Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Thursday 6/27

Top Pick Stats: 331 - 989 / $1845.20 (-$132.80)

Best Bets: 51 - 93 / $167.80 (-$18.20)

Spot Plays: 17 - 90 / $185.90 (+$5.90)

Best Bet: CONVOY HALL (6TH)

Spot Play: BAYLOR BOBBY (9TH)

Early Pick 5: 1,3,7/1,6/1,6,7/8,9/3,8,9 = $21.60

Late Pick 5: 3/2,5,6,8/2,6,7/5/2,3,6,9 = $9.60

Early Pick 4: 8,9/3,8,9/3/2,5,6,8 = $9.60

Late Pick 4: 2,5,6,8/2,6,7/5/2,3,6,9 = $9.60

Race 1: 5YO and younger NW1 or $7,000 LT **Gtd. $100,000 Pick 5**

This is a good spot for (7) GONE GOODBYE and he will probably be the one to beat if he stays flat this week. (1) ELECTRIC JANE is getting faster every race and she was beaten by a good one last week. She should be the main threat here; using. (3) VANJIE BLUE CHIP will likely try to lead all the way here and if she can steal a breather, she might get brave. She is another possibility for the early Pick 5. (4) HIT THE BANK just took a check in a tougher Grassroots race. She can be part of the exotics.

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Race 2: TOMPKINS-GEERS: 2 YEAR OLD FILLY PACE

(1) FAMOUS FAST WORDS looked sensational breaking her maiden at 2 to 5 and you may have to take a similar price here. (6) WICKED N SINGLE is the first foal out of a good race mare that won an OSS Gold race on debut. She showed high late speed in her qualifiers and if anyone is going to take the choice down, it will likely be this Beaton trainee. (2) SADDLEBAGS was driven ultra conservatively in her debut, perhaps looking ahead to this stake. Based on what I saw on track in her June 8th qualifier, she is capable of better, but this is a tough spot; using underneath. (5) CHARLOTTE STATION improved sharply in her third qualifier. She can take a slice here.

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Race 3: TOMPKINS-GEERS: 2 YEAR OLD FILLY TROT

(6) BRIGHT GREEN and (7) MEDLEY SEELSTER both closed from well back into an accelerating late pace in their debut race and passed horses. They will likely offer more value here than (1) MONALISHI who makes her debut off two nice qualifying wins but draws the tricky rail post. I think any of these three can win and it makes sense to price shop. (4) INCANTATION jumped it off in the lane in her debut when well bet. She should be in the exotics mix here if she behaves.

Race 4: ONTARIO SIRES STAKES: GOLD LEG TWO 3 YEAR OLD TROTTING COLTS & GELDINGS - Pick 4

This is a big class drop for (8) GRIFF when you consider his two recent defeats came to Highland Kismet. He is strictly the one to beat here. (9) WAYS N MEANS came close to beating the choice on May 25th then got a maintenance tightener in on June 14th. He can be a threat despite drawing the widest post outside of the choice tonight. (1) FABULOUS FREDDIE comes in off two solid efforts, and he will be passing horses late here. He can take a share. (4) WILLOWTIME raced better last week, and he may have turned a corner. I still prefer to use him underneath here.

Race 5: 5YO and younger NW2 (F&M3) or $20,000 LT

(8) MISTER BANJO behaved in his second start, and he looked dynamite powering away to a first-over brush and crush; call to repeat. (9) RHYTHM OF LIFE was beaten twice by a very sharp rival, and he is hard to leave out facing NW2 this time. (3) SONIC BOOMER missed three weeks, but it didn’t matter. He came out and took a new life’s mark. He could be even sharper here and he is another contender in a good betting race. (2) MUSICAL RIDE has burned money in four of his five starts this year and he is likely to take a small share here.

Race 6: ONTARIO SIRES STAKES: GOLD LEG TWO 3 YEAR OLD TROTTING COLTS & GELDINGS - Pick 5

(3) CONVOY HALL is clearly fastest in here and I’m not worried about the break in his qualifier in which it shows he had broken equipment. (7) GOOBER SMACK shows improving form which includes getting a check in a Grand Circuit final. If there is going to be an upset of the choice, he will likely be the one to do it. (2) FINITE was 4th to the choice in the first Gold and he also exits a Grand Circuit race. He can land a share here. (1) STORMONT HAPPY DAY is handy enough to get a spot racing near the front tonight and he can stay for a small share.

Race 7: 3YO fillies Grassroots starters - Pick 4

(6) FLIRTY DANCER raced much better last time and more importantly, she stayed trotting. She gets off the tricky rail now and I expect her to get sent forward leaving the gate this time; top call. (8) WEST RIVER IVORY got rolling too late last week as the winner was long gone at that point. She is in solid form and in with a decent chance here if she gets put into the race early enough. (5) RADICAL LEGACY converted a perfect trip to take a Grassroots win last week and she is in the mix again but could get over bet; your call. (2) GO HAVE FUN is only 1 for 6 this year, but she is in every race, and she is another in with a shot in a competitive field.

Race 8: 5YO and younger NW1 or $7,000 LT

(7) MA ISABELLE raced well at this level two starts back when interfered with late in the mile. She made an equipment break last week and she can rebound here facing maidens again; slight nod. (2) GAMING QUEEN is an obvious contender showing two 2nds at this level in June. She’s hard to leave out. (6) MARKET BANKER was a closing 2nd to an impressive winner that dominated the field last week. This looks like an easier spot, and he is another possibility for late multi-race tickets. (3) VUNDERBAR ships north with decent form. He can land in the exotics.

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Race 9: Claiming $20,000 for NW $50,000 LT

(5) BAYLOR BOBBY has been producing a nice closing kick on a regular basis and he looks good here starting from the middle of the gate in a small field. I’m going to take a shot and single him in this spot where he might be able to find his way to a perfect second-over trip. (7) CATCHMEONTHEBEACH, a dominant winner at this level two starts back, is the obvious one to beat here as the likely favorite. He will have to be caught. (2) CHASING GOOSEBUMPS provided cover for the winner last week and I wonder if he will end up stuck first up again here. I’ll use him underneath. (1) BETTORHOLDONTIGHT took a lot of action last week and he closed too late. I don’t love the rail post for him as he lacks gate speed; using underneath.

Race 10: F&M CLM HDCP $10,000 to $15,000

(6) ACEFORTYFOUR DAISY raced well in the Pop-Up series final, the winner got too good of a trip following her live cover. She has a good shot in here. (2) DIALMEUP comes back from Grand River sharp after taking two wins and she should get a good trip racing on or near the front here; using. (3) LITTLEBEARCAT was McNair’s choice here and she is another worth a look coming off a front end win. (9) COOL CUTE COOKIE has improving form and she gets McClure. She may get overlooked starting from a wide post; price look for the multis in a race with several options. (10) SWEET LOVING races better at this level but she will likely be limited to take a small share starting from post 10.