Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Thursday 8/19

Meet Stats: 160 – 466 / $901.60 (-$30.40)

Best Bets: 22 – 44 / $86.80 (-$1.20)

Spot Plays: 17 – 44 / $122.00 (+$34.00)

Best Bet: DAVID LLOYD GEORGE (4TH)

Spot Play: BET LIGHT (5TH)

Early Pick 5: 5,7,8/8/4,5,6,7/4/6,9 = $4.80

Late Pick 5: 1,3/2,3,4,7/2,6/1,4,8/1,7 = $19.20

Early Pick 4: 4/6,9/1,3/2,3,4,7 = $16

Late Pick 4: 2,6/1,4,8/1,7/4,5,7 = $36

Race 1: 4YO and Younger NW1 or $7,300 LT **Guaranteed $100,000 Pick 5**

(7) TAKE A GAMBLE comes off a nice try when 2nd behind a sharp colt and he looks ready to win; top call. (5) CONTROL ME ONCE has improved in every race and he is sharp and dangerous; using. (8) GLOBAL CRUSH was in an impossibly fast maiden race last time and that was his first race in four weeks. He gets a barn and driver change here and I expect sharp improvement. (3) BETTORS AUTHORITY can pass a few of these and land in the bottom of the Super.

[DRF HARNESS: Get Harness Eye PPs for this card]

Race 2: ONTARIO SIRES STAKES GOLD 2YO COLTS and GELDINGS

(8) DULY RESOLVED has been very professional in taking wins in all three starts (two of them Golds) and his winning streak shouldn't be stopped here. (2) STAR POWER HANOVER is the one that might give the choice a scare if he has his gait issue worked out and he is the logical alternative. (7) HP MAESTRO was a distant 2nd to the choice on July 29th and he should be part of the exotics tonight. (3) CENTURY ISAIAH placed in a Gold finishing behind the choice, too, and he is worth a look for use underneath.

Sign up for our FREE DRF Harness Digest Newsletter

Race 3: 4YO and Younger NW1 or $7,000 LT

(6) EMERALD WINGS set a pace that was too fast in Grassroots company last week and she stopped in the lane. Back with maidens she can rebound here; top call. (7) MENSA improved sharply with Filion last week. It might be smart to use her in the Pick 5. Last time (4) ARLANDA faced straight maidens, she was right there in a fast mile. She would be no surprise here. (5) HADIKNOWNBETTER is another that should go better here but I prefer to use her underneath.

Race 4: CLAIMING $17,500 for NW $42,000 LT - Pick 4

(4) DAVID LLOYD GEORGE is sent out by a barn that is batting 75% (3 for 4) with fresh claims this year and that's enough for me to give him the nod in a race with no standout. (5) MELODY MAKER drops in for a tag for the first time and he has enough speed to contend for a share here. (8) MYINSIDEVOICE is capable at this level but he draws worst after coming off two bad trips. He is likely going to drop back and make one late charge to hit the board. (7) LIL RED SPORTSSTAR is another who will probably pass a few of these to take a small share.

Race 5: F&M 4YO and Younger NW1 or $7K LT AE: NW2 for NW $3K L5

(9) BET LIGHT raced okay first time out of cagey trainer Budd's barn in a mile that the winner paced in a sizzling 1:51 3/5. This is an easier spot; down the road? (6) SPORTSDRINK exits the same race as the choice and she made a nice move to get into contention but when the leader took off around the final turn, everyone else was fighting for scraps. She should contend here. (7) MOTOBOATIN showed some late interest in her debut and she can build off that and hit the board here. (1) TWEETER HANOVER should pass a few of these and take a small share.

Race 6: ONTARIO SIRES STAKES GOLD 2YO COLTS and GELDINGS - Pick 5

(1) TWIN B ARCHIE was put on the lead for the first time on July 29th and he exploded, producing a mile that is at least a second faster than any of his rivals have trotted in here. If he replicates that performance, they will all be racing for second. (3) ESPLOSIONE wasn't as fast as the choice but he was impressive in his own right and he is the logical alternative. (6) MR FRITTER is right there every week and he is piling up some nice earnings, but I prefer to use him underneath. (4) SAFE CONDUCT had a good tightener for this from the 10-hole. He could crash the exotics at a price.

Race 7: 2YO Fillies NW1 or $10,500

(2) UNITY raced decently in a fast race in her debut and she seems to fit well here; slight nod. (4) JUST CALL ME SONG was against it trying to come third-over when the leaders weren't stopping after cutting a 58 2/5 opening 1/2. This is the best post she has drawn to date so she should be closer this week and that gives her a chance. (7) BEYOND THE SEA was used up early in a stakes series final and she still took a check. She fits well here and she is a threat. (3) SILENT CROSSING drops out of the same stakes series and she is another in with a chance in a race that will likely be decided by pace and trip.

Race 8: 4YO and Younger NW2 (F&M3) or $23,000 (F&M $23,000) - Pick 4

(2) GREAT DANE is likely best in here as he shoots for three straight wins but he and many of his rivals are between stakes starts here and sometimes that dynamic produces strange results. (6) L DEES PATRICK improved last week and he is in with a decent chance here, likely at a square price. (5) MAGIC WANDA is around the money in every start and she is a good one to use on the bottom of the Tri or Super. (1) ITSTIMETOGOHOME paced a nice final 1/4 after recovering from a break in stride and he is worth a look for the exotics.

Race 9: CLAIMING $17,500 for NW $75,000 LT

(4) YARIS SEELSTER was out a long way racing uncovered when he took a new life's mark at Georgian Downs on Saturday now, he wheels back for a trainer that has one winner from two starters so far in 2021. He might do in this spot; top call. (8) MY LAND improved sharply with Henry in the bike for the first time on August 5th and he stacks up well in this field; using. (1) RADLEY HANOVER will likely flash speed racing off the Winacott claim and he is the third one that I’ll use on multi-race tickets. (3) CASEYS DRAGON is capable of closing for a small share; using underneath.

Race 10: ONTARIO SIRES STAKES GOLD 2YO COLTS and GELDINGS

(1) DRINKS AT HOME blasted to the front from a wide post, then he won the place photo behind a dominant winner last time and he looks best vs. these. (7) RED OVERBACH was just behind the choice in that race and he looks like the main danger here; using. (5) LUCA HANOVER was also third in a Gold race in his last start and he should be an exotics factor vs. these, too. (2) ANGELS EXPRESS comes off an improved effort and I can see him sneaking into the Tri or Super tonight.

Race 11: 4YO and Younger NW2 or $15,000 LT

(7) HESINCONTROL had some late pace in a fast race last time and he can beat these if he gets a reasonable trip. (5) AVION SEELSTER raced well when last seen in June and if he is sharp enough, he can win this; using. (4) THE LEGEND HANOVER had an issue in his last start going around the final turn and he was taken wide. He requalified well and he gets McNair for the first time which can be a big angle. Look for equipment changes with this gelding. (8) U R ASURPRISE TOME was hard-driven to score over maidens last time. I prefer to try to beat him in this NW2 spot. (3) KOUNT BLASTER took a big shuffle then finished evenly. He can take a share vs. these.