Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Thursday 9/9

Meet Stats: 215 – 622 / $1,151.50 (-$92.50

Best Bets: 30 – 57 / $110.10 (-$3.90)

Spot Plays: 18 – 57 / $141.30 (+$27.30)

Best Bet: SUPERLATIVE (8TH)

Spot Play: VICTORY MOVE (10TH)

Early Pick 5: 2,5/2,4/2,5,6/5,6,8/2,4,9 = $21.60

Late Pick 5: 5,9/2,8/3,8/1,3,5/5,6,7 = $14.40

Early Pick 4: 5,6,8/2,4,9/5,9/2,8 = $36

Late Pick 4: 2,8/3,8/1,3,5/5,6,7 = $36

Race 1: 4YO and Younger NW2 (F&M3) or $20,000 (F&M $30,000) LT **Guaranteed $100,000 Pick 5**

(5) DIEHARD SEELSTER trotted a big back 1/2 to just miss in a Grassroots race last time. Macdonald, who continues to excel, sticks, and he should have a big shot in here. (2) P L OLIVIA has the fastest mark in the race taken two starts back and she gets an interesting driver change to Morales here. She should be a threat racing on or near the front. (1) ROSIES WAR BONDS is capable of taking a good share here at a price; using underneath. (10) HARRY is capable but he shows two breaks in his last three starts. He needs a clean line here so I can only use him on the bottom.

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Race 2: 2YO Fillies NW $7,000 LT

(2) FROMAKINGTOAQUEEN was good in her debut but the winner was just too tough. I'll give her a slight nod here to graduate. (4) FEELITINYOURHANDS will likely be the chalk here having been beaten by only four lengths to the outstanding Silver Label and she is hard to leave off Pick 5 tickets. (6) IVORY HANOVER drops out of a Gold race and she is another that should improve in this spot but I prefer to use here underneath the top two. (7) UNITY should be good for a small share in this compact field.

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Race 3: NW3 (F&M5) or $40,000 (F&M $50,000) LT

(2) MAGIC CAPE returns from Pennsylvania in excellent form and she fits well vs. this group; top call. (6) NO ANGEL HERE easily beat a filly that came back to win a Grand Circuit race while trotting a 1:53 4/5 mile in her next start. She is hard to leave out of the Pick 5. (5) IGLARE AM comes off a nice effort and she draws better here. She should be heard from in the lane. (3) TUCKERS OUT is worth a look for the exotics making his third start back.

Race 4: F&M 4YO and Younger NW1 or $9,500 LT - Pick 4

(8) GEORGIA JANUARY tried a first up move last time that didn't work. This race has the feel of one that Macdonald will take control of at the start and she gets my nod. (6) MY MOTHER PEARL is probably the best filly in this race but with eight 2nds in 13 starts, it's hard to accept a short price on her in a race where she should take a lot of action. (5) CLOVER is another who comes off a failed first-over trip who can be much better here if she finds cover; using. (4) NOTHINGCOMPARESTOU, with seven shares in 13 races, is another that will get bet that I am inclined to try to beat.

Race 5: 4YO and Younger NW1 or $7,000 LT

(2) MAPPOS LION showed in his race two starts back that he has the speed to race on the big track here and he brings tremendous form west from the Maritimes; top call. (4) DR JOE was better last week and if he can lay a bit closer tonight her should be right there on the wire; using. (9) GLOBAL CRUSH tired the mid-race brush and crush and it almost worked. He is 0 for 21 but he should take that elusive maiden win soon and it might come tonight. (8) TWIN B JAMMER is racing between Grassroots races so it's hard to predict intent. I'll use him on the bottom.

Race 6: NW $3,000 L5 or $8,100 L10 - Pick 5

(9) BRONZE YANKEE was a winner last time he raced this low. Maybe McNair guns him to the front and sends him right down the road tonight. (5) GP DREAMIN was hounded to a quick 1/2 after blasting to the front last week and she did well to lead to the stretch and hang around for third. She should be the main danger here. (6) THE FIRST CHAPTER is the one that took on GP Dreamin and couldn't clear. He could take a share if he gets a better steer this week. (4) VILLEFRANCHE AS is capable at this level but she needs a clean line. I see her coming on late to take a small share if she stays flat.

Race 7: CLM $17,500 for NW $88,000 LT - Pick 4

(8) RADLEY HANOVER rallied well in a very fast mile chasing a leader that was long gone. I can see a speed blast coming now; top call. (2) SUNNY BO was an easy winner when he dropped out of the claiming handicap into these conditioned claimers and he figures to be a big threat again; using. (7) NO TIME AT ALL should improve facing easier here while making his fourth start off the claim. He's in with a decent chance tonight. (9) SAM MCKEE HANOVER gets saddled with a tough post again and I'll use him on the bottom only.

Race 8: NW $3,000 L5 or $8,100 L10

(8) SUPERLATIVE takes a mighty class drop here and I expect that she will be much closer to the front leaving the gate than she typically has been. She should be tough to beat at this level. (3) SORPRESE was a winner last time she raced this low at Hiawatha Horse Park and he should be heard from tonight. She should be the main danger. (7) INTENSE JUSTICE was good at this level two starts back and I see her finishing in the Tri if she stays flat tonight. (1) MUSICAL SPELL can sit a trip and take another slice.

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Race 9: 4YO and Younger NW2 or $18,500 LT

(3) CONTROL ME ONCE raced great last week but the winner got a better trip and rolled by late. He should tough in here. (1) NELSONEDDY HANOVER has been in fast races every week. This looks like an easier field and he has upset potential. (5) COLD CREEK QUESO gets Christoforou after breaking stride at the start of a Grand Circuit race. His strong late kick puts him in the picture here and he is another multi-race possibility. (4) SUNDOWN should land a spot in the Tri or Super racing from close range.

Race 10: CLM $17,500 for NW $41,000 LT

(5) VICTORY MOVE altered course to find racing room in the lane, then he was squeezed and knocked off stride by a rival which likely cost him an in the money finish. I like that Macdonald was aggressive with him early and he could be a pocket rocket tonight. (7) MYINSIDEVOICE faces easier here and if he tries the front again, he has a good chance of success; using. (6) GAMBLING PRINCE made some good late gains after being affected by the same jam up that the choice was involved in. He is another that is in with a chance here. (1) ALL CHEDDAR rolled up late for a nice share but he avoided (and likely benefitted) from the trouble; using on the bottom. (2) BIGMACHWITHCHEESE is capable of grabbing a check if he stays flat this time; consider for the bottom.