Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Tuesday 6/7

Meet Stats: 260 - 854 / $1,440.10 (-$267.90)

Best Bets: 45 - 81 / $147.50 (-$14.50)

Spot Plays: 25 - 81 / $167.70 (+$5.70)

Best Bet: FINAL CLAIM (3RD)

Spot Play: MOTORBOATIN (7TH)

Early Pick 5: 1,4/5/2/1,3,4,5,7,9/2,3,8 = $7.20

Late Pick 5: 5,6/3/1,2,8/3,4,7/2,3,4,5 = $14.40

Early Pick 4: 1,3,4,5,7,9/2,3,8/5,6/3 = $36

Late Pick 4: 3/1,2,8/3,4,7/2,3,4,5 = $36

Race 1: 5YO and Younger NW2 (F&M3) or $20,000 (F&M $30,000) LT **Guaranteed $100,000 Pick 5**

(1) WARAWEE XENIA hinted with her terrific closing rush two starts back that she was sitting on a big race and she didn't disappoint chalk bettors on 5/26. This rapidly-improving filly gets the nod to repeat (4) SIMCOE SEELSTER looked like a beast winning here on 5/19 then he tried OSS Gold company and broke before the start. He is an obvious threat if he stays flat. (2) PROFITEER similarly broke in Gold company after blowing up the tote board on debut. He should be in the exotics mix if he stays flat. (9) ROSIES WAR BONDS is going well since returning in May and he should flash speed and stick around for a slice here.

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Race 2: F&M 4YO and Younger NW1 or $7,000 LT

(5) TALL DARK BEAUTY took a patient approach in her debut and she produced a nice late rally. This is a race that this regally-bred filly is supposed to win at short odds. (6) BIKINI GENIE likely would have hit the board in London had she stayed on stride and she looks next best here. (1) GIRL PARTY's good late speed should get her a share in this spot; using underneath. (7) ADDISON SEELSTER is another that should be in the exotics mix getting back in with maidens tonight.

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Race 3: NW $2,100 L3 (W/O $6,100 L5 N/E) AE: OPT CLM $15,000

This is a big class drop for (2) FINAL CLAIM and McDonnell will probably put him right on the point at the outset. He should convert as chalk. (3) MISTER MAGIC is a gritty win machine when he is on his game and trainer Auciello holds the key to this gelding but he has had only two pari-mutuel starts since March 2021 and none since last July. I'd examine him closely on the track before you plunge. (1) WARRAWEE WHISPER shows signs of improvement and he picks up Macdonald tonight. He can land in the Tri. (5) VEYRON should be good for a share here racing from close range.

Race 4: 5YO and Younger NW1 or $7,000 LT - Pick 4

In a wide-open race that screams upset, I'll take a swing with (3) NOBLE INTENTIONS, who qualified faster than he has ever raced on 5/27. (7) DON'T POKE THE BEAR takes a massive class drop here and if he stays flat and gets sent forward early, he could prove tough to beat. (9) CONTROL SICILY is another that showed sharp improvement recently and he is another that can contend at a square price tonight. (5) HIGNETT looked good breaking his maiden at Flamboro but this is tougher and I'm not sure his driver will get the same kind of front-end respect at this track. I'd need a price here.

Race 5: 4YO and Younger NW2 or $21,000 LT

(2) HP MOMENTUM made two early moves to the front in the opening 1/2 which put him into a duel with a rival that he hung out and he ended being used up in the opening 3/4. Filion returns to the bike here and he will likely look to trip him out in this spot; call to upset. (8) MR BEAST will likely be a big chalk in here as he finished 2nd well ahead of the choice in that race. He's the one to beat. (3) SUNNY ZIP obviously has some talent although I'm unsure why he was a judges scratch out of the June 3rd qualifier. He is another option for multi-race tickets. (1) FINAL CHEESERECIPE is capable of better than he showed last time out when he finished with broken equipment and he picks up Macdonald tonight; using underneath.

Race 6: NW $9,000 L5 or $29,000 L10 or NW $95,000 LT AE: OPT CLM $35,000 - Pick 5

Last time (6) H P ROYAL THEO raced this low, he got put into play early by Sorrie and he prevailed. I expect to see a similar drive here; top call. (5) MACALLAN also drops and he will likely trip out racing near the front; using. (2) FREE WILLY HANOVER is the third class dropper to consider as Drury will likely look to get him position early. He is another in with a chance, but I prefer to use him underneath. (7) KAMERAN HANOVER was a distant 2nd to a winner that was simply too fast for his rivals that night. He should take another share in this spot.

Race 7: F&M 4YO and Younger NW2 or $17,500 LT - Pick 4

(3) MOTOBOATIN took a big run at the leading 1 to 9 shot and put a 1/2-length in front nearing the 3/4 pole but she was rebuffed and she tired in the lane. A similar move can work vs. these and she gets the nod tonight. (1) ARKELL closed well to shade the choice for 3rd and she should be a threat tonight. (8) MORETHANMYHOMETOWN should improve racing back in NW2 company; using underneath. (2) FLO wasn’t doing much when she broke stride turning for home so I'm not sure why she is morning line chalk. She is one that I'll play to beat.

Race 8: F&M 4YO and Younger NW1 or $7,000 LT

(2) LA SEELSTER is bred to be much better than she has shown so far. She gets McNair for the first time in a pari-mutuel race and that is often a potent angle; price play. (8) SAULSBROOK C HORSE was good in defeat here on 5/27 in a race where the leader stole qualifier-like fractions. Sorrie should provide an aggressive steer tonight and she is the obvious danger. (1) RIBBON RIDGE, back in with maidens, also gets Henry back in the bike and she should be a factor in this spot; using. (3) A DISRUPTOR should be good for another share racing close to the pace.

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Race 9: NW $2,000 L3 or N/A $900 P/S in 21/22 AE: NW1 L7

(4) GOOD AND SWEET is a hard trier that gets needed class relief tonight and I can see him going down the road in this spot. (3) CORTEZ THE KILLER should find this class easier than claiming handicaps and Jamieson should put him in contention tonight; using. (7) THATLL BE SPORTY's current from is okay and he gets a big driver change to Roy tonight; price look. (5) ARUKIDINME CABBIE raced well last time when finishing ahead of the choice but he loses Jamieson to a driver who has only 12 starts at this track this year and has recorded one win. I wouldn't take a short price here.

Race 10: 4YO and Younger NW2 or $21,000 LT

(4) CENTURY IGLESIAS produced a good effort in his first start back when facing Grassroots foes. He looks solid in this field; top call. (3) GOOGLE MY CHROME figures to improve in this spot and Henry chose him over two others; using. (2) CODYS WATCHING was first up in his return race which should have him tighter for this second start as a four-year-old. He has upset potential. (5) ONTOP RAINMAN was in much tougher last time and he drew poorly then suffered interference. He is another that could go much better tonight. (1) SHIP DISTURBER can pass a few of these late and land in the High-5.