Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Thursday 6/13

Top Pick Stats: 299 - 896 / $1589.50 (-$129.10)

Best Bets: 47 - 84 / $153.30 (-$14.70)

Spot Plays: 15 - 81 / $167.70 (+$5.70)

Best Bet: SCINTILLATING TOM (2ND)

Spot Play: SWEETER THAN LOU (3RD)

Early Pick 5: 1,2,6/3/2,3,4/2,7/1,3,6 = $10.80

Late Pick 5: 1,5,6/2,4/1,3/1,3,4/7 = $7.20

Early Pick 4: 2,7/1,3,6/1,5,6/2,4 = $7.20

Late Pick 4: 2,4/1,3/1,3,4/7 = $4.80

Race 1: 5YO and younger NW1 or $7,000 LT **Gtd. $100,000 Pick 5**

(1) BABY BE MY LOVE had a useful sophomore debut now she lands in a spot where she should be able to make a middle move to the front and lead the rest of the way from there; top call. (2) DICTATORIAL trotted a nice kicker without threatening and the short field helps him here; using. (6) GAMING QUEEN comes off her best race yet and although she is 0 for 16, this is a spot where she might do; consider her for early Pick 5 tickets. (4) MAGIC DEALER is a 1/2 to a couple of decent ones and trainer Walker can improve a young trotter quickly; price look for the exotics.

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Race 2: 5YO and younger NW2 (F&M3) or $20,000 LT

(3) SCINTILLATING TOM broke through with a big win over maidens last week and this NW2 doesn’t look much tougher; call to repeat at a likely short price. (1) NZURI was second best behind a runaway winner, and he appears to fit well here. He can be an Exacta factor right back. (5) JACK N ABS raced decently in defeat last week, but he loses McNair to the choice. Another small share is likely for him tonight. (2) SPIROS got a needed clean line and took a share, and he is in the exotics mix again.

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Race 3: F&M 4YO and younger NW1 or $7,500 LT

(4) SWEETER THAN LOU was a good second to a 1 to 20 shot last week and she finds a spot where she should convert here facing six rivals. (3) AMERICAN STARLIGHT qualified nicely twice over Flamboro Downs before getting sick and she is interesting to me at a price in a Pick 5 sequence with small fields; using. (2) RAFFLE WINNER finished five lengths behind the choice, but she was out of position after leaving from the outside in a full field. Her big late kick should play better tonight, and she is another in with a chance. (5) KENOGAMI HEART takes shares frequently and she should be part of the exotics again here.

Race 4: F&M NW2 or $30,000 LT - Pick 4

This is a fairly easy spot for (7) MASS CARA coming off a Grassroots win. She should be tough vs this group of NW2 rivals. (2) DEALERS DELITE couldn’t gain on tough Kinnder Hotblood who might be favored if she were in this field. She will probably be the main threat to the choice here. (4) BIRTHDAY MONEY is improving, and she should land in the money again tonight. (6) P L RACHEL was better last time in a Grassroots race. I imagine she sits back and rallies this time.

Race 5: 5YO and younger NW1 or $7,000 LT

(6) NAUTILUS B lost all hope when she broke at the start last week, but she did trot a decent back 1/2. I’ll stick with her hoping she behaves tonight. (1) DENALI DEO produced a nice rally last time to get 2nd behind a runaway winner but I don’t love the rail post for him considering his gait issues. He can win if he stays flat, but he is almost sure to get over bet considering the risk. (3) VANJIE BLUE CHIP is another that is obviously capable if she can stay trotting. It probably makes sense to spread in this race. (8) CHAUD HOLIDAY has been sure-gaited this year and she is worth a price look for the exotics.

Race 6: F&M 4YO and younger NW1 or $7,500 LT - Pick 5

(5) WEDNESDAY is a need the lead type that was overtaken in the second 1/4 I her local debut vs. tougher in a Grassroots race. She has a much better chance to lead this field to the stretch and she could get brave in this spot; top call. (1) NORTHERN HALO has the best recent race when 2nd to Fancy Lettering last week and she figures to be the main threat to the choice; using. (6) ACEFORTYFOUR BELLA was 3rd in the same race, and she kicked home well. She is another in with a shot here. (4) LE BEC FIN was better at Georgian Downs, and she should be part of the Super tonight.

Race 7: 5YO and younger NW2 (F&M3) or $20,000 LT - Pick 4

(2) ELEGANT RESOLVE drops out of Golds and gets J Mac back in a spot where she should be tough; top call. (4) CRAIGIEBURN rallied well last week but the favorite got the jump on him. He rates highly in this short field, and he is the other one that I’ll use on multi-race tickets. (5) MUSICAL RIDE has been right there in two straight, and he will likely lead early and stay for a share here again. (1) MUSCLE DETECTOR chased a blowout winner last time and he did well to get 3rd. He is capable of outracing this prediction.

Race 8: 5YO and younger NW1 or $7,000 LT

(1) HUNGRY HILL was good last time but he got picked off by a rival that got a slick steer and some great racing luck. He adds Lasix now and he is the one to catch and beat here. (3) MA ISABELLE raced okay from post 10 in Grassroots company in her second start now she gets class and post relief. She is worth a look for late multi-race tickets. (5) DREBIN is improving, and he should be good for another share in this spot. (6) HIT THE BANK’s sophomore debut was uninspiring but she is another that gets class and post relief now and she can improve enough to land on the edges here.

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Race 9: F&M NW2 or $30,000 LT

(3) BILLIE JEAN QUEEN raced okay as the chalk in a Grassroots race, and she fits okay in here; top call. (1) VALENTINE BLUECHIP qualified well with a trainer in the bike now McNair takes over. She could do in here if she is faster at three, which is possible. (4) GO HAVE FUN followed then rallied well in a fast race won by the pocket sitter. She is another possibility for late multi-race tickets. (5) HOPE N GLORY fits better here and she should use her good late kick to take a slice.

Race 10: CLM $20,000 for NW $69,550 LT

(7) CATCHMEONTHEBEACH paced a sub-28 second 1/4 to make front then he held sway while taking a new life’s mark. He is strictly the one to beat here off that strong effort. (9) BAYLOR BOBBY closed well in two straight and moving from the rail to post 9 isn’t terrible. He could add some value to the Exacta here. (3) CHASING GOOSEBUMPS pushed the choice right to the wire in a good effort and he should get another decent trip here; using underneath. (2) MAX PATRICK fits better here and he should be part of the exotics. (4) BLAKESAGENT likely blasts off the gate for position and stays for a share similar to last week.