Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Thursday 2/16

Top Pick Stats: 88 -- 237 / $450.90 (-$23.10)

Best Bets: 15 -- 22 / $58.80 (+$14.80)

Spot Plays: 4 -- 22 / $23.20 (-$20.80)

Best Bet: COMPLETED PROMISE (4TH)

Spot Play: MOMENT IN THE SUN (6TH)

Early Pick 5: 1,2,8/3,6/3,4,5,7/8/2,3,8 = $14.40

Late Pick 5: 2,4,9/2,4/2,3/5,8,10/2,3,7 = $21.60

Early Pick 4: 8/2,3,8/2,4,9/2,4 = $3.60

Late Pick 4: 2,3/5,8,10/2,3,7/2,5,8,9 = $14.40

Race 1: F&M NW2 or $46,000 LT **Gtd. $100,000 Pick 5*

(8) BETTINA HANOVER drops, figures to improve sharply in this spot, and she gets top billing. (1) TIJUANA SEELSTER was 2nd to a razor-sharp mare last time in a decent effort. She should be a threat tonight. (2) BRASH LADY made a good late charge after breaking early last start. She can be right there with these if she behaves tonight. (3) BELLA CAVALLA can sit a trip and take a small share.

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Race 2: 5YO and Younger NW1 or $7,000 LT

(3) SOUTHWIND CHARDNAY was an impressive maiden breaker and now Young takes over the driving duties. She will likely repeat at a short price. (6) MVN flashed late speed in her 4-year-old debut and now Filion takes over the lines. She is in with a decent chance tonight. (2) BUSY MAKING MONI was flying late in his second start. He should be closing for another share here. (1) FASTNET ROCK can close for anther small share.

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Race 3: Claiming $7,000

(7) R BAZINGGA drops in this second start for Auciello and he will be tough to overhaul if he clears to the front early; top call. (5) MIKES POWERHOUSE dropped and paced a big mile to win, digging in late. He should be the main danger. (3) NINE WAYS is another dropper but the $10K claimers he was in at London are comparable to this class. He should be in the exotics mix. (4) XTERNAL is worth a look on the driver change to Macdonald alone.

Race 4: 5YO and Younger NW1 or $7,000 LT Pick 4

(8) COMPLETED PROMISE is the lone three-time winner in this field and he gets a notable driver upgrade to Filion, who had a big night here on Monday; top call. (7) MISSYS A SECRET comes off a good try here and she should get an aggressive steer from Hudon; Exacta factor. (3) THELEGENDCONTINUES flashed speed before making an equipment break and he could share here is he stays trotting. (2) DONCORLEONE should follow along and take another slice in this spot.

Race 5: F&M Claiming $7,000 for NW $3,250 L5

(3) COLOSSAL FAITH raced well here on 2/2 after being off for more than two months and I'll give her the nod here in a race with no standout. (8) HAVA CONNECTION brings good form in from Flamboro and Cullen should put her into the race early; using. (2) HANNAH ON THE VIRG faced tougher last time and she is another in with a chance. (5) SWEET ROCKIN GIA should be an exotics factor vs. these.

Race 6: F&M 5YO and Younger NW1 or $7,000 LT Pick 5

(9) MOMENT IN THE SUN gets Filion for this third start and that signals "go." She should be much more aggressive and she gets top billing. (2) DAISY DAY raced well from a wide post and now she draws inside facing similar. She figures to be the main threat. (4) ROYALTY AGREEMENT closed well in her first start over this track and she can contend tonight. (6) MONI ELLEN took some action on debut, but she blew up before the start. She will need a clean line here so she will likely be carefully driven; using underneath.

Race 7: Claiming $7,000 for NW $3,150 L5

(2) BLUEMOON BAYAMA likely drops and pops facing much easier here. (4) ARTISTIC PICK should be coming late again, and he will probably be the one that the choice needs to fend off. (8) JUST PLAIN NEEDY can flash speed and stick around for a share vs. these. (3) EAST BOUND EDDIE likely sits a trip racing near the front and takes a share here.

Race 8: 5YO and Younger NW2 (F&M3) LT AE: 3YO and 4YO to be claimed for $35,000 Pick 4

(2) DUSTIN HANOVER won last time he faced NW2 and he stacks up well vs. these; top call. (3) R HOT TODDY likely would have won last time had he not ran out of racetrack. He figures to be right there again. (8) DOWNSTAIRS PARTY hasn't missed the board yet this year and Young will put him into play. He should take another share. (6) GIVE ME KARETS K will likely closed from far back for a share again.

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Race 9: F&M CLM HDCP $12,000 to $15,000

(10) CLODAM BAYAMA got embroiled in a speed battle in the third 1/4 last time which perfectly set the race up for a following rival. I'll give her the nod despite drawing widest while making her first start off the fresh Auciello claim. (8) SUNSHINEINMYPOCKET lost the battle with the choice last time, but she hung around for a share and she should be in the exotics mix. (5) LATTE SEELSTER raced well when claimed by Pereira and she is in play here. (6) P L OOOOOOOOOOYAH can improve adding Lasix tonight; using underneath.

Race 10: F&M CLM HDCP $7,000 to $8,000

(3) JMR MACH MEL would have won if she found her way out of a traffic jam sooner last time and she gets top billing here racing off the Bourassa claim. (2) E R RHONDA races off the Fellows claim and she keeps McNair, who drives her best. She should be a threat tonight. (7) RUNAWAY HEIRESS is hard to toss racing off the Moreau claim, but she tends to be a trip horse so I wouldn't take s short price. (5) CENTURY GEORGIA raced well in defeat, but the late pace was slow. I'll use her underneath.

Race 11: CLM HDCP $11,000 to $14,000

(2) BARRYS SHELBY, re-claimed by trainer Gassien following a facile Flamboro Downs win, is sharp and he gets top billing here. (5) DO YOU SEE IT was put on my watch list following his last start where he was clearly best but got an impossible trip. He has missed six weeks since, so I wouldn't take a short price. (8) THANKYAVERYMUCH drops off the Lester claim which is a move I don't love, but he is obviously good enough to beat these if he is sound and sharp. (9) WOODMERE ROLLNPOP added Lasix on Monday night in London and he jogged. He is another that merits a look here. (4) THE LEGEND HANOVER should show speed and land in the bottom of the High-5.