Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Thursday 9/10/26

Top Pick Stats: 499/1599 (-$802.10)

Best Bets: 58/144 (-$41.90)

Spot Plays: 32/147 (-$88.40)

Best Bet: SOUTH PARK (Race 6)

Spot Play: MY CLASSY QUEEN (Race 4)

Early Pick-5: 2,10/5,6/3,4/7/2,6 = $3.20

Late Pick-5: 2/4,7/1,7/2,8/3,4,5,6 = $6.40

Race 1: 2 YEAR OLD FILLIES: NW 1 RACE OR $10,000 LIFETIME. NO ALLOWANCES.

(2) NINE TO FIVE has been clearly better in her last two outings and is sitting on a win against this group. (10) SHAKE YOUR MASS got back to form in her latest qualifier and could be a clear threat if she repeats that mile. (7) PEACHY DEE makes her second start on Lasix after an early miscue spoiled start one. Still a bit of a pain to trust, but I’ll use her underneath.

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Race 2: 4 YEAR OLDS & YOUNGER, NW 2 (OS 4) RACES OR $21,500 (OS $25,000) LIFETIME.

(5) IMPERATIVE might need one after a few weeks off but I like that she has a morning prep under her belt since returning from Kentucky. (6) STORMONT FAST BOY broke his maiden after getting a nice trip. He has gotten better with each start. (3) MONKEY TALK took a liking to Lasix and also broke his maiden last week. I can see any one of these three winning tonight.

Race 3: FILLIES & MARES, 4 YEAR OLDS & YOUNGER, NW 1 RACE (WINNERS FOR A PURSE OF $12,000 OR LESS 2 RACES) OR $10,000 LIFETIME. NO ALLOWANCES.

(4) HILARYS HITLIST was stuck chasing some quick fillies last week but got around the track decently in her own right. I expect the trip to be much better. (3) LUCY LOU WHO comes out of the same race with a similar excuse, but she has improved with each start so far. (2) CHRISTINE MICK VEE lost as the favorite last week but had to manage a front end lead on an off track. If she can work off a helmet from up close, she could be dangerous.

Race 4: 4 YEAR OLDS & YOUNGER, NW 1 (WINNERS FOR A PURSE OF $12,000 OR LESS 2 RACES) RACE OR $10,000 LIFETIME. NO ALLOWANCES. AE: 3 YO N/A $765 P/S IN 2026.

(7) MY CLASSY QUEEN has the most starts under her belt in this group without a win, but I thought last week was her best mile in a while, and she drops back down to face easier company. (4) DOUNEEDTHEMACHINE hung again in the stretch and really should have gotten second. The miles are flashy but she is hard to trust. (3) ANTONELLA hasn’t performed since the qualifier but she trotted a decent mile in that outing. She could pass a couple rivals and land on the ticket at a price.

Race 5: 2 YEAR OLD COLTS & GELDINGS: NW 1 RACE OR $10,000 LIFETIME. NO ALLOWANCES.

(6) CUZZIN JETHRO had to wait for room to materialize after being shuffled. By the time he was fully asked, others got the jump. Look for a better performance tonight. (2) SLICK DRAW was one of the horses who had more momentum on the outside against Cuzzin Jethro. It was a sharp effort for a horse that is clearly improving. (5) UP SHEETS CREEK makes his debut after three qualifiers. Hard to imagine top connections not having him ready to improve.

Race 6: 2 YEAR OLD COLTS & GELDINGS: NW 1 RACE OR $12,000 LIFETIME. NO ALLOWANCES.

(2) SOUTH PARK was closing best of all in the stretch and that was only his debut. Look for him to show more tonight if positioned correctly. (8) IF POSSIBLE looked like he wanted to win after getting a pocket trip, but notably got minimal urging from the driver in the stretch. Not sure what happens now. (7) MESS AROUND trotted well in the stretch and is clearly improving. Another step forward puts him in the mix.

Race 7: 3 YEAR OLD COLTS & GELDINGS: GRASSROOTS STARTERS.

(4) MIKE ME UP has ripped off four straight wins and draws well for a try at his fifth. (7) FIRST CLASS MASS was extremely game when fending off a rival to his outside and getting the win last week. J-Mac sticks and is easy to trust. (1) WOLVERINE LEGEND was better in his latest and has gotten plenty of pieces against Grassroots types.

Race 8: 2 YEAR OLD FILLIES: NW 1 RACE OR $10,000 LIFETIME. NO ALLOWANCES.

(7) SOPHIES SECRET looks ready to roll on debut after improving in each qualifier. These connections have them ready. (1) LOVE MY FRENCHIE finished just behind Sophies Secret in that qualifier and has showcased decent speed in limited outings. (2) ISLAND GIRL wasn’t able to sustain her move against two top fillies but is another who has shown speed and could contend with the right trip.

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Race 9: 3 YEAR OLD FILLIES: GRASSROOTS STARTERS.

(8) RONDA MAY K ripped off a sharp win in her latest, which was the best we’ve seen her look in a while. A clone of that sees her repeat. (2) ELBOWS UP has been excellent this year but was unable to finish the mile in her latest. Hard to leave her out of the top two. (3) UPGRADE seems to only strike when at a price, which happened last week. I don’t think she stacks up against the top two here, however.

Race 10: FILLIES & MARES NW 2 RACES OR $31,000 (OS $43,500) LIFETIME. AE: N/A $1,765 P/S IN 2025-26.

(3) CHEX MIX wound up being a pari-mutuel refund in her latest after a good win. Roy sticking this week is key. (6) PATS QUEEN just tried the Simcoe and actually trotted a decent mile. Not sure what trip she gets tonight, however. (5) LIFE IS GREAT was a decent third in her latest and continues to rack up checks. I’ll look for that trend to continue.