Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Thursday 8/4

Meet Stats: 407 - 1277 / $2,158.20 (-$375.80)

Best Bets: 67 - 118 / $234.40 (-$1.60)

Spot Plays: 34 - 118 / $244.70 (+$8.70)

Best Bet: SILLY ME HANOVER (6TH)

Spot Play: HURRIKANE MSRODINE (2ND)

Early Pick 5: 3,6,7/1,2/4,8/6/3,7,9,10 = $9.60

Late Pick 5: 3/2,4,9/1,7,8/4,10,11/1,7 = $10.80

Early Pick 4: 6/3,7,9,10/3/2,4,9 = $12

Late Pick 4: 1,7,8/4,10,11/1,7/1,4,6 = $10.80

Race 1: 2YO Fillies NW $10,000 LT **Guaranteed $100,000 Pick 5**

(3) MUSCLING VEGAS looked good sustaining a closing bid to take his maiden win and he gets the call to repeat despite facing tougher here. (6) TACTICAL TAKEOFF had the misfortune of facing Silly Me Hanover twice to kick off her career. The Bax trainee figures to improve here; using. (8) MASS HYSTERIA was only beaten two lengths in a Gold race on debut and she showed that she has the speed to get position from this wide post. She is another in with a chance here. (7) NORTHERN CHARLOTTE raced well enough in her debut to suggest she will be in the exotics mix here.

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Race 2: 2YO Fillies NW $10,000 LT

(2) HURRIKANE MSRODINE was a sharp first-over winner in her third start and this field doesn't look much tougher; call to repeat. (1) TWIN B ECHO tripped out and got the job done on debut but she created her own luck by leaving for position and getting plugged into the pocket early. She should be the main threat here. (6) TRE TA TA had no luck racing against Gold fillies now she is back where she fits better and she draws the best post. She is in the exotics mix. (4) FINE BY ME wasn't terrible when she raced in the Grassroots here twice in July. She should be good for a share tonight.

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Race 3: 2YO Fillies NW $10,000 LT

(8) ANGELIKI comes off a blowout win over Grassroots types and she should repeat here if she stays flat. $110,000 Harrisburg buy (4) CLIMB THE POLE has two siblings that have raced and they have won 26 of 92 races between them. This filly is in with a chance on debut. (2) GIRLWITHOUTLIMITS dropped out of the Pure Ivory series, took lots of action, and popped last week. I prefer to use her underneath vs. these. (7) SENIORITA SOLO can show speed and hang on for another share.

Race 4: MILLARD FARMS FINAL 2YO Colts and Geldings - Pick 4

(6) LUKES BAR will be the deserving heavy favorite coming off an impressive huge win last week and he is strictly the one to beat. (7) JOKIC was in futile chase of the choice last week and I see him closing to complete the Exacta here. (2) WARAWEE YANG’S win was two seconds slower that Lukes Bar's but he looked good doing it and he is in the exotics mix tonight. (9) GHOSTLY CASPER recovered well from an early miscue to take a share and he can land in the bottom of the exotics tonight.

Race 5: 2YO Colts and Geldings NW $12,500 LT

(9) STONEBRIDGE BOMBER and (10) THE GREAT EMOTION both took checks in Gold company and they should fight it out for a maiden win tonight despite drawing widest. Slight nod to the former based on the better draw. (7) USEYOURLOVETONIGHT showed he was fast enough for these racing in New York Sires Stakes over the smaller Saratoga oval. He should contend if he stays flat tonight. (3) LOOKSLIKAGOODFELLA is another dropping out of Golds that should be heard from here and driver Hudon can strike with a price every so often.

Race 6: PURE IVORY FINAL 2YO Trotting Fillies - Pick 5

(3) SILLY ME HANOVER has shown that she is clearly the fastest filly in here and she will take beating at odds-on. (2) LAST PAGE FIRST tried to close from too far back last week. I can see her laying closer and sneaking into the Exacta at a price tonight. (6) QUITE FAST took a shuffle last week then finished well without threatening. She is in the exotics mix tonight. (1) SHESUNDERTHERADAR gets faster every week and she should be good for a slice again.

Race 7: NW3 (F&M5) or $40,000 (F&M $50,000) LT AE: Grassroots starters

(4) SOUTHWIND DOMINO has faced tougher than these most of the year. This is a good spot for him to take his first win of the year and he gets top billing. (9) SAUNDRA is clearly fast enough to beat these but she is racing in between starts where staying sharp is goal #1. Let price be your guide with this one. (2) ARCHERY SEELSTER got a tough trip in the Dream Of Glory final on Saturday. He can sit and rally for a share here. (3) ROSIES WAR BONDS should sit a trip racing close to the front and land in the Tri or Super.

Race 8: 2YO Fillies NW $10,000 LT - Pick 4

(8) GRANDEUR SEELSTER gets to face easier tonight after racing tough twice in Grassroots company. She has a big shot to break her maiden here. $100,000 Harrisburg buy (7) SIS is a 1/2 to several good ones including Jugette winner Scarlett Hanover. Doc Moore will have her ready to roll on debut; using. Bulldog Hanover's 1/2-sister (1) BUTTERCUP HANOVER raced okay on debut and she is in the mix here.

Race 9: WHENUWISHUPONASTAR 2YO Fillies 2nd leg

(4) RACIN HUNGRY is one of several rookies by first-crop sire Stay Hungry that have excelled early in the year. She missed the first leg, so there should be some urgency to her approach here; top call. (11) SYLVIA HANOVER was a bit funky gaited when she came out of the pocket in the stretch in her debut. When she straightened out her stride, she exploded though and she looks like a good one. That being said, I'm not willing to take a short price with her starting in the second tier tonight. (10) BANKERS LUCK did all the work and was picked off right on the line by Sylvia Hanover. Her price will be better tonight of you still like her. (3) TREACHEROUS PENNY is 0-for-2 but she has really done nothing wrong and she is another in with a chance here.

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Race 10: 5YO and Younger NW2 (F&M3) or $23,000 (F&M $30,000) LT

This is a race that (1) MISCHIEVIOUS ROSE is supposed to win and she should convert at a short price. I liked the move that (7) HEAVENS PIC made in the third 1/4 last week and he has upset potential tonight. I imagine he will race closer to the lead this time. (9) ILBENEEDINSTITCHES and (6) P P E will both likely race close to the front throughout and both are capable of landing in the Tri.

Race 11: 2YO Fillies NW $10,000 LT

(4) TWIN DELIGHT was good on debut; one rival was simply better. She looks solid here; top call. (1) MISS CANADA is in easier after trying tougher spots three times. She should race back to her debut tonight and that makes her a contender. (6) DANCE NUMBER gets post relief following a decent debut effort and she should get an easier trip here. She is in with a shot. (2) YIPPIE HANOVER can improve enough in this second start to sneak into the exotics. (3) GIMME A CORONA should be positioned near the front early and she can hand around for a slice.