Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Thursday 6/23

Meet Stats: 289 - 935 / $1,569.10 (-$301.90)
Best Bets: 49 - 89 / $166.00 (-$12.00)
Spot Plays: 28 - 89 / $182.00 (+$4.00)
Best Bet: CHEETO (7TH)
Spot Play: PREVAIL SEELSTER (4TH)
Early Pick 5: 1,5,6,8/4,7,9/3/1,3,8,9/1,9 = $19.20
Late Pick 5: 5,7,8/7/2,5,6,7/3,7/5,8 = $9.60
Early Pick 4: 1,3,8,9/1,9/5,7,8/7 = $24
Late Pick 4: 7/2,5,6,7/3,7/5,8 = $16
Race 1: 2YO Fillies **Guaranteed $100,000 Pick 5**
(8) CASH DEALS looks like she may have been a bargain, bought for $7,000 at the Blooded Horse Sale. With very little to go in these baby races, intent can be everything, and we know The Stable likes to win early. I'll give her a slight nod on a wide-open lid lifter. (6) MO POWER BABY, the choice's stablemate, looked good winning her lone qualifier; using. (5) MARGARITA MORNING wasn't asked for anything until the stretch and she closed nicely to finish 2nd to the choice. She's in with a shot here. (1) SWEET DETRMINATION is a 1/2-sister to three winners (from three foals produced by the dam so far), including $200K earner Sweet Soul David. She is another possibility for Pick 5 tickets.
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Race 2: 2YO Fillies
(4) FRESHEN UP, a $85,000 Lexington sale buy, dropped five seconds in her second qualifier and she is the choice of the leading driver; top call. (9) LYONS ADDICTION brought $28,000 in Harrisburg and she is related to a mare that won at Grand River on Monday night. Her sharp late speed stamps her as a contender here. (7) MISS BRICKLEY was decent when 3rd to a dominating chalk last week on debut. She can improve enough to contend tonight. (1) BLUE GLAMBER, is a homebred from the first crop of stallion All Bets Off and we can't know much from a slow qualifying win at Grand River, but he did fire a big kicker. Consider for the exotics.
Race 3: 4YO and Younger NW1 or $7,000 LT
(3) FORREST was good here last week and just picked off at the end by a promising filly. He looks like a short-priced winner tonight. (8) BARROOM BRAWL BOYS gets Roy back in the bike and adds Lasix for this He can last a lot longer in this spot; Exacta factor. (7) HANDSOME SEBASTIAN is capable of closing for a share in this spot; using underneath. (2) PPE figures to get position near the front early and stick around for a share.
Race 4: 2YO Fillies - Pick 4
(1) PREVAIL SEELSTER, 1/2-sister to 1:47 4/5 pacer Poseidon Seelster, was stuck on cover that didn't advance until they turned for home and she finished willingly without threatening. I'll go price shopping with her here. (8) BRYNLEY SEELSTER tightened the screws in her second qualifier and she looks tight as a drum for this debut. Darling sends them ready and she's hard to leave out. (9) CHEESY SMILE, a $38,000 Harrisburg purchase, is McClure's pick over the choice, looks ready to roll for this debut; using. (3) CHEESE SO PRETTY has fired sharp kickers in both qualifiers and she would be no big surprise here.
Race 5: NW3 (F&M5) or $40,000 (F&M $50,000)
Very tough race to gauge here with so many of them racing between OSS Gold engagements and intent difficult to determine. I'll side with (1) SAFE CONDUCT who comes out of the Goodtime elimination that produced the winner of that Grand Circuit race. I can see him sitting in midpack early and rallying late for the win. (9) SAUNDRA handled the best sophomore trotting filly in an excellent performance, but that purse was close to $140K more than this one. It's very possible that you won't get the same aggressive steer here in a race she doesn't need to win so be careful to not take a really short price. (2) VALI HANOVER is in the mix every week and he should take another share here racing from close range. (3) TYMAL TIGGS was no match for a sharp Duly Resolved last time but he fits well here and he is another who should be in the exotics mix.
Race 6: 2YO Fillies - Pick 5
Homebred (8) MISS CANADA is related to one that took 7 wins from 17 starts and she paced a big second 1/4 to take control of her qualifier. Slight nod in another race for rookies that has several options. (7) STARLIGHT DANCER is another homebred that comes off a nice qualifying win and her 27 2/5 kicker stands out; using. (5) LADYSMITH brough $26,000 at the London Selected sale and she finished well in her qualifier; using. (9) BIG BIG PLANS paced a big back 1/2 in her lone qualifier but she could get too far back again starting from out there; using on the bottom.
Race 7: 4YO and Younger NW1 or $9,500 LT - Pick 4
(7) CHEETO was interfered with and thrown off stride is his debut race then he proceeded to pace the fastest final 1/8th of a mile that these eyes have seen at Hanover Raceway. He followed that up with a predictable win at Grand River now he faces tougher which will help his price; top call. (3) GETTING INTUIT flies home for McClure regularly and one of these weeks he will pass them all; using. (4) KATIES BET was no match for a strong winner last time but that was a decent effort and Macdonald sticks with him. He is in with a chance here. (9) DONT POKE THE BEAR should pass a few of these and land in the tri or Super.
Race 8: 5YO and Younger NW2 (F&M3) or $20,000 (F&M $30,000)
(2) THREE FINGER POUR is spotted well here to take his third win in this his fifth start of 2022 and he should be hard to beat starting from the inside. (5) PORTOFINO produced a good closing effort in her first start of the year and she will probably get more aggressive in this spot; using. (6) MERCUTIO was overmatched in Grand Circuit company. He should be part of the exotics in this easier spot tonight. (7) ILBENEEDINSTITCHES is rounding into form and she gets Jamieson tonight; upset chance.
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Race 9: Claiming $15,000 to $18,000 for NW $41,000 LT
(7) BAD EYE BILL was racing over his head in the five starts since being claimed on May 2. Getting back to that class where he took his life's mark that night should lead to a form reversal; top call. (3) THATS A BEACH tried vainly to chase a leading class dropper that was never going to get passed last week. He fits better here and he is in with a shot. (4) RICOTTABKIDDINME is interesting moving into the Montini barn but he has missed more than a month. There is a good chance that he will be much better next week but he can land in the Tri or Super tonight. (6) CENTURY HEFNER should take a small slice dropping back into a claimer.
Race 10: Claiming $15,000 to $18,000 for NW $100,000 LT
(5) PETER POOLE is perfectly spotted to dominate this class again this week; call to repeat. (8) SKYLAR got cooked early last week now his price will skyrocket. I can see him getting a better trip racing near the front this time; price look. (7) PERPETUAL ROCK flew late to get 2nd but you have to wonder how far back he will get leaving from the 8-hole tonight; using underneath. (4) DONTBLVMEJUSTWATCH is a reliable earner that should be part of the exotics again tonight. (3) MISTER JR should get position near the front early and stick around for a slice.

