Woodbine Harness

Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Thursday 3/17

Garnet Barnsdale|Mar 15, 2022

Meet Stats: 122 - 392 / $655.20 (-$128.80)

Best Bets: 16 - 36 / $52.20 (-$19.80)

Spot Plays: 12 - 36 / $81.80 (+$9.80)

Best Bet: BLUEWATER BEACH (4TH)

Spot Play: STOP THE SHOOTIN (7TH)

Early Pick 5: 1,2,4/1,3,5/1,4,7,10/3/1,2,3,4,5 = $36

Late Pick 5: 3,4,5,6/4/5,7/4,7/2,4,6 = $9.60

Early Pick 4: 3/1,2,3,4,5/3,4,5,6/4 = $24

Late Pick 4: 4/5,7/4,7/2,4,6 = $12

Race 1: NW $3,000 L5 or $9,300 L8 LT **Guaranteed $100,000 Pick 5**

(2) FLYINGEVENBETTOR N was facing tougher than these at Yonkers now he makes his first start for Moreau. While he looks solid in here on current form, he has taken 23 slices vs. 5 wins in 47 starts (and hasn't won since November 2020) so I wouldn't take a really short price. (4) HERVEY HANOVER comes back quick here and his late kick should play vs. these; using. (1) LOU ED ZEPPELIN should wake up with a better effort on the class drop here; consider for the early Pick 5. (3) LANCASTER BOMBER is better than he showed on 3/12; price look for the exotics.

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Race 2: Popup 3rd Leg Claiming $9,500 plus allowances

(2) LARJON LUCKY got hung the mile when claimed last week. He gets a major driver upgrade tonight and goes for trainer Auciello so sharp improvement is likely; top call. (5) ATEYATEFNGERSLOUIE should improve racing off the Sasso claim and he fits well vs. these. He is another live Pick 5 option. (1) LYONS IMAGE, another racing off the claim, should show speed again and the short field should help him; using. (6) MACH LEE made nice late gains last week, but he has only won once in 39 starts in the last two years. I'll use him underneath.

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Race 3: 4YO and Younger NW1 OR $7,000 LT

(10) CHARMED KING trotted a 57 4/5 back 1/2 in his lone qualifier and his price should be good here from post 10. He is worth a stab on debut in a wide-open race. (4) GIVE ME KARETS K is probably the best horse in this race, but he tends to make his move too late; your call. (7) TYMAL TIGGS got hammered at the windows last week and he finished well. He is an obvious contender here. (1) MAKE IT EASY, stablemate to the choice, was McClure's pick of the two and he is another in with a shot.

Race 4: F&M CLM HDCP $10,000 to $15,000 - Pick 4

(3) BLUEWATER BEACH moves into a hot barn and she is strictly the one to beat here in a spot where she is clearly best on paper. (6) ANCHOR SO REEL was moved out into the flow and she looked loaded when she broke entering the final turn at Flamboro last Saturday. She could provide some value for the exotics here. (4) WHISKEY TO WINE comes off a decent Flamboro effort; using underneath. (7) LATTE SEELSTER figures to land on the edges here; using on the bottom.

Race 5: 5YO and Younger NW2 (F&M3) or $20,000 (F&M $30,000)

(1) MASSIVE PROFIT is fast enough for these and The Stable likes to send them ready to roll racing off the shelf; top call. (3) DRAVEN HANOVER was decent in the Wine and Roses series and she should be a threat here; using. (2) GOODGOLLYMISSMOLLY disappointed last time when she took plenty of mutuel support. She could rebound tonight. (5) MAPLE LEAF BOUND was a bit flat last time when favored and he is another in with a shot in a race full of possibilities.

Race 6: Popup 3rd Leg Claiming $9,500 Plus Allowances - Pick 5

(3) NOTETOSELF HANOVER changes barns to Auciello and adds Lasix and he should improve enough to contend vs. these; top call. (4) MISSION THREE was reclaimed by Auciello and he should figures vs. these; using. (5) ELROY SHINER, claimed out of a tougher race by Moreau, is the third one that I'll use on multi-race tickets here. (6) SPORTS JACKET switches to a barn that has moved a couple up recently racing here and he is another in with a shot in a competitive field.

Race 7: 4YO and Younger NW1 or $7,000 LT - Pick 4

I like the way (4) STOP THE SHOOTIN qualified for this and I'll give him top billing in what should be a good spot for him. (3) ODS AMORES is one for one and he also qualified nicely for this; using. (5) CODYS KNAPSACK made a nice move to get alongside the leader then he got bumpy gaited and broke. He has upset potential tonight. (9) CENTURY IROC can improve off his opener; consider for the exotics.

Race 8: NW $38,000 in 2021-22

(5) ARCHIES STAR has had tough trips in all three of his 2022 starts. He seems to fit well vs. these; speed blast coming? (7) MACALLAN was motoring late once he found room in deep stretch and he should be a big threat here; using. (6) EXEMPLAR raced better last week chasing a big favorite home. He can get another share vs. these. (4) TEXACO MAN didn't get the best trip last week. He can go better in this spot; consider for the exotics.

Race 9: F&M 4YO and Younger NW1 or $7,000 LT

(7) SILENT CROSSING finds a field that She should beat and she gets the nod to break his maiden in her 13th attempt. (4) TROPHY BRIDE has been faster in every race and she is worth using in the Exacta tonight. (2) SEXY PLAYMATE tried the choice first up last week and she couldn't get by. Another small slice is likely for her tonight. (5) LIFE SPEAKS qualified okay for this and she might sneak into the exotics.

Race 10: Claiming $17,500 for NW $39,500 LT

(2) JUST MARVELOUS was game in defeat when claimed by a trainer that is having a career season with still 9+ months left in the year; top call. (6) HELLO ROCKY took a lot of action racing off the Winacott claim and he converted. He is probably the one to beat here. (4) TWAIN SEELSTER was bet like he couldn't lose but he popped and stopped. His odds increase now if you still like him. (1) PRIMETIME SELESTER should improve enough to land in the exotics dropping in for a tag. (10) PETER POOLE's late rally should land him a check in this spot.