Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Tuesday 7/21

Meet Stats: 91-326 / $496.90 (-$155.10)
Best Bets: 15-29 / $51.00 (-$7.00)
Spot Plays: 8-30 / $56.60 (-$3.50)
Best Bet: BIG MYRTLE (4TH)
Spot Play: ISLA SEELSTER (11TH)
Early Pick 5: 1,4/3,4,5/2,7,9/4/2,4,5 = $10.80
Late Pick 5:3,4/1,3,6,9/5,10/1,7,8 = $48
Early Pick 4: 4/2,4,5/3,4/1,3,6,9 = $24
Late Pick 4: 5,10/1,7,8/7/5,6 = $12

Race 1: Two Year Old Fillies **GTD $75,000 Pick 5**

(4) EXTRILLA HANOVER is a $55,000 Lexington buy and a 1/2-sister to Examiner Hanover who took a mark of 1:52 2/5 over this track at two. She looks ready to roll but may be odds-on in this spot. (1) WASAGA raced well in the rain against a tough winner in a Grassroots race in her debut and she should be the main danger. (7) ALWAYSABEACHDAY finished fast in her second qualifier and she is worth a look for the exotics here. (3) YS DOWNONTHEBEACH probably has a lot more in the tank than the 2:00 mile showing as her lone qualifier. I'll use her in the Tri and Super.

Race 2: ONTARIO SIRES STAKES GOLD 3YO COLTS AND GELDINGS

(4) PEMBERTON gets a real speed test here but with the brilliance he has shown so far, he might be up to it; slight nod. (5) THREEFIFTYTWO came alive recently as did most of this barn's stock and he is likely the one to beat. (3) HAYEK is perfect for Team Baillargeon but this is a tougher test and I'd demand a price. (6) COMBS HANOVER was well-meant last week, and he trotted an impressive winning mile, but this is much tougher, and a smaller share is likely.

Race 3: NW $11,000 L5 or $20,000 L10 AE: OPT CLM $30,000

(9) IM THE MUSCLE raced well in his Mohawk Park debut, closing ground into a 55 2/5 back 1/2 and if he can get put into this race early enough, he should have a big shot here. (7) MISTER MAGIC was finessed around the first turn, but he couldn't make it around the last one when it appeared that he was on his way to another easy win. He is always dangerous, but I couldn't take a short price here knowing his history of gait issues. (2) BUCKEYE STARLET should improve here with her nose back on the gate and I'll use her as a price option in the early multi-race tickets. (3) SORTIE's last race was a bit better and I can see him rounding out the Tri or Super in this spot.

Race 4: 3YO Fillies NW1 or $7,000 - Pick 4

This is a prime spot for (6) BIG MYRTLE to break her maiden but you won't get much of a price and she'll be singled on plenty of multi-race tickets. (4) NECTAR faces tougher, but her debut win was solid, and she should be a threat here. (5) CLASSICA showed big early speed last time and she could last longer here if she blasts off early; using underneath. (1) SAULSBROOK FLASHY drew in at scratch time and she has yet to miss the board facing easier. I'll use her on the bottom of this Super.

Race 5: NW $6,000 L5 or $13,000 L10 AE: OPT CLM $20,000

(5) CRUISING IN STYLE qualified faster than most of his rivals in this dash have been racing and he lands in a great spot to win coming off the bench here. (4) H P TITANIA RUNNER has been racing decently and this barn is dangerous with any trotter it seems; using. (2) TEDDYS LITTLEANGEL is capable of producing a decent effort racing off the shelf and I'll toss her in the Tri here. (1) MISTER OF ALL is worth a look on the class drop and the move inside but I prefer to use him on the bottom in this spot.

Race 6: ONTARIO SIRES STAKES GOLD 3YO COLTS AND GELDINGS - Pick 5

(4) H P ROYAL THEO has reached peak form and that means trouble for his foes in this Gold race. He should be tough to beat. (3) PORT PERRY goes for a red-hot barn and if there is going to be a challenger to the choice it will likely be him. (2) HORSE TRADER seems to be coming around now and he should be an exotics factor here. (5) HOT WHEELZ is capable of producing a better effort and I'll use him on the bottom of the Tri and Super here.

Race 7: NW 8LT or $120,000 LT or NW $16,000 L5 or $28,000 L10 AE: Mares

(1) FINAL CLAIM moves up one level after taking a new lifetime mark last week and this spot isn't much tougher. If he stays flat, he should be hard to beat. (3) ONLY TAKE CASH is starting to come around with her best form and she likely won’t be kept out of the winner's circle much longer in 2020. I'll use her in the cash leg of the early Pick 4. (6) ZIG ZAG races well every week and he exits a fast mile. He is in the mix here. (9) DREAM NATION was flying late at this level two starts back and he's worth a look for the Tri here.

Race 8: Claiming Handicap $10,000 to $12,000 - Pick 4

(5) OSIRIS BLUE CHIP was claimed out of a lifetime-best performance and he will be tough in here if his form holds in the new barn. (10) STATE OF PLAY went a big trip against the choice last time, and he goes for the top barn now. I could see him turning the tables if the choice regresses a bit racing off the claim. (1) ST LADS CASH was motoring late last time and he can be part of this Tri. (2) OUTLAW GUNPOWDER rarely throws in a bad one and he's hard to leave off Tri and Super tickets.

Race 9: 3YO NW1 or $7,000 LT

(8) SPARTAN GENERAL was on his way to a maiden win last time when he jumped it off in the lane. If he behaves, he can graduate here. (7) JOHANN exits a fast race and he looks like the main threat here. (1) MAGICS WIZARD goes for a hot barn and I wouldn't be shocked if he popped in this spot. (10) REGAL SEVEN shows a combination of high speed and gait issues in his chart lines. I'd demand a price with this one starting in the second tier.

Race 10: PREFERRED HANDICAP

(7) HEY LIVVY is the current Queen of the local trotting castle and its hard to imagine her getting beat here if she behaves. (6) P L JILL has been second best to the choice in two straight and she figures next best here, too. (5) MUSICAL RHYTHM hasn't been able to go with the top two recently. I'll use him on the bottom of the Tri. (3) GRANDMA HEIDI came to Mohawk Park in sharp form, but this is a very steep jump in class; small share only.

Race 11: Fillies and Mares 5YO and Younger NW 2 or $15,000 LT

(6) ISLA SEELSTER paced a strong mile last week to nab fourth behind some tough fillies. This is an easier spot and she should be sitting on a big mile now; top call. (5) HAPPY LOOKER made a good recovery after blowing up at the start last week and she should be a strong contender if she stays flat here. (1) ROSE RUN VICTORY exits a very fast mile and she should be in the mix against this group. (2) WHISKEY TO WINE shaved several seconds off last week and she is worth a look for the Tri and Super here. (3) MARZANNK HANOVER finished just behind the choice last time; consider using underneath.