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Woodbine Harness

Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Thursday 2/2

Garnet Barnsdale|Jan 31, 2023
Mohawk Logo 1.5

Top Pick Stats: 51 -- 162 / $257.10 (-$66.90)

Best Bets: 9 -- 15 / $37.60 (+$7.60)

Spot Plays: 2 -- 15 / $8.50 (-21.50)

Best Bet: FLYING FORMATION (1ST)

Spot Play: SHES A GUNSLINGER (10TH)

Early Pick 5: 5/3,5/1/1,2,3,7,9/2,5,6,8 = $8

Late Pick 5: 1,2,4/1,3,5/3,4/6,8/1,4,7 = $21.60

Early Pick 4: 1,2,3,7,9/2/1,2,4/1,3,5 = $9

Late Pick 4: 3,4/6,8/1,4,7/5.7.8.9 = $9.60

Race 1: 5YO and under NW2 (F&M3) or $20,000 LT **Gtd. $100,000 Pick 5**

(5) FLYING FORMATION was good last week but he chased a very sharp winner home and couldn't get there again. He looks best here and he should convert as a big chalk. (3) DOWNSTAIRS PARTY was 3rd behind the choice but several lengths back at the wire. He can be an Exacta factor. (1) BELVEDERE BRONX closed well for a share vs. maidens and he can sneak into the Tri or Super. (7) R HOT TODDY should be good for another slice in this spot.

[DRF HARNESS: Get Harness Eye PPs for this card]

Race 2: BLIZZARD PACING SERIES for 3YO Fillies and Mares 2nd Leg

(3) SHESASHARPSHOOTER looks like a different mare at 4 and she is strictly the one to beat here. (5) MUSIC BOX NOISE flew late when 3rd to the choice and she is the logical alternative. (4) ARIZONA will show some speed but she seems better suited for 1/2-milers. I'll use her underneath. (6) DG RAINRUNNER should close to take a small slice in this spot.

[DRF BETS: Wager on tonight's Mohawk Park card at DRF Bets.com!]

Race 3: F&M NW2 or $44,000 LT

(1) SHES BEER LEAGUE just jogged at this level last week and this field is no tougher. It's hard to find a way to get her beat here. (4) ALCINA finally broke her maiden and she looked good doing it, but she would need to find about two seconds to beat the choice here. (2) BELLA CAVALLA couldn't go with the choice last week. She likely takes another small share. (3) TOSCANO GIRL is another that took a share behind the choice last week that should be in the exotics mix tonight.

Race 4: 5YO and Younger NW1 or $7,000 LT

(9) DAISY DAY raced well in her sophomore debut from this post and she could do here in a field with no standout. (2) DEVILS ARCH made a huge recovery last time but he has yet to stay flat in a pari-mutuel race, so I would be careful about price here. (3) SOUTHWIND CHARDNAY trotted a big qualifying mile preparing for her debut but she has been off for close to a month now. I'd demand a price. (7) LAVA FIELD is probably capable in this spot and he likely won't get bet much off that qualifier. I'll give him a price look for multi-race tickets.

Race 5: F&M Claiming $7,000 for NW $3,350 L5 AE: NW1 in 2022

(2) JMR MACH MEL found her legs in the lane last week and closed to be best of the rest behind a strong winner. She looks as good as any in here. (5) SIBONEY set the pace and got nailed for 2nd right on the line by the choice. She is a threat to lead all the way tonight. (8) COLOSSAL FAITH is another speed threat that is worth a look in this spot. (6) ELLAONTHEBEACH should wake up with a drop into a $7K claimer and she is another in with a shot.

Race 6: 5YO and Younger NW1 or $7,000 LT Pick 5

(2) MONI ELLEN didn't make the races at 2, but she qualified well for this debut and this isn't a tough field; top call. (4) SENIORITA SOLO got a tough trip and she still took a share in her sophomore debut. She is in with a decent chance here. (1) CENTURY JAGUAR made a couple of moves to win his debut but he is hard to trust starting from the rail after he jumped it off in his last start; your call. (8) FASTNET ROCK should be able to pass some of these late and sneak into the bottom of the Super.

Race 7: CLM HDCP $8,000 to $10,000

(1) R BAZINGGA was good last week when claimed by Auciello and he gets top billing here. (5) CUTTING CLASS edged the choice late and he draws better here; using. (3) FOUR FOR ORR drew multiple claims when dropped in class last week and he is worth a look here. (6) POINTTO SWEET LOU won as an overlay when he dropped to $7K claiming but these are tougher and he likely takes a slice this time.

Race 8: BLIZZARD PACING SERIES for 3YO Fillies and Mares 2nd Leg Pick 4

(4) CHEDDA CHEDDA couldn't get past a strong winner last week but she looks best vs. these and she gets top billing. (3) GETTING EUCHRED got McNair and jogged. She looks like the only real threat to the choice. (6) KINDA LIKE ROYALTY was only a length behind the choice and she should be part of the Tri here. (2) NOOTKA is capable of better than she showed last week and she can improve enough to take a share.

[DRF HARNESS: Sign up for our FREE DRF Harness Digest Newsletter]

Race 9: F&M CLM HDCP $12,000 to $15,000

(6) SUNSHINEINMYPOCKET gamely grinded out a win vs. similar last week and now she draws best; call to repeat. (8) CLODAM BAYAMA couldn't fight the choice off late but she figures to be the main threat again. (1) REYS N A ROCKET ships in from Flamboro Downs in good form but she will have her hands full with the two choices here. I'll use her underneath. (5) MY DAY likely takes a small share passing a few rivals late.

Race 10: F&M CLM HDCP $7,000 to $9,000

(4) SHES A GUNSLINGER raced well from the second tier when claimed by Team Cullen in London and I'll give her a slight nod here expecting a good price. (1) E R RHONDA took her 71st win vs. similar here last week and she is hard to discount. (7) GREYSTONE TREASURE got a tough trip when claimed by Auciello and she is another that is capable; using. (8) RUNAWAY HEIRESS tripped-out to win here last week but drawing widest now she will likely take a slice.

Race 11: Claiming $7,000 for NW $3,350 L5

(7) LYONS IMAGE fires back fast after failing to convert at 1-to-9 in London on Monday, but he was claimed by a high percentage barn and he could lead all the way here. (9) MATTS TUITION flashed speed here last week at this level and there doesn't appear to be many leavers in this field. He is in with a decent chance. (8) ARTISTIC PICK was flying late last time but you wonder if he will get too far back starting from a wide post. I'd demand a price. (5) LUNAR LAUNCH gets the leading driver in a wide-open race and that alone makes him worth a look. (2) EAST BOUND EDDIE can sit another trip racing near the front and take a small share.

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