Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Thursday 3/7

Top Pick Stats: 114 – 364 / $558.70 (-$169.70)

Best Bets: 21 – 35 / $69.90 (-$0.10)

Spot Plays: 4 – 33 / $14.30 (-$51.70)

Best Bet: FRENCHY HANOVER (7TH)

Spot Play: USUAL SUSPECT (4TH)

Early Pick 5: 1,3,8/2,8/5,7/5,6,8/4,7,10 = $21.60

Late Pick 5: 3,7/7/4,6,8/1,5,6/3,7,8 = $10.80

Early Pick 4: 5,6,8/4,7,10/3,7/7 = $3.60

Late Pick 4: 7/4,6,8/1,5,6/3,7,8 = $5.40

Race 1: 5YO and younger NW1 or $8,400 LT **Gtd. $100,000 Pick 5**

(1) LEXUS ANGEL’s debut was good, and it featured a fast kicker. With that experience under her belt, she has a very good chance to break her maiden here. (3) LINCOLNS LANDING also had a decent debut and he will likely be the one to catch; using. (8) LOOKS LIKE AMUSCLE should improve by default not having to face Convoy Hall again; price look for the Pick 5. (5) LOOKS LIKE MAGIC is one of two winners in the field and he just faced NW2 in his most recent start. He can take a share.

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Race 2: 5YO and younger NW2 (F&M3) or $20,000 LT AE: N/A $1,440 P/S IN 2023/24 OR MARES NW OF A RACE LAST 5 STARTS.

(2) C S GOLDPOLICY raced well vs. the same winner in two straight, and he gets top billing here not having to face that rival tonight. (8) MSFRANNIE gets to take a big drop here because she lost five in a row. You’ll notice she beat better six starts back. She should improve sharply here. (4) ULTRA LADY S got hammered on the driver change to Macdonald last time, but she couldn’t convert racing first-over. She loses J Mac now and she likely takes a small share. (6) MACTACULAR looked good breaking her maiden but she is unlikely to get the same easy trip here; using underneath.

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Race 3: F&M CLM HDCP $14,000 to $18,000

(7) THE TURNING POINT got pounded at the windows late last week and she converted while getting claimed by Moreau. She is a good candidate to repeat here. (5) LITTLEBEARCAT gets McNair back tonight, which means she will likely get a more aggressive steer. She is the other one that I’ll use on multi-race tickets. (6) GIMMIE A CORONA took a new life’s mark for a barn that is running well right now, but this is a tougher assignment, and she is likely to take a slice this time. (1) GREYSTONE TREASURE should get another good trip racing close to the front and she should be part of the exotics.

Race 4: Claiming $20,000 for NW $33,500 LT Pick 4

This looks like a race where the pocket sitter will likely win and I think McNair will find that trip for (5) USUAL SUSPECT, who draws better tonight; top call. (6) GRITTY is the likely leader that will probably go a long way. He is a threat to go down the road; using. (8) P H JIM raced decently in a good field last week and he is one that should be leaving for position. He is another possibility for early multi-race tickets. (1) ROYAL JK is worth a look for the exotics getting Macdonald in the bike tonight.

Race 5: 5YO and younger winners of 2 (F&M3) but not more than 4 (F&M5) or $45,000 LT

(7) IM ABOVE AVERAGE gets a big driver upgrade to Henry here in a spot where his late kick should play well; call to upset. (10) KRUISE ON DOVER raced great in defeat last week and getting post 10 here should keep his price viable; using. (4) MASS MARKET just broke his maiden but Macdonald sticks with him and the barn has been running hot. He is another in with a shot here. (2) ETERNALLY HANOVER shoots for the threepeat but this is tougher. I’ll use him underneath.

Race 6: 5YO and younger NW1 (winners for a purse of $9K or less NW2) or $8,400 LT Pick 5

(3) ENCHANTED ANGEL was likely best in her debut but she was under driven. She will beat these if the intent is there. (7) HALLIE INTHECLOUDS helped keep the choice trapped in as she tried to win first-up with the pace accelerating. That was a decent try and she should be the main danger here. (4) QUICK FIX doesn’t have to face Convoy Hall here and he is fast enough to get a good share. (1) FASHION CONTENDER is better than he showed last week. He should be in the exotics mix tonight.

Race 7: 5YO and younger NW2 (F&M3) or $20,000 LT Pick 4

(7) FRENCHY HANOVER took all the action last week off a qualifier where he showed little and he raced well but got picked off late. He is the clear top pick in this field. (8) WINNING ALLIANCE showed promise in a short rookie campaign last year and she qualified well but I wonder how aggressively she will be driven in this sophomore debut. She can be an Exacta factor if she gets put into the race. (6) HANDSOME HANK is back where he fits better. He should be in the exotics mix here. (3) LADY ALL STAR should get a more conservative drive here and close for a share.

Race 8: F&M Claiming $20,000 for NW $57,500 LT

(8) BETTERNOTMACHME couldn’t catch a rival that was taking a new life’s mark last week. She has a big shot to lead all the way here. (6) ST LADS DARK ANGEL was hung out a long way in that same mile and that was mission impossible. She should get a better trip here and she is the main threat. (4) MAPLE closed wide for 3rd, and she should be part of the exotics in this spot. (2) DAKOTA SHADOW can sit another trip and land in the bottom of the exotics.

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Race 9: Claiming $20,000 for NW $55,750 LT

(6) STREET ART started his move too late last week, but he was never beating the winner anyway as that rival was taking a new lifetime mark. He fits well here, and he gets the nod. (1) BETTORHOLDONTIGHT had the race won when he strangely jumped it off a couple of strides before reaching the wire. He should be right there again if he stays flat. (5) CHASING GOOSEBUMPS dug in gamely and he dead-heated for 2nd then was elevated to the win because the leader broke at the wire. He should be the one to get past in the lane again here. (2) ABC can pass some of these late and take a small slice.

Race 10: F&M Claiming $8,000

(8) OUTLAWSKYSTHELIMIT showed sharp improvement last week when she raced in a straight $8K claimer after contesting the Pop-Up series. She could be all set for her first win since being claimed by Barrington; top call. (3) DEL DIGGITY has shown versatility while winning five straight and she is the obvious one to beat here. (7) PLAYA DUHARAS drops and she will likely be happy to not see Hillbilly Jet lined up to face her tonight. She is another possibility for late multi-race tickets. (4) BETCHULOVEME got claimed out of the Pop-Up final and she will take action here getting Macdonald in the bike. She tends to get over bet regularly, however, and I prefer to use her underneath. (1) SHOVANNA will likely sit a trip racing near the front and stay for a small share.