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Woodbine Harness

Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Thursday 5/19

Garnet Barnsdale|May 17, 2022
Mohawk Logo 1.5

Meet Stats: 237 -- 748 / $1,330.60 (-$165.40)

Best Bets: 41 -- 70 / $134.40 (-$3.60)

Spot Plays: 25 -- 70 / $167.70 (+$27.70)

Best Bet: TWIN B JAMMER (6TH)

Spot Play: CENTURY HEFNER (2ND)

Early Pick 5: 5,8,9/5,6,7/7,8,9/4,8,9/3 = $16.20

Late Pick 5: 1/3,7,8/1,2,7/1,5,7/2,9,10 = $16.20

Early Pick 4: 4,8,9/3/1/3,7,8 = $9

Late Pick 4: 3,7,8/1,2,7/1,5,7/9,10 = $54

Race 1: F&M 4YO and Younger NW1 or $7,000 LT **Guaranteed $100,000 Pick 5**

(9) CLEVELAND MONEYKA left, took a shuffle, then re-rallied nicely while lacking room down the stretch in an improved effort last week. She should be the one to beat in this field; top call. (8) SILVER DIAMOND drew in off the also-eligibles due to a late scratch. She finished ahead of the choice last week and she should be a threat tonight; using. (5) NO TURNING BACK, a $82,000 Harrisburg buy, is the second foal from the dam and the first one was $420,000 earner You Will Be Queen, who won her first two starts. She is worth a look on debut. (4) ARCHSRAINBOW's first two starts as a sophomore were decent and she should get another share here.

[DRF HARNESS: Get Harness Eye PPs for this card]

Race 2: Claiming $15,000 to $18,000 for NW $35,000 LT

(7) CENTURY HEFNER wasn't asked for anything in his first race back until the final 1/8th of a mile and he had some live legs in the middle of the track at the wire. That looked like a start that he obviously needed and I'll give him the call to upset. (5) JIM STRIKESITRICH just failed to last in that race and this looks like an easier spot. He should be the one to beat tonight. (6) LETSFLYTOGETHER N exits a tougher race and he is one who could improve vs. these; worth a look for the exotics. (4) STORMY BEACH slipped off the rail on the last turn for a clear run and he closed mildly for a share. He should be in the exotics mix again tonight.

[DRF BETS: Wager on tonight's Mohawk Park card at DRF Bets.com!]

Race 3: 4YO and Younger NW1 or $7,000

(7) CHARMED KING left from the 10-hole for position and then he tried to close racing first-up into a back 1/2 that was trotted more than five seconds faster than the opening 1/2. Maybe he blasts to the front vs. these and never looks back. (8) THREE FINGER POUR flew home and finished ahead of the choice. He will take plenty of action off that mile. His prior gait issues are concerning but he should be right there if he stays flat. (9) UNRESOLVED DEBT is hard to toss because he trots a sub-28 kicker in every start. He should contend tonight if he is in striking range at the 3/4 pole. (6) GIVE ME KARETS K is quirky but he can land a spot in the Super here if he stays flat tonight.

Race 4: F&M 4YO and Younger NW1 or $7,000 LT Pick 4

(9) BETTER SING IT was hammered down to even money on debut, but trying to close into a 26 4/5 kicker was mission impossible. I'll side with her tonight expecting a more aggressive try in this second start. (8) L A SEELSTER paced a 56-flat back 1/2 in that same race and she finished just behind the choice. She is another that is likely to be more aggressive tonight; using. (4) CHERYLS SHADOW is still a maiden but she will take action here because of her 26 1/5 final 1/4 last week. She is in the mix here. (3) BET ON SANDY retains the leading driver for this second start and that alone makes her interesting for the exotics.

Race 5: 5YO and Younger NW2 (F&M3) or $20,000 (F&M $30,000)

(3) POCAHONTAS flew home trotting a 55 4/5 back 1/2 last week and if she sits closer tonight she should beat these. (10) SIMCOE SEELSTER stole a 32 1/5 second 1/4 last week and was never headed from there. This improving colt should be a threat tonight. (4) PENCILS DOWN took checks in Gold and Grand Circuit races last year. She is another possibility in this cash leg of the early Pick 5. (6) WARRAWEE XENIA adds Lasix and gets McClure. She can be in the mix here if she stays flat.

Race 6: 4YO and Younger NW1 or $7,000 LT Pick 5

(1) TWIN B JAMMER raced well from the 10-hole last week, blasting to the front, yielding, then finishing well in tight quarters late. He is a clear top pick for me here and a multi-race single. (5) SUNNY ZIP showed some promise in his first two starts at Flamboro Downs. He can be an Exacta factor in this spot. (8) SPORT ADDICTION fits with these but I wonder what kind of a trip he'll get from out there in this sophomore debut. I'll use him underneath. (2) SLICK RICHARD motored home but he didn't threaten last week. I can see him sneaking into the Super.

Race 7: 5YO and Younger NW2 (F&M3) or $20,000 (F&M $30,000) Pick 4

(3) DEVEREAUX SEELSTER tried to start an outside move passing the 1/2 last week but three rivals had the same idea and in an instant, he found himself in a non-advancing 4th-over spot. He closed with good energy in the lane and I'll give him the nod. (7) GRACE looks ready to fire for The Stable, who sends them ready to produce coming off the bench. She will likely be the one to catch here. (8) TAKE COMMAND, who wasn't asked to do much in his two qualifiers, is capable vs. these; price look. (5) MAHONE SEELSTER regularly finished on the edges. Consider using him on the bottom of Tri and Super bets.

Race 8: CLM HDCP $8,000 to $10,000

(2) COOL ROCK improved in his second start of the year and we've seen this movie a few times before, haven't we? Look for him to vault past them late tonight. (1) THUNDERING JIM set big fractions when claimed by Moreau and he should be the one to catch here; using. (7) NATES BUCKY is razor-sharp and worth a look for late multi-race tickets. (8) STOLEN ART raced well last week but he was claimed by a cold barn. I'll use him underneath tonight.

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Race 9: CLM $15,000 to $18,000 for NW $90,000 LT

(1) MISTER J R blasted, yielded, then slipped up the pylons to win off the claim last week and Macdonald can trip him out again in this field; call to repeat. (7) HIGH FLYIN JAMIE has excelled since dropping into these claimers and he should be the one to beat again; using. (5) PRIVATE SCOTT looked flat last week, but that might have been an optical illusion considering he had to pace a 27 1/5 third 1/4 just to get into contention. He is capable but trip dependent. Demand a price here. (4) BELIEVE IN BRIAN should close for another slice here.

Race 10: Claiming $15,000 to $18,000 for NW $60,000 LT

(9) DR JOE pace a 27-flat third 1/4 vs. much better last week and I imagine Drury will be looking to send him right down the road vs. these; top call. (10) MIDNIGHT MOOD was better last week and he could be the value in this race leaving from the 10-hole; using. (2) WISK KEY K made a big sweeping move that he couldn't sustain down the lane last week. He could do here if he trips out. (1) SLICK N SPORTY will likely sit another decent trip and land a small share. (3) ROCKINMYDREAM rarely misses a check. He should be part of this High-5.

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