Woodbine Harness

Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Thursday 4/28

Garnet Barnsdale|Apr 26, 2022

Meet Stats: 195 -- 618 / $1114.90 (-$121.10)

Best Bets: 35 -- 58 / $114.60 (-$1.40)

Spot Plays: 20 -- 58 / $128.30 (+$12.30)

Best Bet: HANG ON BABY (3RD)

Spot Play: BIG BETTOR HANOVER (5TH)

Early Pick 5: 5,7,10/1,3,5,6/1/3,4,6/5,8 = $14.40

Late Pick 5: 4,5,6/1,4/6,7/4,5/2,8,9 = $14.40

Early Pick 4: 3,4,6/5,8/4,5,6/1,4 = $36

Late Pick 4: 6,7/4,5/2,8,9/3,4,5,8 = $48

Race 1: F&M 4YO and Younger NW1 or $7,000 LT **Guaranteed $100,000 Pick 5**

(7) MVN failed as chalk last Thursday on a night where leaders had a huge advantage thanks to wind conditions. He can rebound and beat these. (5) HAVANA exits that same race which you can put a line through. Sharp improvement is likely tonight. (10) STORMONT MABEL switches barns and she qualified well for this. She can be a speed threat; using. (2) P C LIVINGADREAM sems to have some ability and this driver never gets bet at this track. Consider her for the bottom of the exotics at a price.

[DRF HARNESS: Get Harness Eye PPs for this card]

Race 2: ONTARIO SPRING SERIES for 3YO FILLIES 2nd Leg

(5) BETTER DOUBLE FLIP was at a tactical disadvantage due to a bias caused by wind last week. Even pacing a 26 4/5 kicker she couldn't get there. She should have a better chance tonight; top call. McNair took advantage of the conditions last week by letting (1) FROMAKINGTOAQUEEN roll on the engine. She should be the one to catch again tonight in this short field. (6) WILDCAT STAR is hard to leave out as she shoots for a fourth straight win. Macdonald provided a perfect steer last week as he continues to roll. (3) GIRL IN A TAVERN paced the best mile of her life last week in defeat and she is another that could do in this competitive six-pack.

[DRF BETS: Wager on tonight's Mohawk Park card at DRF Bets.com!]

Race 3: ONTARIO SPRING SERIES for 3YO FILLIES 2nd Leg

(1) HANG ON BABY faces similar to those that she easily handled in leg 1 and she is a good bet to repeat here. (2) SILVER DIAMOND's sophomore debut was okay and she can improve enough tonight to be an Exacta factor. (10) ALL ABOUT ADDIE produced an impressive late rally when 2nd to the choice, but you have to wonder how aggressive she will be from out there in just her third start with the final of the series still to come. I'll use her underneath. (7) MAKE IT EASY can rally for a small share.

Race 4: 4YO and Younger NW1 or $7,000 LT Pick 4

(4) HE BEE SUNNY elected to stay in at the 3/4 pole last week, which may have been a mistake because he seemed a bit tentative while in tight down on the inside in the lane. I think Roy lets him roll tonight in this second start back; top call. (3) MR BEAST, a $40,000 buy at the 2020 Lexington sale, looks well-prepped for this sophomore debut and he is another that I'll use on early multi-race tickets. (6) LYONS PRIDE also qualified well for this and he is another that could do if he gets put into the race early enough. (8) DON'T POKE THE BEAR is capable of landing in the Super in this second start back.

Race 5: F&M 4YO and Younger NW1 or $7,000 LT

(8) BIG BETTOR HANOVER, stakes placed in Grand Circuit races at 2, looks good against these and she should break her maiden in the 11th try tonight. (5) MOONLIT AFFAIR, a $50,000 Harrisburg buy, was better in her qualifier on 4/22. I can see her closing for a good share tonight. (2) RIBBON RIDGE should flash speed and stick around for a share in this spot. (4) SAKE TUMI should be in the exotics mix making this 2022 debut. I'll use her underneath.

Race 6: ONTARIO SPRING SERIES for 3YO FILLIES 2nd Leg Pick 5

(4) LYONS PRINCESS produced a nice late rally last week and in this much shorter field she has to be much closer by default. She gets the nod. (5) ADDICTIVEBEHAVIOUR's first-up effort was decent and she is in with a chance here. (6) INFINITY SEELSTER had clear sailing in the lane last week and she could do no better than 4th. She is likely going to try to control this race and her speed makes her a threat. (3) WINDSUN MOJITO should close for another share.

Race 7: 4YO and Younger NW1 or $7,000 LT

(4) LAUGH NOW's debut was good, especially his final 1/4. Speed blast coming now? (1) KEVIN ANTHONY got it all his own way on the engine but couldn't finish the job on 4/7. His good gate speed makes him a threat here, though in a race that includes a few coming off breaks; using. (7) CHARMED KING blew up at 3-5 after flying home in his debut. His best puts him right there with these. (8) ALL IN RESOLVE is improving and he is worth a look for the bottom of the exotics at a price.

Race 8: F&M CLM HDCP $12,000 to $15,000 Pick 4

(7) DARKRSHADEOFPALE N faces much easier dropping in for a tag tonight and she should be the one to catch; top call. (6) BAYWATCHING came too late last week. I expect a more aggressive steer this time and she is the other one that I'll use on late multi-race tickets. (8) YNOTHOS got a perfect steer from McNair last week as he kept her live in the lane when she was under siege. She should be in the exotics mix again. (9) CENTURY GEORGIA was dead game in defeat last week. She has upset potential here.

Race 9: 5YO and Younger NW2 (F&M3) or $20,000 (F&M $30,000) LT

(4) SAMOSA is clearly fastest in here and the horse she beat on 4/7 has already come back to win; top call. (5) MR FRITTER was Grand Circuit-placed last year and his class makes him a contender here, although he will likely have his hands full with the choice; Exacta factor. (10) PATRICK HANOVER wasn't far behind Mr Fritter on 4/22. He might be a good one to throw on Tri and Super tickets at a price. (6) WILLTOWIN HANOVER looked good breaking his maiden but he faces much faster horses now; using on the bottom.

Race 10: F&M CLM HDCP $8,000 to $10,000

(9) DIXIE STAR N was no match for a sharp winner when claimed by Moreau on 4/11. She looks fastest in here and she should be the one to catch. (2) COCO BEACH DE VIE was too far back in that race after getting torched on the engine the race before. This barn has been hot recently; beware. (8) BEACH JOURNEY needed her last after missing a month. She drops now and she can rebound for a share vs. easier tonight. (6) ASKMYSECRETARY should flash early speed and stick around for a share.

Race 11: 4YO and Younger NW2 or $15,000 LT

(3) CONTACT ZONE looked like he might be a killer last August until he hit the Grand Circuit. He looks ready for a big try here in his sophomore debut; top call. (5) ROCKAWAY BAY finished off his rookie season looking like an improving colt and he should contend here; using. (8) HP MOMENTUM is yet another returnee that looks sharp and he could offer some multi-race value; using. (4) TWIN B JAMMER will likely get bet here because he paced a 53 2/5 back 1/2 in his return race on a night where fields were getting wildly gapped out because of the wind conditions. He isn't impossible in this spot. (6) HES A LADIES MAN's comeback race was decent. He can take another share tonight.