Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Thursday 8/20

Meet Stats: 152-525/ $896.10 (-$253.60)

Best Bets: 24-47/ $75.70 (-$18.30)

Spot Plays: 10-49 / $71.20 (-$26.80)

Best Bet: MACHO MARTINI – Race 8

Spot Play: BIT OF LUCK – Race 10

Early Pick 5: 3,6,7,8/1,2,6,7/4/7/1,3,4,5,8,9,10 = $22.40

Late Pick 5: 4,6/3,7/8/8/2,3,5,9,10 = $4

Early Pick 4: 7/1,3,4,5,8,9,10/4,6/3,7 = $28

Late Pick 4: 3,7/8/8/2,3,5,9,10 = $10

Race 1: 2YO NW $5,000 LT **GTD $75,000 Pick 5**

(7) SOUTHBEACH HANOVER finished with some late pace in his debut and I'll give him a slight nod in a race where there are a few possibilities. (8) BET ON BLAKE exits the fastest race and he was passing horses late. He is likely to be more aggressive here; using. (6) AIME HANOVER's July 10th qualifying win puts him right there with these but he has had some issues since and has missed four weeks; demand a price. (3) TOUCHEM ALL JOE finished just behind the choice last time and he is another who could take this with a trip.

Race 2: 4YO and Younger NW2 or $18,500 LT

(7) MACK just failed to last in a good effort last week and he gets a slight nod here in a field where he stacks up well. (2) POSEIDON SEELSTER was motoring late but ran out of racetrack. He could get a nice setup here for his late charge; using. (1) SHELTON SEELSTER steps up off a sharp win and he is another possibility racing from close range. (6) SHADOW IN RED’s form is improving and he will get some play off his 26 2/5 kicker, but I prefer to use him underneath in this spot.

Race 3: ONTARIO SIRES STAKES - GOLD - 2 YEAR OLD COLTS & GELDINGS

(4) FASHION FRENZIE has shown himself to be a cut above the rest to this point and another short-priced win is likely coming. (1) TOKYO SEELSTER is sure to be more aggressive early this week shooting for $106K and he appears to be the only serious threat. (6) FULL OF MUSCLES is worth a look for the Tri as he finished 2nd to the choice in his debut. (8) WALKONTHEMOON gets his nose back on the gate and he could land a much better spot leaving this time; consider for the exotics.

Race 4: ONT SIRED 2YO FILLIES NW $5,000 LT

(7) VOELZ DELIGHT was an okay third in her debut in Grassroots company and this should be a much easier task; graduation time for her. (2) YS DOWNONTHEBEACH produced her best effort last week and she should be passing many of these late; Exacta factor. (1) BETTOR COUNTRY had little chance of closing into a quick final 1/4. She could improve sharply tonight and should be part of the Tri. (4) SWEET PINK is worth a look for the bottom of the Super at a price picking up hot driver McClure.

Race 5: NW $5,000 L5 or $10,000 L10

(9) ST JAMES GATE was sent hard last time he raced in a similar class and if he can get positioned in the top five early, he can beat these. (1) P L MATT also drops and if he has his gait issues under control, he can be a major player here. (8) GOLD EDITION fits better here, and he should be racing near the front with so few leavers signed on. He is another to consider for multi-race bets. (4) BUCKEYE STARLET produced a better effort when dropped to this class and she should be in the exotics mix.

Race 6: 4YO and Younger NW2 or $18,500 LT Pick 5

(6) SOLID MAN was out a long way racing uncovered last week and he just kept coming to take the win in a gritty performance; call to repeat. (4) MCWICKED ONE has shown some talent so far but his races have been spaced out. He looks like the main threat to the choice. (3) A GAME CHANGER is capable of better and he should get a quicker start here, which can help land him a spot in the Tri. (5) HE REFUSES TO LOSE never misses the top four so he’s hard to leave off Super tickets.

Race 7: NW $3,000 L5 or $7,000 L10 Pick 4

(3) ARCANUM faces much easier here and this should be the spot where he wakes up; top call. (7) MISTER OF ALL was no match for the onslaught of Veyron last time, but if he deploys the same strategy here, he could lead these all the way. This is the level where (8) MUSICAL SPELL performs best and he could take this if he gets put into the race early. (4) MAGICAL WINNER K shows some good races at this level and he should share if he stays flat.

Race 8: ONTARIO SIRES STAKES - GOLD - 2 YEAR OLD COLTS & GELDINGS

(8) MACHO MARTINI is the king of this castle until dethroned but don't expect much of a price. (3) LOGAN PARK had an impossible trip last time racing against the choice and he did well to hold 4th. He likely completes a chalky Exacta here. (5) MASTER GRAND finished 2nd to the choice on July 30th despite breaking at the start and he should be closing late for a piece of this. (2) ROOKIE SEASON is capable of better if he stays flat this time; using on the bottom.

Race 9: 3YO NW1 or $7,000 LT

(8) CAPTAIN NEMO gets his nose on the gate here in his second start back after missing close to a year. This is a field he should handle, and he controls his own fate at the start this week. (3) FEAR THE SHADOW finished just ahead of the choice last time while enjoying a much better trip. He can complete the Exacta. (1) SOCIAL THEORIES should sit a good following trip then emerge in the lane to take a slice. (9) MENLO PARK had trouble from this post last week, so I'll play to beat him out of the Tri.

Race 10: NW $3,000 L5 or $7,000 L9 AE: NW or a race in 2019-20

(2) BIT OF LUCK gets a barn change and a class drop and he could be the boss on the engine in here. (3) THE REGULATOR had another brutal parked out trip Tuesday night and now he draws inside where he should be much more effective; using. (10) ARUKIDINMECABBIE could be better racing off a helmet and he's the third one that I'll use on multi-race tickets here. (5) FASHIONONTHEBEACH has had some success with McNair in the past and he should land in this Super somewhere. (9) BETTER MOONON OVER can pass a few of these late again and sneak into the High-5 at a price.