Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Thursday 5/11

Top Pick Stats: 207 - 612 / $1,126.50 (-$97.50)

Best Bets: 33 - 55 / $127.10 (+$17.10)

Spot Plays: 12 - 55 / $73.80 (-$36.20)

Best Bet: WARAWEE YES (7TH)

Spot Play: LAS VEGAS HANOVER (5TH)

Early Pick 5: 2,5,9/1,3,5/2,5/5,7/1,4,5 = $21.60

Late Pick 5: 5,6/6/1,4,7/4,8/1,6,7,8 = $9.60

Early Pick 4: 5,7/1,4,5/5,6/6 = $2.40

Late Pick 4: 6/1,4,7/4,8/1,6,7,8 = $4.80

Race 1: 5YO and Younger NW1 or $7,000 LT **Gtd. $100,000 Pick 5**

This is a good spot for (2) SOUTHWIND CERVEZA, who was too far back last time but kicked well at the end. (5) GAME BUSTER took a fast mark at two and was a narrow 3rd to NW2 last out, so he is hard to leave off the Pick 5. (9) CARDIO MUSCLE has Gold lines from last year and two decent starts so far in 2023. He contends here if he gets put into the race from the widest post. (8) TITAN FLAX S should close for a share here if he stays flat tonight.

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Race 2: F&M 5YO and Younger NW1 or $7,500

(5) ALL OF ME rocketed home last week but she had too far to come, and the late pace was too strong. She could be sitting on a win now; top call. (3) RUTHY B finished strong in her qualifier now she adds Lasix for this sophomore debut. She figures to be a late threat; using. (1) PADDY MELT was no match for a sharp winning 1 to 5 shot but there don't appear to be any like that one in here. She is another in with a chance. (4) TWO ACROSS MARION frequently finished on the edges. She is a good one to use on the bottom of the Tri and Super.

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Race 3: 5YO and Younger NW2 (F&M3) or $27,000 LT

(5) BAR BRAWL is in much easier here and he likely wires these if he stays flat. (2) RESOLVE TO WIN trotted the fastest mile of his career in his sophomore debut and he figures to be the main threat here racing from close range. I like that (8) LOOKSLIKAGOODFELLA passed some horses as the pace accelerated in the final 1/4 of his qualifier; price look for the exotics. (7) DEVEREAUX SEELSTER has burned money in both 2023 starts and he will likely get bet here, too. I'll fade him tonight.

Race 4: F&M 5YO and Younger NW1 or $7,500 LT - Pick 4

(5) BETTOR CALL MOM looks best here, and she should beat these if she gets the same aggressive drive supplied by Roy last week. (7) TRUE THAT was first up into a 27-flat kicker and that wasn’t going to work. She fits well here, and she should be the main threat. (3) DANGEROUS CURVES is in the mix every week and she should get a good trip racing near the front to take a share. (9) AUTUMNS PASSION moves into a high percentage barn and is worth using in the exotics at a price tonight.

Race 5: 5YO and Younger NW1 or $7,000 LT

$65,000 Harrisburg buy (1) LAS VEGAS HANOVER is a 1/2 to several winners, including $429K earner Luckycharm Hanover. His sub-28 kickers in his qualifiers show that he is ready, and this isn't a tough spot; top call. (4) YANK MY HALO stacks up well vs. these and he will likely get a more aggressive drive this time from J Mac. He should be the main danger. (5) MR EXPERIENCE gets a much better post to work from tonight following a good sophomore debut. He is another in with a shot here. (8) IM ABOVE AVERAGE will likely close for a small share if he stays flat tonight.

Race 6: CLM HDCP $8,000 to $10,000 - Pick 5

This race shapes up as another battle between (5) MALVOLIO and (6) MACH IMPACT. I'll give the former a slight edge based on drawing inside his main rival. (1) HELLO ROCKY is sent out by a barn that has win with 4 of its last 11 starters. He can be an exotics factor tonight. (7) MACHAL JORDAN should be able to close for a small slice in this spot.

Race 7: F&M NW3 or $45,500 LT - Pick 4

(6) WARAWEE YES raced well in his sophomore debut after suffering interference early now she gets off the rail and draws best; top call. (2) SWEET DETERMINATION can contend if she stays flat this time. She was a Gold winner at 2 though and is likely using these races as a springboard to the summer stakes campaign; using underneath. (3) ANGEL OF MY DREAMS was better last week and she should be in the exotics mix again. (5) MVN regularly takes shares and she should be part of the Super in this field.

Race 8: 5YO and Younger NW2 (F&M3) or $27,000 LT

(7) WARAWEE YANG has been mildly driven in both 2023 starts. Maybe new driver Young sends him tonight? (1) DJIMON looked good vaulting past the leaders late and McClure sticks with him over the choice. He is obvious but I'm not sure I want odds-on from the rail. (4) OVERPAYMENT had no choice but to just follow the leader last week because that rival uncorked a wicked fast winning mile. He has a better chance vs. these. (3) JERONIMO is capable of taking a slice in here if he stays flat.

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Race 9: F&M CLM HDCP $12,000 to $15,000

(8) THE IDEAL HUNTRESS likely drops, pops, and gets claimed in this spot. Cullen will be blasting with her. (4) SWEET ROCKIN GIA should get better positioning tonight getting off the rail after drawing that post three times straight; Exacta factor. (6) SHAKEITIFYOUGOTIT showed three starts back that she can win here but this is a tougher spot. I'll use her underneath. (5) SUNSHINEINMYPOCKET should pass a few of these and land in the exotics again.

Race 10: F&M that have started for a purse of $9K or less in 1 of L4 AE: NW $7,700 L8

(1) AMERICAN TICKET fits well here and Macdonald will likely find her a good trip racing near the front; top call. (8) DARKRSHADEOFPALE N is another that stacks up well and her barn sent a trotter out Monday night here that trotted the fastest mile in Canada this year; using. (6) TAKEYOURBREATHAWAY is 2 for 2 since switching to the Laver barn. She's worth tossing on late multi-race tickets. (7) BABY BONITA gets away from a red-hot mare that won three straight and she is another to consider for the multis. (2) ITTY BITTY is in easier here and she should get a share.