Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Thursday 3/14

Top Pick Stats: 122 – 404 / $593.90 (-$214.10)

Best Bets: 21 – 39 / $69.90 (-$8.10)

Spot Plays: 5 – 37 / $21.20 (-$52.80)

Best Bet: CONVOY HALL (5TH)

Spot Play: KICKIN COWGIRL (8TH)

Early Pick 5: 3,7/5,7/3,6,7/4,9/3 = $4.80

Late Pick 5: 9/2,3/2,4,9/2,5,7/1,2 = $7.20

Early Pick 4: 4,9/3/9/2,3 = $0.80

Late Pick 4: 2,3/2,4,9/2,5,7/1,2 = $7.20

Race 1: 5YO and younger NW1 (F&M2) or $8,400 LT **Gtd. $100,000 Pick 5**

(3) CODE SWITCH produced a good rally to finish 3rd to impressive Convoy Hall last time and this is an easier spot; top call in the opener. (7) HALLIE INTHECLOUDS closed in 27 1/5 but pace and trip were against her. I can see Macdonald getting more aggressive with her in this spot and she is the other main contender. (1) COME ON STANLEY improved in his last start, and he should be in the mix for a small share. (2) KT DOUBLE DEUCE is another that can close to take a small slice.

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Race 2: 5YO and younger winners of 2 (F&M3) but not more than 4 (F&M5) or $45,000 LT

(7) MERCUTIO trotted a 55 2/5 back 1/2 in defeat last week and he can beat these if he lays a bit closer to the front. (5) YANK MY HALO flashed gate speed and that got him in position to rally late for the win. He is sharp, improving, and dangerous. (1) PASSARINO has shown speed from the outside in two straight starts. From the rail, I think he gets covered up here and takes a trip and a share. (2) KRUISE ON DOVER is capable of better than he showed last week when he stopped at the 5/8ths pole. He could land in the bottom of the Super.

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Race 3: 5YO and younger NW1 (F&M2) or $8,400 LT

(3) CALLIXTUS HANOVER got a needed clean line when 4th to Convoy Hall and it should be all systems go now; top call. (7) ENCHANTED ANGEL got picked off by (6) CAPTAIN WANIA and either of these is capable here. I can see any of the top three winning depending on pace and trip. (1) FASHION CONTENDER was better last time, and he is in the exotics mix again.

Race 4: Claiming $20,000 for NW $34,250 LT Pick 4

(4) D A LUNCHBOX took his lifetime mark at this level two starts back and he looks best in here. He is the one to beat. (9) USUAL SUSPECT took a ton of action last week mainly based on his troubled trip two starts back, but the winner was just too good. He is the main danger. (3) PERFECT SMILEY took his lifetime mark winning here on 2/22, but he was a bit lucky then and he now comes off a sick scratch. I’ll use him underneath. (1) BEACH BOOTS takes regular shares and he is a good one to use underneath.

Race 5: 5YO and younger NW2 (F&M3) or $20,000 LT

(3) CONVOY HALL has won two straight like a seasoned veteran and he likely stays unbeaten here, but his price will be no higher than 1-5. (7) FATHER DANIELS had a decent sophomore campaign and he comes in off a good qualifier. He could offer some exotics value here. (9) BBC SPORTSBOY is another that comes into the race off a nice qualifying effort, and he has taken 11 shares in 19 starts. He can land in the money here. (6) WHIZZER WALLEE improved with Macdonald in the bike and he is in the exotics mix again.

Race 6: F&M Claiming $8,000 Pick 5

(9) HILLBILLY JET stands out here racing with an $8K tag and she will likely jog and get claimed. (6) SILLY BUT SERIOUS will likely land in the choice’s pocket this time and she can ride a good trip to an exacta finish. (3) SHOVANNA is sharp, and she has improved her late speed. She should get another good share tonight. (2) ITALIA SEELSTER will be closing late but she looks like a fringe player.

Race 7: 5YO and younger NW2 (F&M3) or $20,000 LT Pick 4

(3) KING FURY gets away from streaking Eternally Hanover tonight and I can see him riding in the pocket of probable favorite (2) MACTACULAR and getting past in the stretch. The latter looked good winning two straight and he is the obvious one to take down here as he shoots for the threepeat. (1) LOOKS LIKE MAGIC was no match for Mactacular last week. His ceiling is likely a minor share here. (9) TYRONE BOW TIE took shares in close to half of his starts last year. He is worth a look at a price for the bottom of the exotics.

Race 8: F&M Claiming $20,000 for $60,750 LT

(2) KICKIN COWGIRL moves to the Waxman barn, and she also moves from a claiming handicap to a conditioned claimer. I’ll give her the call to upset these. (4) BETTERNOTMACHME is the obvious one to beat coming off a blowout win at this level and driver Cullen won four races here on Monday night. This mare is hard to leave out. (9) FATED FIRE took a lot of action last week and she made two early moves for the lead before being ambushed by Betternotmachme. She could do here if she can work out a better trip. (3) SIRI SEELSTER should be good for a small slice in this spot.

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Race 9: 5YO and younger winners of 2 (F&M3) but not more than 4 (F&M5) or $45,000 LT

(5) COLLECTOR S got a good trip and chased down leader (7) ETERNALLY HANOVER last week, and those two will likely battle for the win again. Slight nod goes to the former, but I’m using both on multi-race tickets. (2) GLENFIDICH fired a nice kicker in his qualifier and he is in with an upset chance here. (4) C S GOLDPOLICY comes in off two good efforts but he faces tougher tonight; small share predicted.

Race 10: Claiming $20,000 for NW $50,000 LT

(1) CHASING GOOSEBUMPS races his tail off every week and he is due to get another win. I’ll give him the nod here. (2) BETTORHOLDONTIGHT made no mistakes last week after squandering a win at the wire two starts back. He is hard to leave out here. (8) STREET ART never misses the top three it seems and he is versatile. He should be part of the Tri again. (5) GRITTY jogged and took a new life’s mark, but these are tougher and I’ll use him underneath. (6) KANSAS PANIC comes in from London in solid form and he can close for a small share.