Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Thursday 8/5

Meet Stats: 132 – 387 / $745.30 (-$28.70)
Best Bets: 19 – 37 / $76.60 (+$2.60)
Spot Plays: 15 – 37 / $102.40 (+$28.40)
Best Bet: ROSE RUN XCENTRIC (2ND)
Spot Play: RADLEY HANOVER (8TH)
Early Pick 5: 1,3,8/4/1,9/2,7/3,6,7,10 = $9.60
Late Pick 5: 1,4,6/2/1,4/7/2,4,5 = $3.60
Early Pick 4: 2,7/3,6,7,10/1,4,6/2 = $24
Late Pick 4: 1,4/7/2,4,5/1,2,3,4 = $24
Race 1: Ont Sired 2YO Fillies Who Have Entered in Grassroots **Guaranteed $100,000 Pick 5**
(8) LADY CHRISLYN was in good position to strike coming down the lane last week but she had to check up when a rival moved out right in front of her then she had to alter course to the inside. She finished greenly but with some pace and she could be a great price option to kick off the early Pick 5. (3) CRÈME DELIGHT took a ton of action last week off one decent race at Kawartha Downs and she closed mildly in a Grassroots race. Macdonald sticks with her over the choice and she should contend tonight. (1) SAKE TUMI flashed good late speed in both starts and she is another good Pick 5 option. (7) NIGHT LEGS figures to finish on the edges again; using on the bottom.
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Race 2: PURE IVORY TROTTING SERIES 2nd Leg 2YO Fillies
(4) ROSE RUN XCENTRIC was lights out with trotting hopples added last week, effortlessly trotting a 27 2/5 kicker to obliterate the field. She will be tough right back. (6) DABRA DAY was a winner in the first leg of this series and she can complete the Exacta racing from close range. (3) WARRAWEE XENIA looked good breaking her maiden as the chalk but this is tougher and I'll use her underneath here. (5) SAMOSA can take a small share here if she stays flat.
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Race 3: 2YO Fillies NW1 or $10,000 LT
(1) IN THE MOOD was ready at first asking and she motored up late to win at odds-on. She should gets the call to repeat over (9) BETTER DOUBLE FLIP who is the obvious threat having finished on the board in some Gold races. (10) NOVELLA SEELSTER raced okay vs. the choice in her debut and she can land in the Tri tonight. (4) THEORY SEELSTER showed some late interest in her debut. She's a good one to use underneath tonight.
Race 4: 4YO and Younger NW1 or $7,000 - Pick 4
(2) GREAT DANE took a ton of action last week and he almost got the job done. I'll give him the nod here over (7) HANDSOME SEBASTIAN, who comes off a strong effort and will get that elusive maiden win soon. (5) EMERALD WINGS has improving form and he should be right there again tonight. He loses Macdonald to the choice though and I'll use him underneath. (6) I DA PRINCESS can come on late for a share again at a price. She can add some value to the Tri or Super.
Race 5: Claiming $17,500 for NW $35,000 LT
(6) DAVID LLOYD GEORGE comes off a strong parked-out effort at Kawartha Downs and he gets a major driver upgrade to Macdonald tonight; call to upset. (10) MYINSIDEVOICE has the best recent form and is an obvious contender, but he is no slam dunk from post 10. Be careful to not take too short of a price. (7) EATAAMSBETTERSHARK comes in off a sharp win in Ottawa and McNair chose him over the choice. He should be dangerous here racing from close range. (3) THE DEVIL YOU KNOW could be close tonight if he gets an inside following trip; using underneath.
Race 6: PURE IVORY TROTTING SERIES 2nd Leg 2YO Fillies - Pick 5
(6) CRIQUETTE HALL draws widest again but in this smaller field she has four fewer horses lined up to her left. She should get an aggressive Henry steer here; top call. (1) LADY MONTAGUE will take a lot of play based on the way she finished off her mile last week and she is the one to fear. (4) ETERNAL LEE impressed enough in her two qualifiers that her connections throw her right into this stakes series. She certainly isn't without a chance on debut. (2) BABY MIA can take a small share racing up close.
Race 7: MILLARD FARMS TROTTING SERIES 2nd Leg 2YO
(2) WORLD AT WAR DEO has looked good in both wins and the colt he beat last time has already come back to jog in 1:55 3/5. A threepeat looms. (4) DEVEREUX SEELSTER was motoring late last week and he can be an Exacta factor in this spot. (6) H P MAESTRO couldn't go with a very good colt late in the mile last week but he figures to take a share vs. these. (7) TAKE COMMAND easily handled maidens then he was a sick scratch when entered in this series last week. He is another to consider using underneath.
Race 8: Claiming $17,500 for NW $75,000 LT - Pick 4
(4) RADLEY HANOVER races first off the claim for a barn that has a high strike rate in these situations and I expect an aggressive try; top call. (1) MODERN WRITER comes off a strong effort where he was passed late by a claimed horse and he figures to be right there again. (7) VICTORY MOVE comes off an improved effort and he can land in the Tri tonight racing from close range. (5) CHIK MAGUIRE should come on late again for a small share.
Race 9: 4YO and Younger NW2 (F&M3) or $32,000 (F&M $25,000)
(7) AMAZONE DUHARAS was expected by bettors to win last week based on the driver change to Roy and they weren't wrong. In this spot he stands a good chance to repeat. (4) MODERN MASS has been racing well and he will likely look to leave for position close to the front tonight. I see him as an Exacta factor here. (3) DOING IT ALL comes off a decent effort vs. a tough colt. He should be part of the Tri or Super. (6) FUZZY ANGEL should leave quicker this week. Consider her for the exotics at a price.
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Race 10: Ont Sired 2YO Fillies Who Have Entered in Grassroots
(2) WINX looked great two starts back using a 27 2/5 kicker to circle her Grassroots foes but stepping up to face outstanding Silver Label was too much, too soon. She can get back on track here. (4) B MY SUNSHINE is another back in with here own kind that should improve and she is on my multi-race tickets. (5) GIRL SCOUT COOKIE won as expected on the driver change last week and she is another in with a good chance in a contentious field. (3) DIXIE BAYAMA can come on late to take another slice.
Race 11: 4YO and Younger NW1 or $7,000
(2) SAULSBROOK HERO's last couple of starts are good enough to suggest he can beath these and he should offer a decent price; top call. (1) MISSION COMMAND is an obvious threat off his good debut mile; using. (4) LORD ANTHONY isn't in the toughest spot for this debut and his 26 4/5 kicker from his lone qualifier hints that he has some talent. Here is another option in a wide-open finale. (3) CARTIERE was one of two horses pounded at the windows last start and he raced okay. I'll use him underneath. (6) BET ON BLAKE can pass a few of these late and land in the High-5 at a big price.

