Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Thursday 7/14

Meet Stats: 348 - 1121 / $1,844.90 (-$376.80)

Best Bets: 61 - 106 / $213.90 (+$1.90)

Spot Plays: 29 - 106 / $186.60 (-$25.40)

Best Bet: WARRAWEE YANG (1ST)

Spot Play: TEMPLETON (3RD)

Early Pick 5: 8/3,6/2,5,6/2,4/3,5,9 = $7.20

Late Pick 5: 5,7/8,9/3,6,7/2/2,3,5,6,8 = $12

Early Pick 4: 2,4/3,5,9/5,7/8,9 = $24

Late Pick 4: 8,9/3,6,7/2/2,3,5,6,8 = $30

Race 1: 2YO NW1 LT **Guaranteed $100,000 Pick 5**

(8) WARRAWEE YANG trotted a huge mile in defeat on debut. He was full of trot racing widest for the entire final 5/16ths but he had too far to come. He need only a slightly better trip to break his maiden tonight. (6) TWIN B SHOWANCE finished slightly ahead of the choice in a good effort and he is the obvious danger here. (1) SISTER ACT, a $115,000 Lexington purchase, is a full to 1:53 4/5 (S) trotter Sisters Promise who won early. This filly trotted a big final 1/4 in victory on July 7 and she can contend at first asking despite facing the boys. (7) LUKES BAR was unhurried and trotted a nice back 1/2 in his lone qualifier. I'll use this debutant underneath.

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Race 2: NW3 (F&M5) or $40,000 (F&M $50,000)

(6) LEXUS RANGER gave the hottest trotter on the grounds a race last week and he is a clear top pick for me here off that sharp effort. (3) SAUNDRA is probably fast enough to win this, but she is racing between sires stakes here, so intent can be an issue. I'll use her underneath. (1) KEVIN ANTHONY flies home every week but he is often too far back. He could upset if the late pace slows. (5) ROSIES WAR BONDS will likely get position near the front early and stick around for a small slice.

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Race 3: ONTARIO SIRES STAKES GOLD Second Leg 2YO Colts and Geldings

(5) TEMPLETON flashed home in 26 3/5 in his debut which isn’t common for rookie trotters at this track. Assuming he improves with experience and gets a more aggressive steer I think he graduates tonight. (2) DOWEDEALINANDWHY kicked off his career with two easy wins and he is the one to knock off here. (6) SNOWPIERCER got out trotted late despite firing a 27 3/5 kicker and he is the other one to consider for the early Pick 5. (7) ROUGH TUFF TESTED raced okay on debut and he can take a slice here.

Race 4: 4YO and Younger NW1 or $7,000 LT - Pick 4

(2) SEVERANCE ANGEL closed well in her debut but she had too much to do late. McClure chooses her over the Determination gelding and I see her winning as the chalk tonight. (4) SOUTH PORT raced okay on 6/30 and he gets a big driver change tonight. He is the other one that I'll use on multi-race tickets. (3) ARCHANGELS GLIDING was no match for a big favorite last week but he should be good enough to take another check tonight. (7) ACKLES HANOVER can show speed and stick around for a share if he stays flat.

Race 5: ONTARIO SIRES STAKES GOLD Second Leg 2YO Fillies

(3) CHEESY SMILE followed up a sharp maiden win with an even more impressive Gold victory and she looks solid to notch a threepeat here. (9) BANKERS LUCK throttled a week Grassroots field but she looked good doing it and she is in with a shot here despite drawing widest. (5) BIG BIG PLANS really dug in to preserve a win last time and she has room for more improvement. She could do here if she gets a trip. (1) STARLIGHT DANCER is in the mix but she will likely be under the gun early starting from the rail. I'll use her underneath.

Race 6: 5YO and Younger NW2 (F&M3) or $27,000 LT - Pick 5

(5) FEEL THE FORCE was a tough first-over winner here on the 5th, and he gets the call to repeat off that sharp win. (7) KING KACTUS got a start in with Sorrie and he trotted a good kicker without threatening. He is capable if he races closer to the front and I expect a more aggressive steer tonight; using. (6) HEAVENS PIC has shown some talent this year but he comes off a vet scratch here and he likely sits and rallies for a share. (2) P P E faces much tougher here coming off a rallying maiden win; small share predicted.

Race 7: ONTARIO SIRES STAKES GOLD Second Leg 2YO Colts and Geldings - Pick 4

This Gold dash looks like a battle between the two outside horses (9) OH LOOK MAGIC and (8) MASS MARKET. I'll give the nod to the former who has been dominant to this point. (6) PASSARINO produced some good late speed when a distant 2nd to the choice. He can close for a share here. (2) OSCEOLA took plenty of action on debut but he jumped it off while on the move. He can be a threat here if he stays flat.

Race 8: ONTARIO SIRES STAKES GOLD Second Leg 2YO Fillies

(3) BEST ACTRESS was bet like she couldn't lose in her debut and she converted. I'll call her to repeat in a race that has a few live options. (7) FAVORITE BEACH used a decisive 27 3/5 third 1/4 to take her debut race and she is in the mix again. (6) FRESHEN UP was only a neck behind a good one last time. She is another viable option. (2) LYONS BETTORDAY couldn't have gotten a better trip last time but she couldn't get by the leader in the lane. I'll use her underneath.

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Race 9: 5YO and Younger NW2 (F&M3) or $27,000 LT

(2) UNEVERGONNAGETHIS has been dominant in these conditioned races and he should take another here. (6) ILBENEEDINSTITCHES was no match for the choice last week and he likely completes another chalky Exacta tonight. (8) PORTOFINO drops out of Golds but he was only an even 3rd vs. NW2 two starts back; using underneath. (3) POCOHONTAS should pass a few of these and take another small share.

Race 10: 2YO Colts and Geldings NW1 or $10,000 LT

(2) THONG CONTROL was put in an impossible spot early in the race last week and he did well to come on to get 3rd. I'll stick with him expecting that he will get a slightly more aggressive drive tonight. (6) STAYTHIRSTY DE VIE is clearly the one to beat coming off an impressive maiden score and he is impossible to leave off late multi-race tickets. (5) STAKEHOLDER is a Stay Hungry that qualified three seconds faster than ones that have been winning on debut. He is a must-use for me. (3) WE SHALL SEA is in much easier here and he can contend if he stays flat. (8) TACK ROOM CHATTER is interesting coming off a good debut try in NYSS action but I prefer to use him underneath.