Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Thursday 5/23

Top Pick Stats: 247 – 760 / $1254.50 (-$265.50)

Best Bets: 41 – 71 / $134.20 (-$7.80)

Spot Plays: 11 – 69 / $65.40 (-$72.20)

Best Bet: HUNGRY HILL (8TH)

Spot Play: P L ROBERT G (3RD)

Early Pick 5: 1,6/3,8/1,6,7/4/1,5 = $4.80

Late Pick 5: 1,2,6,10/6,7/3/5,6/4,5 = $6.40

Early Pick 4: 4/1,5/1,2,6,10/6,7 = $3.20

Late Pick 4: 6,7/3/5,6/4,5 = $1.60

Race 1: 3YO NW $5,500 LT AE: 3YO NW $175 P/S in 2024 **Gtd. $100,000 Pick 5**

(6) HEAVENS COUNT was out a long way before he made front last week, and he can beat these if he clears quicker; top call. (1) TYMAL SPELLBOUND was a good 2nd here on 5/2. She will likely be the one to fend off late; using. (3) FORBIDDEN TREASURE had one okay start at Flamboro and a decent qualifier since. He should be good for a share here. (4) DOMINION trotted sub-29 kickers in his last two qualifier, and he gets the leading driver. He is worth a look for the exotics.

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Race 2: CLM $20,000 for NW $64,000 LT

(3) CATCHMEONTHEBEACH was 4th here on Monday night in a much tougher claiming handicap and he gets the nod making his third start in a week since being claimed by Lester. (8) MANHAWK is another that is obviously in much easier tonight, and I wonder if McClure will try to leave with him this time. He is the other one that I’ll use in the Pick 5. (5) THE SERPENT’s first start back from a break was decent. He will likely show speed and stick around for another share. (4) D A LUNCHBOX has been a regular money burner for a few weeks, and he will likely get bet again tonight. I’ll fade him in this spot.

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Race 3: 5YO and younger NW1 or $7,000 LT

(7) P L ROBERT G had a disastrous trip last week and he still closed willingly in the lane to take 4th. He should win here if he gets a reasonable trip this time. (1) VANJIE BLUE CHIP provided perfect cover for a big longshot winner last week that was obviously much better than his price suggested. He should be the main threat here. (6) SWEET VALLEY sat a trip and rallied for a debut score, and she dropped four seconds while doing it. She is another for Pick 5 consideration. (3) MAESTRO SEELSTER, 2nd to an impressive winner in his sophomore debut, can take another slice here.

Race 4: 5YO and younger NW1 or $7,000 LT Pick 4

(4) NO NEED FOR ALARM, dropping out of the SBOA stakes, meets a field she should beat, and I expect an aggressive McNair steer. (5) EXCITING MIA has two decent 2024 starts under her belt. She should be an Exacta factor in this spot. (8) GAMING QUEEN adds Lasix and gets away from Kinnder Hotblood, who would be 1-9 in this field. This filly should contend vs. these. (1) CHAUD HOLLIDAY shows a good qualifier and picks up Macdonald. She should be in the exotics mix.

Race 5: 5YO and younger NW2 (F&M3) or $22,500 LT

(5) FLIGHT LANDING shows two blowout qualifying wins preparing for this sophomore debut, and it is quite possible that he is much faster at 3. I think he wires these. (1) HIGHLAND KISMET lived up to the hype, taking an impressive maiden win at 1-5 win and he should be the main threat here if he is over his bout of sickness. (6) EMOJI HANOVER looked good taking a Grand Circuit win in her third start last year and she took a fast mark, but she was driven conservatively in her debut, and I expect more of the same here with much bigger dances on her sophomore card. I’ll use her underneath. (3) ROCK CLIMBER is in solid form, but this is a tough spot, and he likely takes a small share vs. these.

Race 6: F&M 4YO and younger NW1 or $7,500 LT Pick

(10) SEA GLASS should offer a decent price here starting from the widest post and she will likely get sent forward leaving the gate. I’ll take a shot with her in a field that has a lot of question marks. (2) FIRST CAST paced by far the best mile of his life in her 2024 debut, and she figures to be a threat here starting from the inside; using. (1) YS FLOWERNUMBERTEN set some solid splits in her local debut and hung around for a share. She likely sits and rallies this time, and she can win with the right trip. (6) AMERICAN STARLIGHT shows two nice qualifiers and Team Whelan won a race here last week. She is another in with a shot in a race full of possibilities.

Race 7: 5YO and younger NW2 (F&M3) or $22,500 LT Pick 4

(7) STUBBORN CHEE methodically wore down the leader first-over in an impressive effort on 5/9 and she gets the call to repeat off that strong winning performance. (6) SHERMONT was competitive in the Weiss, and he goes to Team Henry now, who do an especially good job with young trotters. This one should contend if he stays flat. (8) HOPE N GLORY showed she is a new filly at 3 when she roared past the leaders at 55-1 in her sophomore debut after missing more than a year. If she can replicate the late speed she showed that night, she should be right there again. (1) MYFRIENDJOSE, first-up last time, likely gets in a flow here starting from the rail post and he should be part of the exotics again.

Race 8: 3YO NW $5,500 LT

(3) HUNGRY HILL made a couple of moves in a good effort last week but the rival that passed him late just got too good of a trip. This gelding stands out here and he should be hard to beat. (6) SID THE KID has shown some talent when he has stayed trotting, and he can be an Exacta factor here if flat. (5) FAST APPROACH adds Lasix coming off a disappointing effort as the chalk. He should be part of the exotics here. Debutant (8) MARKET BANKER is worth a look for the bottom of the Tri and Super.

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Race 9: F&M CLM HDCP $10,000 to $15,000

(5) WATCH HER DEWITT looked good fighting off her challengers to take the win last time and she is perfectly drawn to get another good trip racing on or near the lead; call to repeat. (6) GOLDIES ROCKIN gets needed post relief here and Macdonald sticks with her. Drawing best this time gives her a decent shot. (8) BLUE GLAMBER often makes her own luck with her good gate speed, and she is another that is in the mix here, but I can see her being forced to take a seat early this time. I’ll use her underneath. (1) DIALMEUP likely sits another trip and sneaks into the Tri or Super.

Race 10: F&M NW2 or $30,000 LT

(4) P L RACHEL flew late in her sophomore debut, and she can beat these if she lays a bit closer. (5) KARENS DREAM dropped more than eight seconds in 11 days, and she has a decent chance to repeat here but her price will be much lower than last week’s. (6) TEA LAKE hasn’t missed the board this year and I expect that trend to continue here. (7) TACTICAL STRIKE predictably got hammered at the windows getting Filion and facing maidens, but he blew up in the stretch. He is an obvious contender, but he has some risk. (2) DAIRBHRE is improving, and he figures to take another slice in this spot.