Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Thursday 7/8

Meet Stats: 58 - 190 / $334.70 (-$45.30)

Best Bets: 8 – 18 / $33.80 (-$2,40)

Spot Plays: 7 - 17 / $63.50 (+$29.50)

Best Bet: EDGEWATER (8TH)

Spot Play: ESPLOSIONE (2ND)

Early Pick 5: 1,2,4,8/4,5,6/4,7/1,7/4,9 = $19.20

Late Pick 5: 2,4,6/1,6,7/9/1,2,7/1,7 = $10.80

Early Pick 4: 1,7/4,9/2,4,6/1,6,7 = $36

Late Pick 4: 1,6,7/9/1,2,7/1,7 = $18

Race 1: 2YO NW1 LT $100,000 **$100K Guaranteed Pick 5**

(2) TRUE BLUE LINDY, a $25,000 Lexington Sales buy, is related to a few winners including 10-time winner and 1:50 4/5 pacer Wyatt J. I'll give the son of Always B Miki the nod at first asking. (8) WORLD FOR TWO had the impossible task of trying to close into a 26 3/5 final 1/4 in his debut and he held his own. He should be right there tonight. (4) ROCKAWAY BAY is a 1/2-brother to former local star Doonbeg and this colt qualified the fastest. He's hard to toss when you look at that 1:56 1/5 mile. (1) STRIKING IMPACT is by the same young sire as the choice and he sold for $50,000 at Lexington. He is in with a decent chance on debut.

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Race 2: ONTARIO SIRES STAKES GOLD 2YO Colts and Geldings

(5) ESPLOSIONE had two warmup races for this Gold event and he showed some late trot in both. He picks up Henry here and it's go time now; top call. (6) CACIO E PEPE needed about 10 more feet of racetrack last week to get up for the win and he should be a factor tonight. (4) RENEGADE GYPSY might have been a bit lucky to win last week after the leader jumped it off turning for home, but it's not out of the question that he can improve off that race; using. (3) KIPPER WHIPR SNIPR is worth a look here coming in off a sharp qualifier.

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Race 3: 4YO and Younger NW1 or $7,000 LT

(4) EMERALD WINGS left hard from the outside, took a tuck then a shuffle and was flying late in his debut. He gets the nod here with a better trip expected. (7) FULL OF MUSCLES earned $145K at two without winning a race and he qualified sharply for this. He should be the one to catch tonight. (2) ELBE won from what looked like an impossible spot at the 3/4 pole the other night at Georgian Downs but these are tougher and a small share is predicted for her tonight. (6) URNTROUBLE HANOVER gave the chalk players a scare on Sunday night at Georgian Downs but he recovered in time to take a win. He can be in the Super here if he behaves.

Race 4: Claiming $17,500 for NW $46,000 LT - Pick 4

(1) FRONTIER CRUISE dominated many of these last week while taking a new life's mark and he gets the call to repeat. (7) MYINSIDEVOICE was decent racing off the Stewart claim when third to the choice and I wouldn’t be shocked if he turned the tables tonight. (9) MODERN WRITER was no match for the choice last week and I'll use him underneath from the outer post. (4) SAULSBROOK KAISEN is usually around the money and he should take a share here off a following trip racing close to the front.

Race 5: 4YO and Younger NW1 or $7,000 LT

The winner of the race that (9) TUFFENUFTOWEARPINK comes out of has come back to repeat in 1:50 3/5 without seeing a pylon for the entire mile. This gelding might go right down the road at a great price tonight. (4) RHODENA ROAD chased strong fractions when 2nd in a good effort and he should be a big threat tonight. (5) DO YOU SEE IT should get position early in the mile and ride a good trip to a share. (6) SAMSON BLUE CHIP prepped nicely for this but I see him coming on late to take a slice in this seasonal debut.

Race 6: ONTARIO SIRES STAKES GOLD 2YO Colts and Geldings - Pick 5

(6) DRINKS AT HOME, a $47,000 Lexington buy, is a 1/2-brother to Macho Martini who won a Gold event in his debut last year en route to earning more than $462K. This colt looks ready to fire at first asking. (4) A ROYAL HIT had a solid debut now he gets a driver change to Mohawk Park regular Christoforou, and he is on my multi-race tickets. (2) DULY RESOLVED got the job done from the 9-hole on debut which isn’t common for a rookie trotter. He's hard to toss here. (5) MR FRITTER should be passing horses late; using on the bottom.

Race 7: 2YO Fillies NW1 LT - Pick 4

(6) HOLLYWOOD HANOVER, a $60K Harrisburg purchase, is a full-sister to 1:47 3/5 pacer Hayden Hanover and she looks well prepared by trainer Macintosh for this debut race; top call. (1) MOTOVATION, a homebred 1/2-brother to useful local campaigner Kazimoto, showed a good late kick in her lone qualifier and she should be a threat tonight. (7) SILENT CROSSING qualified quickly for this and she should be in the mix, too. (5) SHEZIS A BEAUTY was a $11,000 Hoofbid auction buy that is a 1/2-sister to 1:52 2/5 pacer Maching Me Zilly. She seems to have some late speed to offer and she can land in the Super in this debut race.

Race 8: 3YO Fillies NW1 or $7,000 LT

(9) EDGEWATER gets another crack at maidens here and this isn't a tough spot. I could see her wiring these. (8) LIMOGES and (6) ONE TRIX PONY are the two obvious threats but both have had gait issues. They can win, but I'd think twice before taking a short price on either. (1) SOMEWHAT SACY can sit another good trip and take a small share.

[DRF BETS: Wager on tonight's Mohawk Park card at DRF Bets.com!]

Race 9: F&M 4YO and Younger NW1 or $7,000 LT

(1) WRITENINSAND S BG has improved in every start now she gets Filion for this first crack at Mohawk Park and I'll give her the nod in a race with no standouts. (7) WILDCAT VICTORIA was game in defeat last week and she should be a big speed threat again; using. (2) BABY GOT BACK fits well vs. these and she could fall into a sweet pocket trip this week; upset chance. (5) ARTILLA HANOVER, a $55K yearling buy, hasn’t earned much of that outlay back yet but she appears to be coming around now and she should at least take a share here.

Race 10: F&M NW $3,000 L5 or $7,400 L10

This is a field that (1) SUNDAY AFTERNOON should handle if she is anywhere close to her best and she gets top call vs. these in a race that she should control from the outset. (7) OUTLAW IMAHOTVIXEN drops and she is another that should be aggressive early tonight. She's the main danger. (4) BIG MYRTLE faces easier but her recent form isn't great. I'll use her underneath. (2) TAKEYOURBREATHAWAY does her best work at this bottom conditioned level and she can crack the exotics at a price tonight. (9) NAUGHTY LADY B hasn't missed the board this year and she should be in the exotics mix here. Starting from out there I'll predict a smaller share for her.