Woodbine Harness

Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Thursday 4/21

Garnet Barnsdale|Apr 19, 2022

Meet Stats: 183 -- 575 / $1053.10 (-$97.00)

Best Bets: 33 -- 54 / $109.40 (+$1.40)

Spot Plays: 19 -- 53 / $120.50 (+$12.50)

Best Bet: ACAPULCO SUNBURN (8TH)

Spot Play: BABY BONITA (3RD)

Early Pick 5: 7/3,7/3,4/1,3,5,8/1,2 = $6.40

Late Pick 5: 2,3/4/8/2,6,9/3,5,7,8,9 = $6

Early Pick 4: 1,3,5,8/1,2/2,3/4 = $16

Late Pick 4: 4/8/2,6,9/3,5,7,8,9 = $15

Race 1: Ontario Spring Series for Ont. Sired 3YO NW $30,000 in 2021 **Guaranteed $100,000 Pick 5**

(7) HANG ON BABY is fastest in here and she should convert at a miniscule price if she stays flat. (4) MAKIN MAGIC TONITE can be a threat if she stays trotting. She does need a clean line tonight, so she could be conservatively driven, though. I'll use her underneath. (3) SILVER DIAMOND qualified well against a decent rival and she should be in the exotics mix here. (6) CALM COOL COLLECTED can rally for another small slice vs. these.

[DRF HARNESS: Get Harness Eye PPs for this card]

Race 2: 4YO and Younger NW1 or $7,000 LT

(3) STONERIDGE NIKE was in against a debuting monster last week and he couldn't keep up with that rival who paced a sub-55 back 1/2 to win going away. There are no Acapulco Sunburns in here and this gelding gets top billing. (7) HE BEE SUNNY was third to some good Gold colts in his only start at 2 and he fits well here. He should be the main danger; using. (6) D J SEELSTER finished ahead of the choice last week and he should be in the exotics mix again. (8) KOBRA KAI showed promise in some of his races last year and he is worth using underneath.

[DRF BETS: Wager on tonight's Mohawk Park card at DRF Bets.com!]

Race 3: Ontario Spring Series for Ont. Sired 3YO NW $30,000 in 2021

(3) BABY BONITA got stuck behind a pocket-sitting stopper last week as the leader was sprinting and she lost several lengths. Once she got clear sailing, she rallied well in the lane. I'll give her the nod here. (4) WILDCAT STAR was a dead-game winner when beating the choice by a length on 4/8. She is hard to leave out here. (2) ADDICTIVEBEHAVIOUR can rally for another slice. (6) INFINITY SEELSTER was a game maiden breaker but this is a much tougher spot; small share predicted.

Race 4: 4YO and Younger NW1 or $7,000 LT

(1) INN AT RODANTHE, full-brother to $1.3 million earner Mets Hall, looks as good as any in here and I'll give him the nod at first asking. (3) PARTY LIFE will likely get overbet on the driver change from Hie to Macdonald, but sharp improvement should be inevitable; using. (5) MVN is another that is going to get bet on the driver change, but he showed what he can do if he gets put into the race two starts back and he should contend here. $65,000 Harrisburg buy (8) HAVANA is worth using on debut in a race that will come down to trip, pace, and intent.

Race 5: F&M 4YO and Younger NW1 or $7,000 LT

(1) RAPTORS WON is another Millar Farms filly that looks ready to roll on debut and she is the one to beat in here. (2) GRITTY GRACIE raced well in defeat last week. She can be an Exacta factor. I liked (7) WHATA DIVA's debut effort and she is bred to be fast. I'll use her underneath. (3) A DISRUPTOR came too late last week. She can be a threat tonight but I would need a price considering she hasn't been asked to do much work in either start.

Race 6: Ontario Spring Series for Ont. Sired 3YO NW $30,000 in 2021 Pick 5

(2) BETTER DOUBLE FLIP's sophomore debut was very good and she is the one to beat. (3) GIRL IN A TAVERN wasn't asked for much when she was fifth to the choice last week. I could see her turning the tables here; using. (4) P L PORTIA wasn't beating much in London, but she did it in style twice. She should be in the exotics mix. (5) TROPHY BRIDE is around the money every week. She should be part of the Tri or Super.

Race 7: 5YO and Younger NW2 (F&M3) or $20,000 (F&M $30,000) Pick 4

(4) TIE ONE ON was a $70K earner last year while facing faster than she meets here. The leading driver taking the reins signals intent; top call. (7) VALI HANOVER has a major case of seconditis and his streak of 2nd-place finishes will likely get extended to seven straight races tonight. (1) MYCROWNMYKINGDOM is capable of a faster mile than she trotted last time and he adds Lasix for this. He has upset potential. (2) DEVEREAUX SEELSTER figures to take another small share racing from close range.

Race 8: 4YO and Younger NW2 or $15,000 LT

(8) ACAPULCO SUNBURN was sitting in midpack early as the pace dawdled last week, but it didn't matter as he unleashed an impressive first-over back 1/2 rally to win going away. He should be tough to beat in NW2 company. (6) LETSFLYTOGETHER N is in solid form and he raced well vs. a tough winner last time. He should be an Exacta factor again. (2) HES A LADIES MAN qualified well over a track rated two seconds slow and he will likely show speed here. He can stick around for a slice. (3) MY MIKI BEACH can improve in this second 2022 start. Consider him for the bottom of the exotics.

Race 9: NW $3,000 L5 or $8,000 L10 AE: OPT CLM $12,000

(2) HARRY never got untracked racing over a wet track in the rain last week in a race won by a razor-sharp returnee. His price should be better here and he can rebound vs. these; top call. (6) THEE DESPERADO should be sharper for this and Filion will likely put him into play leaving the gate; using. (9) OVERSERVED gets slight post improvement here and he has upset potential vs. this group; using. (7) SORPRESE was a winner with his trainer in the bike and now he gets catch-driver Roy. He could sneak into the exotics at a price.

Race 10: F&M CLM HDCP $12,000 to $15,000

(7) BAYWATCHING drops and she draws much better here. Sharp improvement is likely and she gets top billing. (5) YNOTHOS also faces easier here and she just missed at this level two starts back. She should be a late threat tonight. (3) HANNAH ON THE VIRG finished ahead of the choice last time and she took a new life's mark two starts back when beating easier than these. She is another possibility for late multi-race tickets. (8) SOMETHING ROYAL is 0 for 15 this year but she rarely misses the top four; using underneath. (9) CENTURY GEORGIA is capable of landing in the High-5 if she stays flat; price look.