Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Tuesday 6/4

Top Pick Stats: 276 - 845 / $1547.40 (-$142.60)

Best Bets: 46 - 79 / $151.20 (-$6.80)

Spot Plays: 13 - 76 / $157.00 (+$5.00)

Best Bet: CHESTERMAN (9TH)

Spot Play: STATE OF PLAY (7TH)

Early Pick 5: 1,2,3,5/4,6/3,8/2,9/3,5,7 = $19.20

Late Pick 5: 3,4/1,5,8/1,2,4/1/5,9,10 = $10.80

Early Pick 4: 2,9/3,5,7/3,4/1,5,8 = $7.20

Late Pick 4: 1,5,8/1,2,4/1/5,9,10 = $5.40

Race 1: 5YO and younger NW1 or $7,000 LT **Gtd. $100,000 Pick 5**

(1) GONE GOODBYE trotted a decent last 1/4 when passing some rivals here on Thursday night and I’ll take a price shot with him firing back quickly off that effort. (5) STONY BURKE gets a key driver change to Macdonald after trying a Gold event. He is capable but he will also probably get over bet. Your call. (2) HEAVENS COUNT was making what looked like a winning move coming off the last turn when he blew up. He should be right there with these if he stays flat tonight. (3) VANJIE BLUE CHIP tried to bottom out the field last time and it almost worked. He could wire these if he cuts more reasonable fractions tonight. He is another in with a chance.

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Race 2: CLM HDCP $30,000 to $40,000

(6) ORDER ONE TO GO gets a short field here and that should make him formidable with the typical late kick he has been producing most of the year; top call. (4) COALITION HANOVER racing off the claim last week, was 2nd to a rival that has already won nine times this year. He stacks up well here. (3) HEAD HONCHO races off the Lalonde claim and adds Lasix and Jamieson, who has been winning races in bunches recently. He should be good for at least a share here. (1) HES SWIFT got a dream trip behind two duelers last week and he pounced when the time was right. These are tougher and he likely takes a small share here.

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Race 3: CLM HDCP $10,000 to $14,000

(3) MR BEAST took a shuffle on the final turn last time, but he still rallied well to win when he was shown racetrack. He shoots for the threepeat here racing off the Auciello claim and he gets top call. (8) ROYAL REGATTA goes for Moreau off the claim here and he will likely last longer on the engine here; using. (5) GO NINE O finished well without threatening the winner last time and he likely closes for another share here. (7) DIRTY LIL PIGLET can improve enough on the drop to take a slice in this spot.

Race 4: NW $2,350 L3 AE: OPT CLM $20,000 AE: N/A $1,110 P/S L10 - Pick 4

(2) RADIO LAB gets to take a big drop here after missing checks in three straight. He should be tough in this spot and Hensley will get more aggressive with him like he did in this last win on May 6th. (9) SWAN DIEGO is the other one that drops multiple class levels, and he too will likely be aggressive in this spot. He is the other one that I’ll use on early multi-race tickets. (5) COOL CLIFFORD improved when he dropped to this level last time and he was used hard early and still stayed for a slice. He has upset potential here. (3) ARCHIMEDES comes in off a nice win and he can get a share facing tougher here using his typical nice closing kick.

Race 5: POP UP SERIES Claiming $8,000

(7) JOURNALISTIC jogged racing off the McQueen claim in Dresden on Sunday and I’ll side with him on the quick return off that sharp win. (3) RISING DRAGON got a tough trip in Sarnia Saturday night and I expect Jamieson to put him into play early here and find a better trip; using. (5) CHOREOGRAPHER will likely blast early here, and I think he sticks around for at least share in this spot. (1) MALVOLIO will likely work out a nice following trip racing near the front here and land in the exotics.

Race 6: POP UP SERIES F&M Claiming $8,000 - Pick 5

(4) DEL DIGGITY won the last Pop Up series with McNair driving here in February and she looks best here in the opening leg of this one; top call. (3) SOMETHING ROYAL fires back quick off a nice closing effort in Sarnia on Saturday and she will likely be the main threat here. (2) ITALIA SEELSTER will likely fire to the front and try to take them all the way here but I prefer to use her underneath. (7) FERN HILL BELLA adds Lasix in this spot and she should be part of the exotics.

Race 7: CLM HDCP $19,000 to $24,000 - Pick 4

(5) STATE OF PLAY steps up off the Smith claim, but that trainer is clicking with 42% of his starters so far in 2024, many of whom won first off the claim. The tote will likely provide some clues here. (8) CAPTAIN FIREBALL drops, but he will probably offer a square price starting from the widest post; using. (1) J J TOMMY won impressively racing off the Barrington claim and he is another in with a shot here. (3) HIGHLAND BEACH BOY will take money racing off the Moreau claim but I prefer to use him underneath here.

Race 8: POP UP SERIES F&M Claiming $8,000

(4) TIMEWAITSONNOONE raced well in defeat at Kawartha on Friday and he stacks up well vs. these; top call. (1) BLOSSOM ONTHEBEACH fires back quickly off a decent effort at Dresden on Sunday and she adds Lasix. She can be an Exacta factor tonight. (2) BEST ACTRESS is in solid form, and she has shown that she can take a lot of air and keep coming. She has upset potential here. (5) MISSY ROCKS has a good late kick on her best day and she can close for a share here.

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Race 9: 4YO and younger NW1 or $7,500 LT

(1) CHESTERMAN, the only winner in this race, takes a massive class drop from Golds and he should be hard to beat in this spot. (5) ALWAYS B MELMAN just finished 2nd to a colt that would be favored in this field. He will likely complete a chalky Exacta. (6) CONTROLTHEOUTCOME qualified decently for this debut and (3) LOU GRANT shows breaks in two of his last three starts but he is capable of taking a share here if he can stay flat.

Race 10: POP UP SERIES Claiming $8,000

(10) KINKAID SEELSTER was snagged by Lester with an eye to this series and he enlists Roy to drive here. A big speed try is likely coming tonight. (5) SOUTHERN FLIGHT ships north from Buffalo off two big wins and he gets the leading driver. He would be no surprise here. (9) DARK MOVES has won three of his last four racing in London and Jamieson will put him in play leaving the gate here. He is in with a shot vs. these. (1) LIL RED SPORTSSTAR comes back quickly racing off the McQueen claim and he should contend for at least a share here. (4) PAPIAMENTO takes frequent shares and he gets McNair here. He should be in the mix vs. these.