Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Thursday 5/4

Top Pick Stats: 194 - 567 / $1,067.20 (-$66.80)

Best Bets: 30 - 51 / $117.80 (+$15.80)

Spot Plays: 11 - 51 / $69.30 (-$32.70)

Best Bet: PASSARINO (7TH)

Spot Play: MOONSTRUCK (2ND)

Early Pick 5: 1,7/10/5,9/5,6/2,4,5 = $4.80

Late Pick 5: 8,9/5/3,5,8/1,4,5/2,3 = $7.20

Early Pick 4: 5,6/2,4,5/8,9/5 = $2.40

Late Pick 4: 3,5,8/1,4,5/2,3/2,3,5,7 = $14.40

Race 1: F&M NW2 or $45,500 LT **Gtd. $100,000 Pick 5**

Unbeaten (7) BARONESS HILL made a couple of moves and powered home to win her qualifier on 4/28. She will be tough to beat here if she stays flat. (1) SHINY NEW PENNY, an OSS Gold winner at two, moves into the Baillargeon barn for this sophomore debut and she fits with these. She could win if the intent is there, but she obviously has bigger fish to fry this year. (4) NO TURNING BACK is right there every week it seems but frequently comes up a bit short. I'll use her underneath here. (8) MUSCLING VEGAS raced well in the Spring series but there are some good horses in this NW2, and I see her taking a share.

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Race 2: 3YO Fillies NW $5,000 LT

(10) MOONSTRUCK was beaten by a very good filly who came back to beat NW2 with a spectacular late rush. This filly has a big shot here despite drawing widest. (9) ALL OF ME's debut was good and moving from post 2 to 9 is close to a lateral move based on how well horses can get away from each post. She can be an Exacta factor tonight. (1) CENTURY JAMILA has two decent starts under her belt, but I don't lose the rail post for her. I'll use her underneath expecting her to close late again. $50,000 Harrisburg buy (2) DEADLY DELIGHT likely has a lot more speed than she showed in her lone qualifier. She is worth a look for the exotics at a price.

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Race 3: 5YO and Younger NW1 or $7,000 LT

(9) PESO HANOVER looked good on the lead only to be picked off late by the well-meant pocket sitter. He gets the nod here. (5) DJIMON made a great recovery to finish 3rd in that race and he should be the main threat if he stays trotting tonight. (4) P C PETERBILT faced tougher in the Spring series, and he should improve by default in this spot; using. (6) SUMKINDOFMAGIC should be good for another small share vs. these.

Race 4: 5YO and Younger NW2 or $25,000 LT - Pick 4

(5) MASS MARKET was good early in his rookie season, taking a Gold win in his second start and he looks well-prepped by Macintosh for this sophomore debut; top call. (6) STONEBRIDGE BOMBER had a useful tightener, and he can improve enough to contend starting from the best post tonight. (1) ZIP ME UP takes many shares and he fits well enough here to land in the exotics. (2) AIRBORNE broke while on the move racing in the rain in the Spring series final. He will contend for a share if he stays trotting tonight.

Race 5: F&M 5YO and Younger NW1 or $7,000 LT

(2) NORTHERN MAGENTA's 27 2/5 kicker signals that she is sitting on a win, and she should get more aggressive in this spot; top call. (5) PROUD TO BE LINDY was passively driven in her 2023 debut. She is good enough to beat these, but intent is the question mark. (4) CARDIO MUSCLE raced well from post 10 when 3rd behind the choice and she could get the jump on that rival tonight. She is the other one that I'll use on multi-race tickets. (9) SOUTHWIND CERVEZA is another that should get a more aggressive steer here and she should be part of the exotics.

Race 6: F&M CLM HDCP $12,000 to $15,000 - Pick 5

(9) PREMIER BETTINA was a strong first-up winner racing off the Moreau claim last week and she gets the call to repeat facing similar. (8) NIMAH FRANCO N was a good 2nd to the choice, and it looks like these two stablemates will fight it out again here. (3) GREYSTONE TREASURE gets Roy back tonight. She's worth using in the exotics. (8) ROCKINWITHCUSTARD should flash speed and stick around for another share.

Race 7: 5YO and Younger NW1 or $7,000

(5) PASSARINO has Gold lines from last year and he qualified faster than tonight's rivals have been racing for purses; graduation time. (7) LITE THE CANDLES dominated in his debut then blew up last week. I think he gets a careful steer here and closes for a good share if flat. (2) LAVA FIELD is typically in the mix, and he should sit a trip close to the front and stay for a share. (1) ETERNALLY YOURS is another that should be close early and hang around for a slice.

Race 8: 5YO and Younger NW2 (F&M3) or $25,000 LT - Pick 4

(3) DEVEREUX SEELSTER made a nice recovery after breaking last week and that 27-flat kicker will play big here if he stays trotting; slight nod. (8) BRACE FOR LANDING is hard to overlook coming in off that 1:55 3/5 qualifier facing horses that have been racing slower; using. (5) ALL STAR YANKEE is capable of taking a share in this spot if he stays flat this week. (2) DONCORLEONE, 4th in both of his last two starts, is a good one to use on the bottom of the Super.

Race 9: F&M NW2 or $45,500 LT

(4) HP EXTRA ICE came on at the end of the Spring series and took two in a row, including the final. I don't know that this spot is any tougher and I'll call her to notch the threepeat. (5) CLIMB THE POLE looked good breaking her maiden and she has some upside. She could do here if she gets a decent trip. (1) WARRAWEE YES took Grand Circuit shares last year and she is obviously good enough to beat these, but I don't love the rail post for her in this spot in a race she doesn’t need to win. I'd demand a price. (3) MVN figures to take a share here sitting a trip.

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Race 10: 5YO and Younger NW2 (F&M3) or $25,000 LT

(3) WARRAWEE YANG's sophomore debut was good, but he was too far back. Expecting a more aggressive steer this time, he gets top billing. (2) RAISEALITTLEHILL was 2nd to a fast-improving gelding who has scored two blowout wins in a row to kick off 2023. This gelding can be a threat here racing close to the front. (8) BUSTING WITH PRIDE compiled a good record at two and he should be in the mix in this sophomore debut. (4) OVERPAYMENT has been right there in every start, and he comes off a game maiden win, but he faces tougher now; using underneath.

Race 11: CLM HDCP $8,000 to $10,000

(3) MACH IMPACT was too far back and following dead cover last week. He should be closer early in this mile and that gives him a good chance vs. these. (5) MALVOLIO drops in the second start off the Moreau claim and he fits much better here. He will be heard from tonight. (2) HELLO ROCKY improved sharply last week and dropped several seconds. He is another that is worth a look in a race with a few options. (7) MACHAL JORDAN is the other dropper that figures as he looks for his second win in his final year of racing. He could do vs. these if he gets a decent trip. (8) ARTISTIC PICK takes frequent shares, and he should be passing rivals late here to land in the High-5.