Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Tuesday 10/6

Meet Stats: 262 - 831 / $1528.10 (-$133.90)
Best Bets: 42 - 74 / $138.60 (-$10.40)
Spot Plays: 13 - 76 / $108.50 (-$43.50)
Best Bet: MASSIVE FLIRT (10TH)
Spot Play: DREAM ALL NIGHT (3RD)
Early Pick 5: 1,7,9/2,5/4,9/1/3,5,6,9 = $19.20
Late Pick 5: 4,5,8/3,4,5,8/7/1,2,4/1 = $7.20
Early Pick 4: 1/3,5,6,9/4,5,8/3,4,5,8 = $48
Late Pick 4: 7/1,2,4/1/4,8,9 = $9

Race 1: CLAIMING HDCP $10,000 to $12,000 **GTD $100,000 Pick 5**

(7) E L WILD SPIRIT paced a big mile when claimed and he gets the call to repeat facing similar here. (1) OUTLAW GUNPOWDER seems to be cycling towards a top effort and I'll use him in this Pick 5. (9) COOL ROCK was airborne late last week but earlier traffic issues had him too far back to threaten the leaders. He isn't without a chance here but starting from the 9-hole, he will likely need to pass them all again. (10) LEVY TAYLORE is another winless horse in 2020 - like Cool Rock - who figures to be passing some of these late; using underneath.

Race 2: ONTARIO SIRES STAKES GOLD 2YO FILLIES

(2) IMEXTRASPECIAL dominated some of these last time and she looks solid to repeat in this field. (5) UP AND READY was picked off late by a good filly and she figures to be the main danger here. (1) MEADOWVIEW LILLY trotted her fastest mile yet last time after coming off a break and she has upset possibilities here. (4) DICENTRA should be in the mix again, but she was easily handled by the choice last time; using underneath.

Race 3: F&M CLAIMING HDCP $10,000 to $15,000

(4) DREAM ALL NIGHT has raced well in two straight and I can see her rolling by these late this time; top call. (9) HIGHMOON SUNSHINE drops back to the claimed level where she should wake up facing much easier, but I couldn't classify her as a lock starting from the worst post. (8) MOCODRA is currently very sharp and she should be a good price again, but I prefer to use her underneath in this spot. (7) MISS ROCKADALI should be leaving, and I see her hanging around for a share vs. these.

Race 4: ONTARIO SIRES STAKES GOLD 2YO FILLIES - Pick 4

(1) P L NOTSONICE just dominated a solid group of mixed gender and she looks tough to beat here racing against only sophomore fillies. (6) WARRAWEE VICKY used her ample gate speed to control her most recent race at Flamboro from the outset and she looks like the main threat. (4) MCKEES ANGEL is capable on her best but considering her frequent gait issues I'd demand a price if you like her. (2) SUSIES LADY rarely misses the board and it would be no surprise if she bettered this prediction.

Race 5: 2YO FILLIES NW1 or $7,000 LT

(9) SHES GOT IT ALL raced decently against better in Grassroots races and she should be tough here if she gets put into the race. (6) BUMP IN THE ROAD has two starts under her belt which were okay, and she could get more aggressive here in a field where she seems to fit well; using. (5) AILEY HANOVER couldn't quite reach the leader last week but that was one of the best races on the program page and she’s an obvious threat. (3) WILDCAT VICTORIA couldn't close into an accelerating pace last time. She has upset potential here, especially if Roy positions her near the front early.

Race 6: CLAIMING HDCP $12,000 to $15,000 - Pick 5

(4) UPVOTE HANOVER was out a long way last time but he was on cover that didn’t stop until they reached the lane. That was still a decent effort and he stacks up well vs. these; top call. (5) MONTALBANO BI came flying late in his first start racing out of a new barn and he is capable of showing more early zip; speed blast coming this time? (8) DR SPENGLER interestingly goes back to former trainer Vanderkemp here and he is familiar with his quirks. He's a must-use for me. (10) YOOOUKILIS raced okay off the Shepherd claim and he should be good for another share in this spot.

Race 7: F&M 4YO and Younger NW1 or $10,500 LT

(4) FIORELLA stayed in last time and she ended up looking for room until deep stretch when it was too late at that point. She finished with good energy and I'll give her top call here. (3) TRIZZLE TRAZZLE is 1 for 21 but her current form is good, and she fits well vs. these. (8) ADMITYOUREWRONG's last two starts are decent enough to qualify her as a contender in this spot. (5) J M BETTING HEARTS should go better here if she can find a helmet to follow; another chance in a wide-open race.

Race 8: ONTARIO SIRES STAKES GOLD 2YO FILLIES - Pick 4

(7) YOU WILL BE QUEEN is clearly best on paper here and she likely converts at a short price. (6) FOX VALLEY LIZA is capable of giving the choice a race if she can stay flat, Exacta factor. (2) PIXIES LADY wasn’t that far behind the choice last time and she should be in the Tri again. (4) CLASSY CAROL is worth a look for the exotics moving off post 9; using on the bottom.

Race 9: NW $29,500 L5 or $160,000 LT AE: OPT CLM $75,000

(1) PERFETTO has been closest to the hot PL Jill who doesn't qualify for this race and he gets the nod in a contentious race. (2) FREE WILLY HANOVER drops, and he seems to never throw in a clunker. He is a must-use for me. (4) COOL MUSCLE has an incredible string of 2nd-place finishes going and he is hard to leave out of the Tri. (10) GRANDMA HEIDI fits here but I don’t like the10-hole for her as she does her best work controlling the race from the outset; using on the bottom only.

Race 10: ONTARIO SIRES STAKES GOLD 3YO FILLIES

(1) MASSIVE FLIRT beat many of these easily last time and she should be tough to beat here. (4) MAGIC CAPE was closest to the choice and she should be an Exacta factor again. (5) MODERN MASS is always in the mix for a share and she should sit another decent trip here and land in the Tri or Super. (3) SHAPE SHIFTER ships in with good form and she is another to consider using underneath.

Race 11: F&M 4YO and Younger NW2 or $17,000 LT

(8) RUBY ON RAILS was thwarted by a glacial early pace last time and she still kicked home fast. I'll give her the nod here. (9) BETTIMONTHERIVER is an obvious threat coming off a fast win in her first start over this track and she is on my late Pick 4 ticket despite drawing worst. (4) NICE KITTY HANOVER blew up before the start as the 3 to 5 chalk and if she has that issue straightened out, she will contend here, likely at a better price now. (6) PATRICIA MAE stole a slow opening 1/2 last time and she couldn't seal the deal. I see her as a fringe player here. (1) HAPPY LOOKER should be in the mix for another small share here.