Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Thursday 4/6

Top Pick Stats: 158 - 467 / $858.80 (-$75.20)

Best Bets: 27 - 42 / $108.50 (+$24.50)

Spot Plays: 9 - 42 / $59.60 (-$24.40)

Best Bet: CHEDDA CHEDDA (2ND)

Spot Play: NO TURNING BACK (5TH)

Early Pick 5: 2,5,6/4/1,4/2,3/1,2 = $4.80

Late Pick 5: 1/4,9/2,7/2,3,4,6,7/1,5,6,7 = $16

Early Pick 4: 2,3/1,2/1,2/4,9 = $3.20

Late Pick 4: 2,7/2,3,4,6,7/1,5,6,7/1,3 = $16

Race 1: 5YO and Younger NW1 or $7,000 LT **Gtd. $100,000 Pick 5**

Tough race to kick off the early Pick 5. (5) DELCREST BRENT shows a race last October that is good enough to win this, he is perfectly drawn, and he can beat these if he stays flat tonight. (2) TALISMANO has been in tougher NW2 races recently and he is an obvious one to use on the class drop tonight. (6) WOLINAK’s seasonal debut was his best race yet and he is another in with a chance here. (4) BARROOM BRAWL BOYS seems likely to take another small share in this spot.

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Race 2: ONTARIO SIRED SPRING SERIES PACE for 3YO Fillies who were NW $30,000 in 2022

(4) CHEDDA CHEDDA got a perfect tune-up for this series last week, closing from last and pacing her back 1/2 in 54-flat. She should convert as the chalk here. (5) SWEETEST BELLE should get a more aggressive steer vs. these, and she can be an Exacta factor in this spot. (1) TESLA POWER is another that should improve enough to be part of the exotics in this spot. (3) ASHLEES SWEETIE was decent at two. I can see her sneaking into the Tri or Super in this sophomore debut.

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Race 3: ONTARIO SIRED SPRING SERIES TROT for 3YO Fillies who were NW $30,000 in 2022

I'm willing to forgive (4) MUSCLING VEGAS for her second start where she looked flat in the lane. I think she gets pointed to the front here and she should handle this group. (1) HP EXTRA ICE is the obvious danger if she can stay flat tonight; using. (3) SENIORITA SOLO can be close vs. these if she behaves. I'll use her underneath. (6) MATCH MEIF YOU CAN trotted two decent miles to start her three-year-old campaign. She should be good for another slice.

Race 4: 5YO and Younger Claiming $35,000 - Pick 4

(2) CLEVELAND MASSIMO tipped his hand two starts back when he was a trotting blur in the stretch, and he followed that sharp effort with a strong win last time. He gets the call to repeat off that effort. (3) BELLA CAVALLA was no match for the choice, but her form is strong, and she looks like the main threat here. (7) SIR BALLYKEEL can take a slice using his typical late kick tonight. (5) COMING FASHION comes in from London in sharp form but a smaller share is likely his ceiling tonight.

Race 5: 5YO and Younger NW2 (F&M3) or $25,500 LT

(1) NO TURNING BACK raced great vs. a repeat winner and she gets the nod here facing a field she can beat if she gets a decent trip. (2) TIMES LIKE THESE is an interesting lightly raced shipper that looks well prepped for this sophomore debut. He can be a threat here. (10) HORN PLAYER will likely be overbet coming off a win and getting J Mac now. This is a tougher field, and she draws worst. I'll try to beat her. (5) ALCINA likely takes another slice in this spot, racing close up most of the way.

Race 6: ONTARIO SIRED SPRING SERIES PACE for 3YO Fillies who were NW $30,000 in 2022 - Pick 5

(1) ELSIES DELIGHT is clearly fastest in here and she will be a Pick 5 single for me. (2) MIST AMBER ships in sharp from London and she has won here before; Exacta factor. (6) DEWITT THIS MOMENT took a mark of 1:54 here last year and she had no chance at 1 to 5 in her sophomore debut after dropping way back early. She should get a good share here. (5) CHAKKA has a similar profile as the #6 and she can close for a slice.

Race 7: 5YO and Younger NW1 or $7,000 LT

(4) SOUTHWIND CERVEZA looks good here after making a nice late close in here career debut; top call. (9) DONCORLEONE, the only two-time winner in the field, should improve dropping to face maidens here and he is the other one that I'll use on multi-race tickets. (1) ETERNALLY HANOVER, an $85,000 Harrisburg buy, is a 1/2 to $281K winner May Karp (1:52 2/5 M) that hinted at having some ability in his March 24th qualifier. The rail for a debutant is a tough spot on this track. I will use him underneath. (2) OCEANVIEW MASSEY will likely show speed and stick around for a small share in this spot.

Race 8: ONTARIO SIRED SPRING SERIES PACE for 3YO Fillies who were NW $30,000 in 2022 - Pick 4

(2) WRITE THE RULES had a good prep for this series where she closed well from far back. Expecting her to get a more aggressive steer tonight, I'll give her the nod. (7) NO MONEY HONEY raced well when beaten by the choice then she skipped a week. She should be the main threat here. (4) WESTERN FLAMES finished third in close to half of her 2022 starts and that trend can continue here. (5) LADY JESS jogged in a much easier maiden race. I’ll use her underneath in this tougher spot.

Race 9: F&M Claiming $12,000 to $15,000

Good betting race here with several options. (4) BEAUTY IS BLIND is in great form, she was a winner here three starts back, and she gets the leading driver; top call. (3) MITTANY NICOLE rode the choice's cover to a narrow win at Flamboro and she is razor-sharp, having won four of her last five. She's an obvious threat. (7) GOLDEN LEADER was right there at a price in two straight, and she should be in the exotics mix again; using underneath. (2) WHATINEEDISAMAN is right there every week it seems, and she is another that should be part of the Super or Tri.

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Race 10: F&M CLM HDCP $8,000 to $10,000

(6) BOOKIE BABY raced well first up off the McQueen claim now she draws best and gets the leading driver; top call. (1) E R RHONDA couldn’t get close to a strong leader last time when claimed by Fellows. She should offer a good price racing at this higher level, and she is capable; using. (5) LATTE SEELSTER flashed speed racing off the claim now she gets Henry in the bike. She is another in with a chance. (7) HOWMACFIESTY is in solid form for a high percentage barn, and she is worth a price look here.

Race 11: CLM HDCP $8,000 to $10,000

(3) DO YOU SEE IT races off the Waxman claim and that trainer is clicking at a 29% rate so far this year and he has already surpassed his 2022 win total; top call. (1) MACH IMPACT should get another good stalking trip here with plenty of speed to chase. He is in with a decent chance to repeat. (2) ARTISTIC PICK fits well here and he should be closer early. He is another in with a shot in a good betting race. (6) FOUR FOR ORR got taken by leading trainer Moreau and he adds Lasix and draws best here. A big speed try is likely tonight but I wonder if he and (8) NATES BUCKY will sting each other early, setting the table for the closers.