Woodbine Harness

Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Tuesday 6/21

Garnet Barnsdale|Jun 20, 2022

Meet Stats: 289 - 935 / $1,569.10 (-$301.90)

Best Bets: 49 - 89 / $166.00 (-$12.00)

Spot Plays: 28 - 89 / $182.00 (+$4.00)

Best Bet: I LOVE ONGAIT (3RD)

Spot Play: NASSAU HANOVER (9TH)

Early Pick 5: 1,5/3,8,10/3/4,6,9,10/3,5,7 = $14.40

Late Pick 5: 3/3,4,6/5,7/1,4,8/1,2,4,6 = $14.40

Early Pick 4: 4,6,9,10/3,5,7/3/3,4,6 = $36

Late Pick 4: 3,4,6/5/1,4,8/1,2,4,6 = $36

Race 1: 4YO and Younger NW1 or $7,000 LT **Guaranteed $100,000 Pick 5**

(1) R HOT TODDY was overtaken late by a relentless rival that trotted a 28 1/5 kicker to get past him. That was a good effort and he gets top call in the opening leg of the early Pick 5. (5) THE BLACK ACE is an obvious threat coming in off an impressive blowout qualifier win; using. (4) GIVE ME KARETS K likely comes on late for another small share tonight; using underneath. (7) SEEKING SALVATION is worth a look for the exotics facing easier tonight.

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Race 2: 4YO and Younger NW2 or $15,000 LT

(3) MR BEAST probably deserved better last week after pacing a 27-flat third 1/4 uncovered then following it up with a 27 2/5 kicker. Off that strong effort, he gets the nod here. (10) PERSISTANT BOY looked good zooming past the leaders in deep stretch last time, but part of that big kick was a production of getting an easy covered up trip. He is a contender right back but he will have to work out a trip starting from out there. (8) TWIN B JAMMER, a blowout maiden breaker in good time, is in the mix again. McNair keeps the drive tonight. (9) SOUTHWIND PHAROAH finished well last week and he is worth using on the bottom of the exotics here.

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Race 3: F&M 4YO and Younger NW2 or $25,000 LT

(3) I LOVE ONGAIT drops out of Grand Circuit company and this is a field that she should handle; top call. (2) UNITY drops from NW3 into a spot where she should improve; Exacta factor. (4) SAULSBROOK C HORSE converted as expected to beat maidens last week and she should be in the exotics mix here. (8) ARKELL figures to pass a few of these late and close for a share.

Race 4: CLM HDCP $22,000 to $30,000 - Pick 4

(4) CHOREOGRAPHER skipped a week which makes me think that a big speed try (similar to his race two starts back) is coming here; top call. (9) MACHIN A TRICK made an early move last time and it paid off. He is a threat right back. (10) JULERICA is always in the hunt, but I don't love the 10-hole for him. I'd demand a price here. (6) HIGH FLYIN JAMIE re-rallied for 2nd last week without threatening the winner. I'll use him underneath here.

Race 5: 3YO Colts and Geldings Grassroots Starters

(7) CAMARA MOMENT stayed flat and flew home last week now he gets regular driver Roy back. I'll side with him expecting a more aggressive steer this week. (3) DYNOMITES PEAK is another that was motoring late that will likely get better position today; using. (5) FINAL CHEESERECIPE tripped out and went on to take a new life's mark and he is well positioned to get another great trip tonight. He is another in with a shot in a competitive field. (2) JABBERWOCKY, who paced a 53 3/5 back 1/2 last week, is worth a look for the bottom of the exotics.

Race 6: 5YO and Younger NW2 (F&M3) or $28,000 LT - Pick 5

(3) SIMCOE SEELSTER is the fastest horse in this field and the addition of hopples in his June 14th qualifier appears to have solved his gait issues; top call. (2) POCOHONTAS trotted a 55 3/5 back 1/2 last week and she has can add some value to the exotics here. (9) MUSCULUS MASSA is in solid form and he figures to get position near the front leaving the gate and land in the exotics again. (5) HEAVENS PIC broke on the lead nearing the wire last time but he was so far ahead that he was able to lose sufficient ground and not get lapped on, so he stood as the winner. This is tougher and I'll use him underneath.

Race 7: F&M 4YO and Younger NW1 or $7,000 LT - Pick 4

(3) BEYOND THE SEA was highly-regarded early in her rookie season and she hinted at a bit of ability in an abbreviated campaign. I’ll give her the nod here expecting a square price in this sophomore debut. (4) QUEEN OF SOUL gets post relief after racing okay from post 10. She is in with a decent chance tonight. (6) TALL DARK BEAUTY couldn’t reach the winner last time but she remains a viable option for multi-race tickets. (1) JMM HANOVER is capable of improving enough in this second start to take a share.

Race 8: 5YO and Younger NW2 (F&M3) or $28,000 LT

(5) WARRAWEE XENIA has looked good winning two straight and she gets the nod to keep that streak going facing NW2 again tonight. (7) R ROYAL PORT takes a big drop out of Grand Circuit company and he should be the main danger. (1) SIR BALLYKEEL flew home last week now price will be gone and I don't love the 1-hole for him; using underneath. (3) PROFITEER has the talent to beat these if he can stay flat. Perhaps the barn change will help?

Race 9: 3YO Colts and Geldings Prospect Series Starters

(1) NASSAU HANOVER jogged and was claimed by Pentland who doesn't take many via the claim box; top call. (4) HES A LADIES MAN gets post relief coming off a solid effort and he figures to be right there tonight. (8) MOONWATCHER has been on a roll at the B tracks now he gets Jamieson for this. He is another in with a shot here. (3) CARSON STAR CHOICE chased home a runaway winner and his improving form should be respected.

Race 10: 3YO Fillies Grassroots Starters

(6) DEWITT FOR JOSIE beat better than these in May and she should offer a good price coming off a break in stride; top call. (2) GOUDAWON, an easy winner as the chalk last time, figures to be the one to beat here; using. (4) MORETHANMYHOMETOWN likely lays a bit closer here and rallies late again. She is in with a decent chance tonight. (1) MARYKEEPONURNIN should get another good stalking trip here which will promote her sharp late rally. This is a spread race for me. (3) SAKE TUMI jogged against maidens but this is much tougher; small share predicted.