Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Thursday 3/3

Meet Stats: 90 -- 310 / $507.00 (-$113.00)
Best Bets: 10 -- 28 / $32.50 (-$23.50)
Spot Plays: 8 -- 28 / $61.90 (+$5.90)
Best Bet: TEXACO MAN (6TH)
Spot Play: JUST DAISY (9TH)
Early Pick 5: 1,5,6,7/2,3,4,6/2/2,7,8,9/8,9 = $$25.60
Late Pick 5: 7/2,6,7,9/4/1,5/3,4,5,7 = $6.40
Early Pick 4: 2,7,8,9/8,9/7/2,6,7,9 = $36
Late Pick 4: 2,6,7,9/4/1,5/3,4,5,7 = $32
Race 1: 4YO and Younger NW1 or $7,000 LT **Guaranteed $100,000 Pick 5**
(7) LARRYS GIRL's qualifier was decent when you consider that she finished behind two veteran trotters. This isn't a tough spot and I'll side with her to kick off the Pick 5. (6) RESOLUTIONS was hammered on the driver change last week but he was never put into play from the tough rail post. J Mac tries his hand tonight from a much better post; using. (1) WHOLE NINE YARDS had dead aim last week and he couldn't convert but he did trot a 28-flat kicker. This race has the potential to fall into his lap. (5) TYMAL TIGGS debuts in a spot where he is a possibility on debut. The tote board might provide some clues with this one.
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Race 2: F&M CLM HDCP $12,000 to $15,000
(4) BAYWATCHING wants the front and she has a much better chance of clearing from post 4 tonight. She should be the one to catch here. (2) BLOSSOM ONTHEBEACH produced a sustained wide rally to win at Flamboro last Saturday and she is sharp and dangerous; using. (3) BLINK AND GONE steps up off the Moreau claim. She is another possibility, but I think she gets over bet tonight; your call. (6) CHANEL BEACH's effort two starts back is probably good enough to win this but coming off a break in stride it's hard to know what to expect.
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Race 3: 4YO and Younger NW1 or $7,000 LT
(2) HP LIS SHADOW raced well on debut and was unlucky in defeat. He should handle these and he will be a Pick 5 single for me. (9) MILO MAN took a fast mark at Hanover Raceway at 3 last summer and he showed enough speed in his qualifier on 2/24 to be a threat here. (4) CAPTAIN MIKE DEO outraced his odds in that same dash and he should contend for a spot in the exotics. (6) BOOZIN N CRUISIN was better in his second qualifier and I can see him rallying for a share.
Race 4: Popup 1st Leg Claiming $8,500 Pick 4
It was less than 1 1/2 years ago when (7) CHOREOGRAPHER was winning here in 1:51 and change while racing out of the West barn with McClure driving. I'll take a big swing for the fences with him thinking he might be blasting on the barn change tonight. (2) HELLO ROCKY wasn't far back in a fast Popup series final here on Monday night. He should be a threat in this spot. (8) ATEYATEFNGERSLOUIE has been sharp for a while and he has to be considered racing off the Demers claim tonight. (9) MISSION THREE also comes off a decent effort on Monday night and he is worth a look for the Tri and Super.
Race 5: F&M 4YO and Younger NW1 or $7,000 LT
$42,000 Harrisburg buy (9) SHARK HANOVER looks well-prepped for this debut and she seems to fit well in this spot; top call. (8) WINDY REPORT was never catching a leader that stole a 1:00 2/5 middle 1/2 last week. She should be in the mix again here racing from close range; using. (1) TROPHY BRIDE should improve off a decent debut effort where no one closed on the leaders; consider for the exotics. (6) SILENT CROSSING has excuses in her last two starts. She has upset potential.
Race 6: NW $30,000 OR NOT AVERAGING $1550 PER START IN 2021-22 Pick 5
(7) TEXACO MAN raced well chasing a huge favorite home last week and he looks best here; top call. (5) HORSE TRADER qualified well for this return after missing time due to sickness and he can be an Exacta factor in this spot that appears to have few contenders. (1) ARCHIES STAR was 4 1/2 lengths behind the choice last week when 3rd. He can take another share. (3) JCS ROYAL TEASE gets Henry back for this. He can improve enough to land in the Tri or Super.
Race 7: Popup 1st Leg Claiming $8,500 Pick 4
(7) LYONS IMAGE flashed speed here on Monday night in a tougher claiming handicap and he should be the one to catch tonight. (9) ALWAYSYOURWAY finished ahead of the choice in that race in his first start in a new barn and he could be a value play here starting widest with a 15-1 morning line quote. (6) THUNDERING JIM is showing signs of improving in Auciello's barn and he is another in with a shot. (2) JUST MARVELOUS should be an exotics player moving into Moreau's barn tonight.
Race 8: 5YO and Younger NW2 (F&M3) or $20,000 (F&M $30,000)
You don't see many maiden trotters fly home in 27 2/5 to win their career debuts in February, but that's exactly what (4) MAPLE LEAF BOUND did last week. He gets the call to repeat off that sharp debut. (2) GOODGOLLYMISSMOLLY was handier in her second start back but the winner was just too good. She should be the main threat here. (8) MAISYS MUSCLES gets Macdonald back after a one-race absence and she should be good for another slice. (5) MAKIN MAGIC TONITE should flash speed tonight moving to a much better post and he is worth a look for the exotics.
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Race 9: Ontario Girls Pacing Series 2nd Leg
(5) JUST DAISY paced a 25 4/5 kicker in her return race and could do no better than fifth, which tells you all you need to know about how she was hamstrung by the dawdling pace. She does her best work racing up front and I expect her to blast this time; top call. (1) AWESOME HILL was super winning that race and she is the one to beat here. (3) SHARE THE MOMENT followed Awesome Hill home to get 2nd and she should be an exotics factor again. (2) BOTTOMOFTHENINTH might have slowed the pace too much last week. She gets Macdonald here and she has upset potential.
Race 10: Claiming $17,500 for NW $48,000 LT
(4) ROCKINMYDREAM just jogged at this level last week and his barn has been hot; call to repeat. (7) HIGH FLYIN JAMIE should get put into this race early dropping in for a tag; main danger. (5) TWAIN SEELSTER switches barns, adds Lasix and he qualified well for this; upset chance. (3) DRIVELIKEUSTOLEIT had little chance last week facing Reagan Blue Chip, who had a major class edge. He can be close vs. these. (9) BLUE MONK is worth using on the bottom of the exotics at a price adding Lasix tonight.

