Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Tuesday 7/4
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Top Pick Stats: 298 - 906 / $1,557.90 (-$254.10)
Best Bets: 49 - 83/ $174.70 (+$8.70)
Spot Plays: 15 - 84/ $88.70 (-$79.30)
Best Bet: CASSIUS HANOVER (7th)
Spot Play: ALL ATTITUDE (2nd)
Early Pick 5: 6,8/1,2/4,6,7/4,5,8,9/7,8 = $19.20
Late Pick 5: 2,4,9/10/4,5,8/5,7/2,4,8 = $10.80
Early Pick 4: 4,5,8,9/7,8/2,4,9/10 = $4.80
Late Pick 4: 10/4,5,8/5,7/2,4,8 = $3.60
Race 1: NW $14,000 L5 or NW $110,000 LT AE: OPT CLM $65,000 **Gtd. $100,000 Pick 5
(6) FRANKS ANGEL finished 3rd vs. better and he figures to get a good trip racing on or near the lead tonight; top call. (8) LOCATELLI is the other dropper and J Mac sides with him over others. He should get put into the race early and he should be a threat. (7) TOKYO SEELSTER just took a new life's mark at a similar class level but this is a tougher field this week; small share predicted. (3) WALKONTHEMOON was first up in that fast mile and he stayed for a share. He is a good one to use underneath.
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Race 2: 5YO and Younger NW1 or $7,500 LT
Keep in mind when looking at all the fast final quarters from June 20th lines that they were wind-assisted. (1) ALL ATTITUDE faced Sounds Good in three straight and that rival would be 1 to 5 at most in this field. He gets top billing by default facing much easier tonight. (2) BETTOR B SIRIUS lacked room until deep stretch that night and he finished with good energy once he got clearance. He is the other one that I’ll use in the Pick 5. (4) NEWS CASTER couldn't catch a 1 to 2 shot that was winning his third straight. He isn't out of this, but I prefer to use him underneath. (7) BETS SHOW OFF hasn't missed the top four yet. Consider using him on the bottom.
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Race 3: 2YO Fillies
$75K Lexington purchase (7) WINNING ALLIANCE won her lone qualifier with minimal urging from her trainer now she gets the leading driver. She gets the nod over $85K London Classic Sale buy (4) MASS CARA, who is a full-sister to Mass Hysteria, a filly who won a Gold race last year here in her third start. She looks like the main threat. (6) SOUTHERN MONI was well clear in 2nd in that mile and she can be an exotics factor here. (1) DONTMESSWITHMAMA's debut was decent. She is in the mix for another share.
Race 4: 2YO Fillies - Pick 4
(8) WICKED WEATHER has two qualifiers where she wasn't asked for much and she kicked home in under 27 seconds in both. She gets top billing here with the assumption that she will get more aggressive early in the mile. (9) SWIFT TALKER is the eleventh foal from her dam. All of the other 10 made the races and nine of them are winners. This $25K Lexington buy looks ready to roll on debut; using. (4) KITTYS COLUMN tried to close into a 26-flat kicker in her debut and that wasn't going to work. She could do here if she gets a better trip. (5) BETTORS SISTERS two siblings were win shy. I'll use her underneath in this first start.
Race 5: 5YO and Younger winners of 2 (F&M3) but not more than 4 (F&M5) AE:4 YO and 5YO OPT CLM $50,000
(7) MISCHEVIOUS ROSE dominated at this level last week and she should double up here. (8) BELLA CAVALLA is one of the most consistent racehorses on the circuit. She should be the main threat here. (4) HANDSOME SEBASTIAN raced great first up last week when 2nd to the choice. He should be part of the Tri here. (6) EDEN ONTHEHILL gets off the rail for this and she can be closer at the finish.
Race 6: 2YO Colts and Geldings - Pick 5
$110,000 London Classic Sale purchase (2) MASSTERCRAFT is a full-brother to $336,000 earner Publicity Seeker (154 4/5 F) and he looks ready to roll on debut; top call. (9) MAESTRO SEELSTER was third to one that has already come back to repeat and he should get sent forward leaving the gate here. He would be no surprise tonight. (4) LMC MR SQUISHY got in a heap of traffic trouble in his debut and still didn’t lose interest and finished with some trot. He can win tonight if he gets put into the race; using. (7) EMERGENCY LANDING gets a better post after finishing just behind the choice and he is another that can improve sharply in this second start. Consider him for the exotics.
Race 7: 5YO and Younger NW1 or $7,000 LT - Pick 4
(10) CASSIUS HANOVER looks best here exiting a fast Grassroots race and he could go right down the road in this spot. (2) STORMONT DIVIDE came off a long break to impressively break his maiden here last week and he is the obvious threat. (6) LOOKS LIKE GAME ON was bet down to 2 to 1 in his debut last week but he was driven conservatively. He will likely be better tonight and he would not be a big surprise if he improved enough to win. (9) CACTUSTOTHECLOUDS was in much tougher last time facing the likes of The Hazleton in Grassroots action. He should be part of the exotics.
Race 8: 3YO colts and geldings Grassroots starters in 2023
Good betting race here with several sharp and consistent contenders. This might be a spot where you can get a bit of a price on (8) THE HAZLETON and I'll give him the nod over three or four others that can win here. (4) NEW RULES just took the co-fastest mark in the race so he is hard to discount here. (5) RESOLVE TO WIN is the other one that trotted in 1:53 3/5 and part of the reason why the choice could be an overlay, but he is another obvious contender, too. (3) NOTHINGBUTADREAMER was in a good spot following the choice when he jumped it off and he can sit and rally for a share here if he behaves.
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Race 9: FREE FOR ALL
(7) FASHION FRENZIE dominated in his second start back and he is the one to beat here. (5) LOGAN PARK tried popping the pocket to go after the choice but he was rebuffed. This race will likely come down to these two again. (1) HP MAMA B was very good beating the boys but she steps into the lions den know facing the top two choices. I'll use her underneath. (4) PATRIARCH HANOVER is sharp but he is another that will likely be on the edges tonight.
Race 10: NW $4,500 L5 or $8,800 L10 AE: NW $2,000 in 2023
(4) STAY CLOSE is in a better spot tonight after flashing speed last week and I could see J Mac sending him right down the road. (2) JACK FIRE was first up into an accelerating late pace last week. He could upset here if he works out a following trip racing near the front. (8) VICTOR INVICTUS has been finishing his miles well and he should come on late again for another share. (5) PRINCE OF SESSEX Got clear sailing along the pylons in the lane last week and he could do no better than fifth. I'll use him underneath. (1) COLD RAGE should lay closer early this time and he should get a check.

