1,7/4,7,8/1,2 = $14.40
Early Pick 4: 4,7/2,6,10/6,7/5,9,10 = $36
Late Pick 4: 1,7/4,7,8/1,2/4,5,6 = $36

Race 1: 4YO and Younger NW1 or $7,000 LT **GTD $75,000 Pick 5**

(2) NIMBUS DEO took heavy action at the windows in her debut, but she never got involved. Moving inside should change her approach here and she gets the nod. (6) OXFORD HALL is another who should benefit from having a start and he finished ahead of the choice in their debuts; using. (9) KNOCKDOWN DRAGOUT set big splits and she started to tire at the 1/8th pole and was caught. If she stays flat, she should have no issue getting away from post 9 and she will forget to stop one of these weeks. (5) D PROCRASTINATOR is a good one to use on the bottom of Tris and Supers.

Race 2: ONTARIO SIRES STAKES GOLD 2YO FILLIES

(3) GAME OF SHADOWS appeared to have something in reserve when she broke her maiden with ease on August 7th and she could be second or even third choice here. She gets the nod over (5) POSTSCRIPT, who raced great in the Whenuwishuponastar series and is the one to fend off. (6) BEST HEAD WEST was sharp winning at 22 to 1 last time, and she seems to have things figured out. She's the third filly that I'll use in this Pick 5. (2) ALUMNI SEELSTER is capable of better and it's hard to toss a Moore trainee the way that barn has been going; using underneath.

Race 3: ONT SIRED 3 YEAR OLD FILLIES, GRASSROOT OR PROSPECT 3 STARTERS IN 2020. NW $7,500 IN OSS EARNINGS IN 2020

(7) LYONS TILT HANOVER's recent form is good and she gets a notable barn change here. She is a threat to lead all the way. This looks like a good spot for (2) MOUTH WATERING and she should be a late danger; using. (10) ODDS ON VERO BEACH had to change course late in the stretch last week when there was no room available up the inside. She is a contender but post 10 may not be best for her. (9) HAPPY LOOKER is another who figures based on recent form but draws poorly; using on the bottom.

Race 4: 2 YEAR OLDS - Pick 4

(4) MYCROWNMYKINGDOM - 1/2 brother to Bee A Magician - got a start under his belt where he made some progress but then broke in the stretch. This is an easier spot and he gets the nod. (7) SOUTHWIND CERSEI was much better in her second start and she has the look of a contender in this field. She's on my multi-race tickets. (9) PUBLICITY SEEKER has dropped time in every qualifier but gets the worst post to start his career. I'll use him on the bottom only. (2) DEFCON SEELSTER got a confidence boosting win at Grand River and he can take a slice here.

Race 5: F&M 4YO and Younger NW1 or $9,400 LT

(6) ZEPHYR SEELSTER comes off a strong effort when second to a big chalk. She may wire this group. (2) WATCHFUL EYE was McClure's choice of three in here which is as good a reason to use as any in a wide-open race. (10) ROSE RUN VIGILANT is capable of better is she can work out a decent trip this time. (4) ADMITYOUREWRONG typically finishes on the fringes. Toss her in Tri and Super bets.

Race 6: CLM HDCP $10,000 to $12,000 - Pick 5

(7) E L WILD SPIRIT closed well in a very fast mile for this class and he gets the nod here in a race where he is likely to impose his will early. (6) EMPTYTHETILL was hammered at the windows and he finished just behind the choice. Going for Moreau off the claim, he's the main threat. (8) OUTLAW GUNPOWDER is the model of consistency, but he has his work cut out here starting outside the two choices; demand a price. (1) GRITS N GRAVY could get a great following trip here and sneak into the exotics at a price.

Race 7: F&M NW $3,000 L5 or $10,000 L10

(5) REIS STAR CROSS gets catch-driver Young here in a spot that doesn't appear too tough; call to upset. (9) WHISTYS PARADISE drops and a change in her usual tactics wouldn't be a surprise as McNair continues to run hot and make all the right moves frequently. (10) FRANSCHOEK raced well at Georgian Downs from the impossible outer post and she fits here; using. (6) LYONS HEDGEABET has yet to get untracked this season but she's capable at this level if she wakes up and finds a better effort.

Race 8: ONTARIO SIRES STAKES GOLD 2YO FILLIES - Pick 4

(1) BET ON BECKY is the clear leader in the division and assuming all is okay after she missed some time, she will be very tough to beat here. (7) SCARLETT HANOVER dominated in the Battle of the Belles and she is the logical alternative to the choice. (5) ANDRA DAY is sure to improve starting from a much better post here; exotics factor. (4) RING OF KERRY should be good for another share here following some good efforts in the Battle of the Belles.

Race 9: 4YO and Younger NW2 (F&M3) or $20,000 (F&M $25,000)

(8) HOT TOPIC gets McClure back here and the only time he drove her previously she made a huge late charge to win; top call. (4) PERPETUATE steps up off a sharp win and he rates highly here; using. (7) HEAVENSDOR HANOVER is capable vs. this group and he could be a big speed threat this time. Consider him when punching Pick 4 and Pick 5 tickets. (1) VICTOR INVICTUS should be good for a small share in this spot.

Race 10: ONTARIO SIRED 3 YEAR OLD FILLIES, OSS STARTERS 10 IN 2020

(1) LANDRY SEELSTER turned it around here two starts back and she has a good chance at a threepeat vs. these. (2) BETTERTHANBOBBI never misses the board and she usually wins. She is the one to fend off. (3) KEYSTONE KALIMBA should be closer here if she can avoid traveling first up; using underneath. (8) MARY KAT is another who rarely misses the board and she should be a factor here despite starting from out there.

Race 11: ONT SIRED 3 YEAR OLD FILLIES, GRASSROOT OR PROSPECT 3 STARTERS IN 2020. NW $7,500 IN OSS EARNINGS IN 2020

(6) QUESO RELLENO has faced a steady diet of tougher fillies than she meets here and if she is sharp enough after missing some time, she should be tough tonight. (4) SPORTIKA is in solid form and she took her life's mark here earlier in the year. She's on my late Pick 4 ticket. (5) COUNT TO THREE didn't get an ideal trip last time and she races well for Henry; using. (7) ISLA SEELSTER is capable of a good late charge on her best day; consider for the Super and High-5. (8) KIT is likely to show some early speed, but I don't see her lasting for more than a small slice.