Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Thursday 4/14

Meet Stats: 164 -- 535 / $960.60 (-$109.40)

Best Bets: 29 -- 50 / $93.90 (-$6.10)

Spot Plays: 18 -- 50 / $116.90 (+$16.90)

Best Bet: ACAPULCO SUNBURN (7TH)

Spot Play: MACHIN A TRICK (4TH)

Early Pick 5: 1/2,4,5,8,9/1,3,4/2,6,9/2,6,8 = $27

Late Pick 5: 3,6,7/3/1,6/3,4,7/4,6 = $7.20

Early Pick 4: 2,6,9/2,6,8/3,6,7/3 = $27

Late Pick 4: 3/1,6/3,4,7/4,6 = $12

Race 1: 4YO and Younger NW1 or $7,000 LT **Guaranteed $100,000 Pick 5**

(1) CENTURY INVADER raced well on debut from a wide post. Now the price will drop, but driver Macdonald continues to run hot; top call. (9) ALL ABOUT ADDIE, who brought $40,000 at the London Selected Sale, is related to several winners including $776K earner Undercover Strike (1:52 3/5 S). This isn't that tough a spot for a debut and she can be a threat if she gets put into the race from her wide post. (8) MATS MVP brings good form home from Ohio and his good closing kick should play well over the big track; using underneath. (4) GIVE ME KARETS K can take a share if he behaves tonight.

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Race 2: F&M 4YO and Younger NW2 or $20,000 LT

(9) ARKELL raced much better last week but the late pace was too strong and she couldn't pass some sprinting rivals late. She could get a better setup tonight; call to upset. (5) SHARK HANOVER may have slowed the pace down too much last time as she got outsprinted late. She gets to face NW2 this time and she is the one to beat. (2) GIRL IN A TAVERN won 70% of her starts on the Maritimes last year and she looks well-prepped for this. She is in with a chance. (8) UNIQUE ERA looked good circling rivals to win going away on 4/4 and she is another in with a shot in a competitive field.

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Race 3: 5YO and Younger NW2 (F&M3) or $20,000 (F&M $30,000)

(4) DEVEREUX SEELSTER has some decent Grand Circuit lines from his rookie year and he is the one to beat here as he adds Lasix for his sophomore debut. (3) BLUE BAYOU DEO is another that looks primed for a good 3-year-old debut and Macdonald is sure to put her in play; using. (1) MAPLE LEAF BOUND could never get into contention last week because the race was simply too fast. He has a better chance tonight; using in the early Pick 5. (8) BETTINA HANOVER made a big move that she couldn't sustain last week. I can see her rallying late for a share tonight.

Race 4: CLM HDCP $12,000 to $18,000

(9) MACHIN A TRICK drops back to the claimed level which should mean a more aggressive try is coming despite drawing widest; top call. (6) A BOY NAMED SUUZZ is tough as nails at this level and he is the one to fear again; using. (2) THUNDERING JIM was claimed by a hot barn and he should be a speed threat tonight. He can improve getting back to a 7-day rotation, too; using. (1) MISSION THREE closed belatedly last week but he was never catching A Boy Named Suuzz. I'll use him underneath here.

Race 5: Claiming $18,000 for NW $80,000 LT

(6) PRIVATE SCOTT paced a big third 1/4 uncovered on the rim last week but he was repelled late. That was a big improvement and he comes back much quicker now; slight nod in a tough race. (8) TAHUYA BREW is winning from everywhere lately it seems and he is hard to leave out going for Moreau off the claim here. (2) DO YOU SEE IT was game holding off the choice and he is another in with a shot. (10) MAYHEM LIKE ME drops, but I'd like him more if he drew better; small share predicted.

Race 6: 4YO and Younger NW2 or $22,500 LT Pick 5

(7) JIM STRIKESITRICH looked like he was setting up a big rally when he got out of gear and broke last week. His price will go up here and I'll stick with him in this second start out of the Cullen barn. (6) CHUCKY HANOVER showed some promise at 2 and he qualified quickly for this race. He should be a threat tonight. (3) MY MIKI BEACH was a fast 2-year-old and he is hard to toss in this field. This is a race where it makes sense to price shop. (4) NIGHT OUT looked good dominating maidens. He is another who has the potential to win.

Race 7: 3YO NW $5,000 LT Pick 4

(3) ACAPULCO SUNBURN looks primed for a big debut race for an outfit that seems to send all young stock to the track ready to roll. He should convert as a big favorite at first asking. (4) STONEBRIDGE NIKE produced a nice late rally last week and he should be an Exacta factor tonight. (5) D J SEELSTER comes out of a fast qualifier and he can sit and rally for a share tonight. (9) SERIOUS MOJO was bet in both starts and he showed little in either. His price will be much better of you still like him. I'll use him on the bottom.

Race 8: 5YO and Younger NW2 (F&M3) or $20,000 (F&M $30,000)

(6) UNBEATABLE KEMP was part of some big fractions in a good sophomore debut effort last week. He looks best here and he has a good chance to take his second win. (1) FIGHT SONG was favored in New Jersey on 4/2 but he was too far back and the late pace was too strong. He would be no surprise vs. these. (3) VALI HANOVER shaded the choice without threatening the winner last week. He is 1 for 21 now and probably best used underneath. (5) MAHONE SEELSTER was used up early last week. He likely sits and rallies for a slice tonight.

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Race 9: F&M 4YO and Younger NW1 or $7,000 LT

(4) INFINITY SEELSTER failed to convert as the big chalk last week but trip wasn't ideal. I can see her rebounding here at a better price. (3) A DISRUPTOR's debut race was good but she did no real work until very late in the mile. I would be careful to not take too short of a price here. (7) FEEL ITINYOURHANDS was finishing 2nd to Awesome Hill when last seen. She can be in the exotics mix vs. these. (8) MISS MOTIVATE was outsprinted late last week but that effort makes her a contender for a share in here.

Race 10: Horses that raced for a purse of $12,000 or less in 1 of last 4

(6) ELIOTHROPE F was driven by trainer Menary last week and now he gets catch-driver Jamieson back. Assuming the trainer learned some things in that race, I'll stick with this gelding one more time. Classy (4) O NARUTAC PERFETTO fits this condition like a glove and he should be the one to beat. (9) SIZZLEN HOT HERBIE is solid at this level and he should close for another good share tonight. (1) MISSYS MAGIC MAN improved when Macdonald took the lines last week and she should be in the exotics mix again. (2) COOL CLIFFORD should be good for another slice racing from close range.