Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Tuesday 7/13

Meet Stats: 69 - 225 / $385.00 (-$65.00)
Best Bets: 9 – 22 / $44.10 (+$0.10)
Spot Plays: 9 – 21 / $77.70 (+$35.30)
Best Bet: MACHIN A TRICK (4TH)
Spot Play: COMBS HANOVER (5TH)
Early Pick 5: 2,4,6,9/4,7/1,4,5/3/6,9 = $9.60
Late Pick 5: 2,3,4,5/4,5/2,5/4,8/1,7,10 = $19.20
Early Pick 4: 3/6,9/2,3,4,5/4,5 = $16
Late Pick 4: 4,5/2,5/4,8/1,7,10 = $24
Race 1: 2YO Fillies NW1 LT **$100,000 Guaranteed Pick 5**
(6) IWISHIHADAME raced decently on debut at Georgian now she picks up Hudon in what might not be that tough of a spot; slight nod. (2) NOVELLA SEELSTER brought more than $81,000 at the London Selected Sale and this daughter of Sportswriter should be heard from in this debut race. She's on my Pick 5 ticket. (4) GIRL SCOUT COOKIE was a good third to a sharp Grassroots winner at Georgian Downs and she figures to be a threat in this spot; using. (9) BEYOND THE SEA is by a hot young sire that has been cleaning up in Ohio early in his stud career. She is another possibility in a race that appears to demand wide Pick 5 coverage.
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Race 2: Claiming Handicap $13,000 to $18,000
(7) SEA LAIRD was well bet on the class drop last week and he delivered with an impressive win; call to repeat. (4) JAYDENS PLACE will likely get hammered at the windows dropping down in class tonight and he is the other one that I'll use in this early Pick 5. (3) GENERAL LEE wasn't beaten by much last week by his stablemate the choice and he should be in the Tri again. (1) ALWAYS N THE MONEY is likely to pass a fee late and land in the Super again.
[DRF BETS: Wager on tonight's Mohawk Park card at DRF Bets.com!]
Race 3: ONTARIO SIRES STAKES GRASSROOTS 2YO Fillies
(1) CERSEI DE VIE is by Resolve who seems to be producing good stock so far and in this wide-open Grassroots race I'll side with her hoping to land a price in this Pick 5. (5) ANGELONIA brought more than $52K at the London Selected sale and she is a 1/2-sister to $1.4 million earner Intimidate. Sent out by top connections, she is an obvious threat on debut. (4) TIJUANA SEELSTER had a decent opener and driver Green has no problem getting very aggressive with one at Mohawk Park. She is another possibility here. (10) MUSCLE ENVY trotted a nice back 1/2 in her lone qualifier but from out there I prefer to use her underneath.
Race 4: Claiming Handicap $22,000 to $30,000 - Pick 4
(3) MACHIN A TRICK was claimed by Auciello out of a good effort where he was chasing some wicked early fractions due to a speed duel that developed right in front of him. He's a single for me racing off the claim. (8) MACH IMPACT continues to race well each week and he is another who was claimed last week; Exacta factor. (7) CHIEFS BEACH was up against it in a race where the final 1/4 was paced in 27 2/5. He should be closer tonight and if there is any kind of a duel, he may roll right by them all. (6) JULERICA is going to wake up at a big price one of these times but tonight he looks like a fringe player to me.
Race 5: PREFERRED HANDICAP
(6) COMBS HANOVER is as sharp as a racehorse can be right now and he should offer another good price as he steps up into the top class tonight; call to upset. (9) TREASURED TEE continues to race in peak form and post 9 may not stop him here. He’s one that's hard to leave off the Pick 5 ticket. (8) PERFETTO should be part of the early pace again and he's not out of this, but he was soundly defeated by Treasured Tee last week. (7) PIKACHU HANOVER should be good for another small share racing close to the front.
Race 6: ONTARIO SIRES STAKES GRASSROOTS 2YO Fillies - Pick 5
(3) DABRA DAY, a $62,000 Lexington Sale purchase, produced good late speed in both qualifiers and she looks ready to roll at first asking; top call. (5) CLOCKWORK ORANGE, a $45,000 Lexington buy, is related to nine winners, including $527K earned Beer Budget. This daughter of Resolve likely has plenty more speed than was evident in her two qualifiers and she could pop at a price here. (2) CLEVELAND MONEYKA is a 1/2-sister to Mag N Lady who was a four-time winner at two last year and she is sent out by one of the top trotting barns; an obvious use for me. (4) MISCHEVIOUS ROSE has flashed good late speed in both qualifiers and she is another in with a chance here.
Race 7: F&M NW $3,000 L5 or NW $7,000 L10 - Pick 4
(4) ESPRIT DEQUIPE was hammered at the windows on the class drop last week and she was on go leaving the gate, but the opening 1/2 was just too fast. She could get better rating tonight and lead these all the way. (5) CINDERELLA DELIGHT should fit much better here and she goes for the hot Auciello/Macdonald duo. She should be a big threat. (6) KAT produced a nice late kick last week but she is an infrequent winner and she loses Macdonald here; small share predicted. (8) SR BEACH BABE can pass a few of these late and land in the Super at a price.
Race 8: ONTARIO SIRES STAKES GRASSROOTS 2YO Fillies
(5) DA ROYAL MIRACLE will likely be a big chalk here off her crushing maiden win and she gets top billing in this spot. (2) TRADE SECRET, full-sister of 2019 Hambletonian winner Forbidden Trade, was no match for the choice in their debuts but she could improve here; upset chance. (11) LILYS LASS showed good late speed in her lone qualifier and she could provide some exotics value here; using underneath. (6) M AND MMS could hang on better here with a race under her belt; consider for the bottom of the Super.
[DRF BETS: Wager on tonight's Mohawk Park card at DRF Bets.com!]
Race 9: F&M 4YO and Younger NW1 or $8,500 LT
(8) STORMY PLACE raced well when beaten by a big favorite last time and she looks best vs. this group. (4) CARSONS GOUDA showed big improvement in that race and she is in with an upset chance tonight; using. (5) ADASHIOUS HANOVER failed three times as the chalk and she's one I will continue to play to beat at this point. (2) SEA OF HOPE raced well to be 2nd in this class last week and she can take a share here.
Race 10: NW $4,200 L5 or $8,600 L10
I like the way (1) VICTOR INVICTUS finished off last week's mile and he could pop for an infrequent win at a price here facing some suspect class droppers. (7) IM THE MUSCLE is an obvious contender on the class plunge but he seems risky based on recent efforts; your call. (10) GOLD EDITION is another dropper that figures vs. these and he could offer a good price starting from out there; using. (2) GLOIRE DREAM couldn't hack it first up last week. I see him closing for a share racing off a helmet this week. (5) SLIP INTO GLIDE frequently finishes on the edges; using on the bottom of the High-5.

