Woodbine Harness

Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Thursday 7/28

Garnet Barnsdale|Jul 26, 2022

Meet Stats: 391 -- 1226 / $2,080.60 (-$371.40)

Best Bets: 65 -- 115 / $229.40 (+$0.80)

Spot Plays: 32 -- 115 / $211.80 (-$18.20)

Best Bet: SILLY ME HANOVER (3RD)

Spot Play: MERCUTIO (5TH)

Early Pick 5: 1,6,7/1,2/5/2,3,5/1,2,7,8 = $14.40

Late Pick 5: 1,6/1,4/1,5,7/5,6,9/3,7 = $14.40

Early Pick 4: 2,3,5/1,2,7,8/1,6/1,4 = $48

Late Pick 4: 1,4/1,5,7/5,6,9/3,7 = $36

Race 1: MILLARD FARMS 2YO Colts and Geldings 2nd Leg **Guaranteed $100,000 Pick 5**

(7) WARRAWEE YANG caught the eye on debut making a sustained late wide move from a tough spot. He missed some time due to sickness which should help his price. I'll give him the nod here in this short field. (6) GHOSTLY CASPER raced well in defeat but he was caught late by a promising colt. He is a contender in here. (1) SOUTHWIND COORS was motoring late last week but he was too far back. He is in with a chance here. (4) TWIN B SHOWMANCE should get more aggressive tonight. I see him finishing in the bottom of the exotics.

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Race 2: DREAM MAKER 2YO Colts and Geldings 1ST Leg

(2) DUPREE HANOVER ships north for Team Alagna off an impressive debut effort and he should take beating here. (1) REDWOOD HANOVER was really rolling late last time but he ran out of racetrack. That effort should set him up nicely for this stakes debut and although he will need to be faster, he is in with a decent chance. (4) STORMALONG, stablemate to the choice, should be in the exotics mix here. (6) NAZARE should be part of the Super in this short field.

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Race 3: Pure Ivory 2YO Fillies 2nd Leg

$250,000 yearling (5) SILLY ME HANOVER was impressive winning her debut and she gets the call to repeat off that sharp effort. (7) FOOLISH MONI is improving rapidly but the choice was almost two seconds faster last week; using underneath. (1) LAST PAGE FIRST, stablemate to the choice, was a professional winner after starting from the widest post on debut at Batavia and she is in the exotics mix here. (4) WINOOKSI gets a driver change back to Tyler Jones and she can get a good slice if she stays flat.

Race 4: 2YO Colts and Geldings NW $10,000 LT Pick 4

(5) ACE OF ACES wasn't disgraced in two Gold races and now he faces maidens. He could lead all the way tonight. The two debutants are interesting in here and $190,000 Lexington buy (3) LARCENY was the faster of the two qualifying. I'll use both him and Team McNair homebred (2) WHATCHULOOKIN AT on multi-race tickets. (8) OSSIE THE SECOND improved sharply in his most recent start and he is worth a look for the bottom of the exotics at a price.

Race 5: NW3 (F&M5) or $40,000 (F&M $50,000)

I liked (8) MERCUTIO's race last week and the move he made to get close to a leader that was never going to get passed as she extended a lengthy win streak. A similarly aggressive approach can get the job done here. (1) UNEVERGONNAGETHIS raced well while having his win streak broken by the hottest trotter on the grounds. He is an obvious contender here. (7) SIMCOE SEELSTER was heading for the front in the same race when he hooked wheels with the leader and broke. He can be a threat tonight. (2) STORMONT MOLLY has three Grassroots wins sandwiched around a conditioned loss vs. males, which is the scenario facing her tonight; using underneath.

Race 6: DREAM MAKER 2YO Colts and Geldings 1ST Leg Pick 5

(6) HUNGRY MAN produced a big effort winning his debut and I'll give him a slight nod over his stablemate (1) HUNGRY ANGEL BOY but use both on multi-race tickets. (3) STAYTHIRSTY DE VIE is by the same sire as the top two choices and he has done nothing wrong to this point. He will need to be faster tonight, but he might be up to it. (7) BRUE HANOVER is yet another undefeated son of Stay Hungry who should be in the exotics mix.

Race 7: MILLARD FARMS 2YO Colts and Geldings 2nd Leg Pick 4

(1) JOKIC was patiently driven last time and once he was shown racetrack, he powered home for the win. This Cantab Hall gelding has a lot of upside and he gets the call to repeat. (4) LUKES BAR was full of trot late in his debut but he got room too late. If he is over her sickness, he should be right there tonight. (7) PASSARINO has raced okay in two Golds and he has some options here starting from the outside; using. (3) DYLADMAR should be good for another share here racing close to the front throughout.

Race 8: 2YO Fillies NW $10,000 LT

$55,000 Lexington sale buy (1) NORTHERN CHARLOTTE debuts in a good spot and I'll give her a slight nod on debut. (5) HORN PLAYER probably wins this if she stays flat, but will you accept another short price on this filly that has broke in half her starts so far? (7) BACKSTITCH showed a bit of late zip last week. She is in with a chance here. (9) SMASHIN RAQUETS can crack the exotics at a price despite drawing widest.

Race 9: 2YO Colts and Geldings NW $10,000 LT

(5) TROUBLES A BREWIN exits tougher Grassroots races and he stacks up well here; top call. (6) MORNING WATCH is also in easier and he can be a threat if he stays pacing this time; using. (9) AHI SUNSHINE showed late pace in both starts. He has upset potential tonight and he is worth a look at a price. (7) SPEAK OF WAR should be in the exotics mix facing fellow maidens tonight.

Race 10: 5YO and Younger NW2 (F&M3) or $20,000 (F&M $30,000) LT

(3) FORREST's first try at this level was good and he gets the leading driver back tonight. I think he vaults past the leaders late and doubles up. (7) ILBENEEDINSTITCHES appears to fit well here after getting beat by some good ones in his past three starts; using. (4) ILLUSIONAL stays at the same level but he beat an easier field last week. I'll use him underneath here. (10) GRACE AND FAVOR would be rated higher had she drawn better. She likely sits back and rallies for a slice starting from out there. (8) RADIO LAB should flash speed and stick around for a share.