Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Thursday 8/17

Top Pick Stats: 352 – 1064 / $1,813.10 (-$314.90)

Best Bets: 57 – 100/ $204.40 (+4.40)

Spot Plays: 19 – 100/ $117.70 (-$82.30)

Best Bet: DOLLYDAYDREAM (2ND)

Spot Play: NO TIME AT ALL (3RD)

Early Pick 5: 3,6/7/4,7/1,2,7,10/4,7,9 = $9.60

Late Pick 5: 7,8,9/9/2,7/1,6/2,3,9 = $7.20

Early Pick 4: 1,2,7,10/4,7,9/7,8,9/9 = $4.80

Late Pick 4: 9/2,7/1,6/2,3,9 = $2.40

Race 1: 2YO colts and geldings NW1 or $5,000 LT **Gtd. $100,000 Pick 5

(6) DRYDEN HANOVER adds Lasix after flashing speed in the Millard Farms and he is the one to beat here. (3) DEVILS KISS looks next best coming off two 2nds in Grassroots races. There likely isn’t much value to be found in this opening leg of the early Pick 5. (9) HILARIOUS ARCHIE fired sub-29 kickers in both starts and I can see him closing to take a decent share. (1) GAME STATS should pass a few of these late and take a small share.

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Race 2: Pop Up Series Claiming $15,000 for F&M NW $35,000 LT AE: 1ST Leg starters

(7) DOLLYDAYDREAM was claimed out of a dominant win in the opening leg and she is the clear one to beat here. (3) SUNSET SOPH was 2nd to the choice and her good tactical speed puts her in contention for another good share. (1) COMPASSROSE DE VIE raced well in defeat as the chalk last week, but she will be under the gun starting from the rail here; using underneath. (2) HURRIKANE MSRODINE should be good for another small share.

Race 3: Pop Up Series Claiming $15,000 for F&M NW $35,000 LT AE: 1ST Leg starters

(7) NO TIME AT ALL paced a first-over 55 3/5 middle 1/2 in the first leg of this series and that was mission impossible. I could see Hudon blasting with him this time and working out a better trip; call to upset. (4) CHESAPEAKE SUNRISE has won seven straight at Kawartha Downs and his strategy will be no secret. He will be the one to catch. (1) KING JEWELS has a good record this year and I can see him landing in the exotics this time with the driver change to Filion. (2) LIL RED SPORTSSTAR makes his second start back and moves inside. He can sneak into the bottom of the exotics.

Race 4: 2YO fillies NW1 or $5,000 LT

(2) ONE NIGHT IN PARIS drops out of Grassroots to face straight maidens and she has a big shot here if she stays flat. (10) EMOJI HANOVER is a $180K Determination buy that is a 1/2 to double millionaire Emoticon Hanover. She is very likely best in here, but this barn doesn’t typically rush these types and from post 10 she will probably be an underlay. Your call. (7) FITNESS CLASS showed improvement last time in a Grassroots race and she is another in with a chance. (1) CLEVELAND MISSKA should enter contention for a share in this spot.

Race 5: 2YO fillies NW1 or $5,000 LT

(4) RUN THE WORLD DEO gained into a 26 1/5 kicker at The Meadowlands and she should be able to handle this group. (7) WICKEDWOMAN DE VIE, an $18K Harrisburg buy, goes for a barn that sends them ready and she is worth a look for the Exacta on debut. (9) LADYTARIO’s debut was decent. She should be in the exotics mix here despite drawing wide. (8) TEA PARTY HANOVER finished 4th in both starts and she figures for another share here. She is a good one to use on the bottom.

Race 6: 5YO and younger NW1 or $7,000 LT Pick 5

(7) RADCLIFFE ships into Mohawk Park in good form and he picks up catch driver Henry now. He could lead every step. (9) SISTER ACT is capable vs. these if she can stay trotting; using. (8) C S GOLDPOLICY is back in where he fits best, and he is also in with a shot in this spot. (1) ULTRA LADY S debuts at 4 and she improved her final 1/4 in every qualifier. She is worth a look for the bottom of the exotics.

Race 7: 2YO colts and geldings NW1 or $5,000 LT Pick 4

(9) CAPTAIN LUKE was in against some tough ones in both starts in New Jersey. He will probably get more aggressive in this spot; top call. (3) ALRITEALRITEALRITE and (2) TWIN B LOUDACRIS are two others that came north after pacing sub-1:52 miles. Any of these three could win in race that will likely come down to pace and trip. (8) DO MISCHIEF did well to take a share last time after being out the mile. I’ll use him underneath.

Race 8: Pop Up Series Claiming $15,000 for F&M NW $35,000 LT AE: 1ST Leg starters

(2) GOING YARD was decent in her debut for Team Cullen now she returns faster. I’ll side with her to turn the tables on (7) SHEPLAYSFORKEEPS who was a sharp winner last week but loses Macdonald now. (4) BADDITUDE is in the Tri every race it seems and tonight should be no different. (6) RED SKY TONIGHT had perfect cover that she couldn’t capitalize on but she figures to be in the exotics mix tonight.

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Race 9: Pop Up Series Claiming $15,000 for NW $35,000 LT AE: 1ST Leg starters

(1) ICENEEDSWHISKEY was a determined two-move winner last week and he gets the call to repeat here. (6) THREE SOMEWHERE was claimed out of the opening leg by Moreau and now she draws best and gets Filion. She is the obvious threat. (4) SUNSHINE LOVE raced okay from the 10-hole in the faster division last week and he should be part of the exotics in this spot. (5) WOODMERE BANKROLL gets Cullen, and he should close again to land in the Tri or Super.

Race 10: Pop Up Series Claiming $15,000 for NW $35,000 LT AE: 1ST Leg starters

(3) DICE R OUT made a middle move to the front last week that required him to pace a 27-flat second 1/4 and he still almost got the job done. I’ll give him the nod over (9) HIGNETT, who will likely get overbet after finishing 2nd in the fastest division last week. (2) ALMOST THERE BOSS raced well in defeat and now he returns quicker. He is another in with a shot. (6) ITSGETTINUGLY and (4) CEREAL KILLER will both pass horses late and probably land in the bottom of the High-5.