Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Tuesday 6/29

Meet Stats: 36 - 127 / $228.60 (-$25.40)
Best Bets: 6 - 12 / $26.90 (+$2.90)
Spot Plays: 3 - 11 / $36.90 (+$14.90)
Best Bet: GOODNIGHT MOON (10TH)
Spot Play: RAYS KREDIT (6TH)
Early Pick 5: 2,3,6,8/5,6/1,4,6/2,4,9/3,10 = $28.80
Late Pick 5: 1,2,7/4,7/1,3,7/4,5,6/4 = $10.80
Early Pick 4: 2,4,9/3,10/1,2,7/4,7 = $36
Late Pick 4: 4,7/1,3,7/4,5,6/4 = $18
Race 1: 2YO Fillies NW1 LT **$100K Guaranteed Pick 5**
(8) SHY STELLA, a $40,000 Lexington Sale purchase, dominated in her second qualifier and she is sent out by a barn that has done well since racing resumed in Ontario. I'll give her the nod in a race with several possibilities. (3) COMPLETE LIFE, a $35,000 Lexington Sale buy, is a 1/2-sister to $1.5 million earner Charmed Life and she looks ready for this debut race; using. (6) BLUE BAYOU DEO looked good in her second qualifier and The Stable likes to win early. She's another to consider for the early Pick 5. (2) MAISYS MUSCLES is sent out by the same barn as the choice. She might be carefully-driven here considering she broke before the start of her June 18th qualifier.
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Race 2: 2YO Fillies NW1 LT
(5) HOLLYWOOD HANOVER looked good in her June 18th qualifier in a race over a track rated two seconds slow. She was overtaken late only by one rival that was raging with pace and she should have a very good chance here. Her stablemate (6) SILENT CROSSING finished well in her qualifier four days ago and she might be the one to beat. (2) LAURALANTHALASA exits a strong maiden race and she should be better this week; using underneath. (3) MARA LOU was up against it trying to close into a quick back 1/2 in her lone qualifier. She can take a small share here.
[DRF BETS: Wager on tonight's Mohawk Park card at DRF Bets.com!]
Race 3: 4YO and Younger NW2 (F&M3) or $20,000 (F&M $25,000)
(4) HOPE SO should get better position early in a spot where she should be one of the top contenders and I'll give her the nod over improving (1) SPARTAN GENERAL. (6) MODERN MASS has been facing tougher NW2 and she is the third one that I'll use in this Pick 5 sequence. The latter impressed breaking his maiden last week and a repeat of that mile puts him right there tonight. (2) RADICAL JJ gets Team Steacy's main driver tonight and Macdonald has never driven better than he is right now. She is a wakeup candidate tonight.
Race 4: NW $3,000 L5 or $9,000 L9 - Pick 4
This should be an easier spot for (2) IDEAL JET and he picks up hot driver Macdonald here; top call. (4) SNAP TEST improved last week and he could be sitting on a big effort now; using. (9) ALWAYS N THE MONEY woke up with a nice winning effort last week and he figures here again. He's not out of this. (6) SEA LAIRD gets away from the hot Chiefs Beach. He can take a share tonight.
Race 5: NW $3,250 L5 or $7,000 L10
(10) TT CONWAY raced well last week only to be overtaken late by the lone class dropper in the field. He should have a big shot vs. these despite drawing widest. (3) MAGICAL SPELL took two tours of the track at the back of the pack in both starts since returning but both of those were from bad posts. Moving inside he has the capability of blowing up the tote board as he does once or twice every year. (5) WINGS UP should improve in this second start back; consider for the exotics. (6) SOMBRE couldn't go with the choice late in the mile last week; small share predicted.
Race 6: CLAIMING HANDICAP $24,000 to $30,000 - Pick 5
(7) RAYS KREDIT has been absolutely flying at the wire in both starts since returning from the break and I'll stick with him here expecting another square price. (1) JAYDENS PLACE is on a roll and he is the obvious one to beat. (2) FIRST CLASS HORSE raced too good to lose last week and he is another in with a good shot here. (3) QUAN BLUE CHIP should go forward with a start in the books since the break; using on the bottom.
Race 7: F&M 4YO and Younger NW2 or $21,000 - Pick 4
(7) WESTERN WISH looked dynamite winning her local debut race and she gets the call to repeat here. (4) JODY has been on fire herself and she is the one to take down as she goes for the threepeat to start 2021. (8) TWIN B SUNKISSED looks clearly third best on paper and she can complete a chalky Tri. (3) COME ROLL WITH ME had a decent comeback race against the choice and she is another that should be in the Super.
Race 8: 2YO NW1 LT
(1) RENEGADE GYPSY has finished fast in bot qualifiers and he is likely going to look to make a middle brush and crush move here at first asking. (7) FEEL THE FORCE, a $22,000 Lexington buy, is by an exciting new sire and he is related to several winners including $364K earner Covert Operative. He would be no surprise should he win this debut race. (3) CACIO E PEPE looks well-prepped for this debut and he should be in the hunt vs. these. (4) BAR BRAWL is likely to go as fast as he can for as far as he can with Toscani driving. I expect him to hang on for a small share only.
[DRF BETS: Wager on tonight's Mohawk Park card at DRF Bets.com!]
Race 9: PREFERRED
(4) PIKACHU HANOVER tripped out as the choice to win this class last week and in this short field another great trip is likely; call to repeat. (5) PERFETTO finally draws a decent post (due to the short field) and he is going to pop soon; maybe tonight? (6) TREASURED TEE will be likely the pacesetter again and he can get brave if he steals a breather. He isn't out of this. (1) ZIG ZAG should be good for a smaller share.
Race 10: F&M 4YO and Younger NW1 or $7,000 LT
(4) GOOD NIGHT MOON stands out here off her 1:53 2/5 mile last week and I imagine Macdonald will look to control this race from the outset. She should be hard to beat. (2) AILEY HANOVER shows some Pennsylvania races that put her in the picture vs. these and she can be an Exacta factor starting from an improved post tonight. (3) TWIN B BEACHDREAMS should move up tonight but I prefer to use her underneath. (5) KATYS DELIGT is likely to show some early zip and hang on for a share. (7) STORMY PLACE is likely to leave quicker tonight and that should help her take a share.

