Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Thursday 9/28

Top Pick Stats: 442 - 1315 / $2,370.20 (-$237.80)

Best Bets: 71 - 125 / $244.10 (-$5.90)

Spot Plays: 23 - 126 / $145.80 (-$96.70)

Best Bet: FABULOUS FREDDIE (6TH)

Spot Play: ACEFORTYFOUR BELLA (2ND)

Early Pick 5: 3,5,7/8/2,5,6/3,5,8/1,2,5,8 = $21.60

Late Pick 5: 9/1,2,8/1,4/4,5,7,8/4,6,7 = $14.40

Early Pick 4: 3,5,8/1,2,5,8/9/1,2,8 = $7.20

Late Pick 4: 1,4/4,5,7,8/4,6,7/5,7 = $9.60

Race 1: 2YO colts and geldings NW1 or $5,000 LT **Gtd. $100,000 Pick 5**

(7) SPIROS has taken checks in Gold and Grassroots races, and he can beat these maidens if he stays flat tonight. (3) P L ROBERT G raced okay on debut, following the winner the whole way. He is a contender here in a race with no standout. $10,000 yearling (5) PAY THE PRICE qualified well for this debut. He is another for consideration for the early Pick 5. (4) COME ON STANLEY came close to winning a Grassroots race in July, but recent form isn't great. I'll use him on the bottom.

[DRF HARNESS: Get Harness Eye PPs for this card]

Race 2: 2YO fillies NW1 or $5,000 LT

(8) ACEFORTYFOUR BELLA was moving well at the end of her debut, and she will likely be used more aggressively with that first start under her belt. I'll give her the nod here. (2) BET IM SHADY is showing improvement for veteran trainer Pentland and she is in with a shot tonight facing tougher. (4) BETH fired a nice kicker last time. I can see her closing to take a good share in this spot. (6) PAM, 4th behind a runaway debut winner in her most recent start, should be good for another slice here.

[DRF HARNESS: Get Harness Eye PPs for this card]

Race 3: ONTARIO SIRES STAKES GOLD LEG 5 3YO PACING FILLIES

(5) SAVETHELASTDANCE got a perfect tightener in against some salty aged mares that should set her up perfectly for this Gold leg; top call. (2) CHEESY SMILE powered home in 25 2/5 to take a good share against Grand Circuit fillies when last seen here and she is the main one to fear. (6) MOMENTARY CONTROL also comes in off a solid tightener and she best puts her right there with these; using. (3) TALK CURDY TO ME moves up off a nice Grassroots win. She is in the mix for a good share.

Race 4: 2YO fillies NW1 or $5,000 LT - Pick 4

(3) MASS MONEY gets a big driver change here with owner trainer Etsell handing the lines to McClure and she can show sharp improvement. I'll give her the nod to upset likely favorite (8) VANJIE BLUE CHIP who exits Grand Circuit races where she wasn't disgraced. (5) WOMAN OF PASSION, who also takes the giant drop from the Grand Circuit to a maiden race, is another that you have to give a long look for multi-race tickets. (6) THE RIGHT TIME was right there in three straight starts vs. maidens and she should be in the mix if she can stay trotting.

Race 5: CLM HDCP $15,000 to $18,000 for NW $45,500 LT AE: NW2 L10

(5) THEDOGINTHEFIGHT comes off an improved effort for a high percentage barn and I'll try him in a wide-open cash leg of the early Pick 5. (2) VIPER comes in sharp from Kawartha Downs and he picks up the leading driver. He will probably be the one to fend off late. (8) SAULSBROOK BOOMER’s most recent line is a toss because of an equipment break. His best puts him right there with these and he will likely be the one to catch. (1) BETTER STYLE has compiled a great record this year and he is another in with a shot.

Race 6: 2YO colts and gelding NW1 or $5,000 LT - Pick 5

(9) FABULOUS FREDDIE comes off a great Grassroots try, and he is the clear top pick here. (1) ROCK CLIMBER blew up at the start at 2 to 5 now he draws the rail which likely isn't ideal. I'd demand a price if you are sticking with him. (6) GAME STATS is another dropping out of Grassroots races. He should improve enough to take a slice. (5) FLEX ON THEM trotted a good back 1/2 in his second qualifier. He can close for a small share on debut here.

Race 7: 5YO and younger NW1 or $7,000 LT

Tough race here. (2) JONNY BOOTS 27 2/5 kicker in his return race may be an indicator that he has turned a corner. Sorrie sticks and I'll give him a slight nod. Debutante (8) SOCIAL DISTANCED lands in a good spot for this initial outing and she is worth using on late multi-race tickets. (1) ARCHIMEDES good late kick makes him worth a look at a price. (9) CONNOR is fast enough to contend if he can stay flat but there is obvious risk with this one.

Race 8: ONTARIO SIRES STAKES GOLD LEG 5 3YO PACING FILLIES - Pick 4

(1) ONE LAST WISH tuned up for this Gold leg with a qualifier against top aged stallion Jimmy Freight. She should be ready to roll here. (4) MIST AMBER was in that same qualifier, and she comes off a Gold win where she produced a furious late rally to get up right on the wire. She is improving and dangerous. (2) LYONS BETTORDAY gets bet frequently but she is 2 for 26. I see her closing for a slice tonight. (3) IMA DOLL made a couple of moves in her most recent start which should keep her sharp for this Gold try. She is always around the money it seems, and she can take a share here.

Race 9: F&M CLM HDCP $15,000 to $18,000 for NW $40,000 LT

(7) BADDITUDE should be able to make front in this field and I can see Roy sending her right down the road or riding the pocket to victory vs. these. (8) HILLBILLY JET’s Flamboro experiment didn't go well. She has shown she can produce a fast mile over this track, and she should be the main threat here. (5) MITTANY NICOLE made a nice wide move late in her last start at Flamboro and she picks up McNair now. She should be coming late, looking for her seventh win of the year; using. (4) LITTLE T parked a long way and still got a check. She has upset possibilities.

[DRF HARNESS: Sign up for our FREE DRF Harness Digest Newsletter]

Race 10: 5YO and younger NW1 or $7,500 LT

(4) CHEDDAR DUHARAS paced a sub-55 back 1/2 in his Mohawk Park debut and a similar effort can get the job done vs. these. (6) MONEY ON THE BEACH likely needed his last start after missing a month and he should be sharper and more dangerous here; using. (7) BOBCAYGEON was much better in his second start, and he could get more aggressive now. He is another in with a chance. (3) DARKKNIGHTS SHADOW had a clear run up the pylons last time and could do no better than 3rd. Another small share is likely for him here.

Race 11: F&M CLM HDCP $15,000 to $18,000 for NW $21,000 LT

(5) SNAKE EYES HANOVER was out a long way before making front and he had no answer for his main challenger. He looks good vs these. (7) MATTHEWS RITA comes off a strong closing effort at Grand River and she gets Young in the bike now. She should be the one to fend off late. (6) MS CHANTALMACHABAY raced much better last week but I'm not sure she gets the same fast pace to stalk in this spot. I'll play to beat her as a likely underlay. (1) ACEFORTYFOUR DAISY gets a big driver change to J Mac tonight and she can close for a share. (4) BARSTOW BELLE threw in a clunker last time, but she has shown that she is capable of taking a share at this level.