Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Thursday 2/15

Top Pick Stats: 74 – 250 / $369.40 (-$130.60)

Best Bets: 13 – 23 / $39.60 (-$6.40)

Spot Plays: 2 – 23 / $6.50 (-$39.50)

Best Bet: STREET ART (7TH)

Spot Play: WORKSLIKEACHARM (3RD)

Early Pick 5: 1,5/2/3,4,5/1,3,10/8,10 = $7.20

Late Pick 5: 3,4,8/4/2,7/6/1,4,5 = $3.60

Early Pick 4: 1,3,10/8,10/3,4,8/4 = $3.60

Late Pick 4: 4/2,7/6/1,4,5 = $3.60

Race 1: 5YO and younger NW1 (F&M2) or $7,000 LT AE: NW $500 L5 **Gtd. $100,000 Pick 5**

(5) CALLIXTUS HANOVER is bred to be much better than any she faces in this debut and trainer Menary, who trained her millionaire dam, also has part ownership. I’ll give her the nod in her debut. (1) DANCING DOVER looked good on cover when he jumped it off bending around the final turn last week. He is the other one that I’ll use in the early Pick 5. (7) JONNY BOOTS is in the mix every week, but he can’t seem to get the job done. I expect more of the same from him tonight. (3) STONEBRIDGE AGATE should be able to close for a share in this spot.

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Race 2: F&M 4YO and younger NW1 or $7,500 LT

(2) JACINDA raced well in defeat last week and she looks clearly best in here. She will be a Pick 5 single for me. (4) PREMIER ELSA’s debut race was decent enough to suggest that she can be an Exacta factor in this spot. I like that (3) IRELAND SEELSTER flashed speed last time, but she needs to find more late. I’ll use her underneath tonight. (6) SHE COMES AND GOES is another that should be in the mix for a small share in this spot.

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Race 3: 5YO and younger NW1 (F&M2) or $7,000 LT

(3) WORKSLIKEACHARM was airborne late in the mile last week once he found clear sailing and he simply ran out of racetrack. He has a good shot here. (5) WHEELYGOODRINKER left for position, took a bit of a shuffle then grinded first-over in a decent effort when finishing behind the choice. He looks like the main threat, and he is the second one that I’ll use in the early Pick 5. (4) FASHION CONTENDER comes off two solid efforts and he figures to be in the exotics mix here. (7) QUICK FIX flashed speed and he finished behind the top two choices. He can take another slice vs. these.

Race 4: Pop-Up series F&M CLM $8,000 Leg 3 Pick 4

(3) PROUD OF MY ROOTS raced well off the Demers claim and she will be happy to not have to face Del Diggity, who took this week off likely to avoid getting claimed before the final. She gets the nod here. (1) SHEMAKSMEFELUNREAL raced okay in here first try at this track and I could see here tripping out and notching an upset here; using. (10) BLOSSOM ONTHEBEACH can be better here in her second start off the McQueen claim, and I think the early pace will be softer this time. She is another to consider for early multi-race tickets. (8) SOUND BITE HANOVER can close for another small share in this spot.

Race 5: F&M CLM HDCP $14,000 to $18,000

(10) GOING YARD, a winner of four of her last six, is razor sharp and she has the gate speed to overcome the widest post. Drawing the 10-hole should also guarantee she offers a square price; top call. (8) SWEET LOVING is in easier here and she is another mare that is very sharp right now. She should be right there vs. these. (1) HILLBILLY JET doesn’t lose racing one level below this, but she might find some of these too tough. I’ll use her underneath on the class rise. (4) SHAKEITIFYOUGOTIT keeps taking shares at this level and she should be good for another slice.

Race 6: Pop-Up series F&M CLM $8,000 Pick 5

(3) GREYSTONE TREASURE raced better when claimed by Pereira and she gets the leading driver now. She is one of three or four mares that can win here depending on trip or pace. (8) DIALMEUP gave Del Diggity a race last week and she should be right there vs. these; using. (4) BOOKIE BABY motored late and now she gets a better post. She should get better positioning tonight and that makes her a threat. (7) SOMETHING ROYAL won well last week but this is a tougher field, and she loses J Mac. I’ll use her underneath.

Race 7: Claiming $20,000 for NW $41,500 LT Pick 4

(4) STREET ART took two wins in four days last week and he is perfectly spotted here to take another. He will be a multi-race single for me and many others. (5) SKY LOW LOW closed nicely for 3rd behind the choice last week. He can be an Exacta factor tonight. (6) THE SERPENT will likely flash speed again and he should carry it farther in this short field. He should be part of the Tri. (2) P H JIM takes frequent shares, and he is worth a look for the exotics getting Macdonald in the bike.

Race 8: 5YO and younger NW2 (F&M3) or $20,000 LT

(7) READY FOR LANDING looked good breaking his maiden last week and he has always been well-regarded by his connections. He still has upside with only five starts under his belt and I’ll give him the call to repeat. (2) MVN raced better with Filion driving in her last two starts as expected and she gets a much better post here. She is the one to fear. (9) KING FURY raced okay last time, passing a few rivals in the back half, but he draws poorly here and a small share is likely his ceiling tonight. (4) VIMY RIDGE VENTI was a game maiden-breaker, but these are tougher; small share predicted.

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Race 9: Claiming $20,000 for NW $41,500 LT

(6) CHASING GOOSEBUMPS survived a 27 3/5 third 1/4 throwdown last week and almost won in a strong performance. Anything close to a repeat of that effort will make him very hard to beat here. (7) HESTONATOR is back in a claimer where he fits best, and he can be an Exacta factor in this spot where he will likely get raced more aggressively. (4) ABC closed mildly in his first race off the shelf and he can be an exotics factor getting post relief tonight. (3) SERIOUS MOJO will likely take a following trip here and finish on the edges.

Race 10: F&M Claiming $20,000 for NW $54,500

(1) THE TURNING POINT was raced very aggressively last week and only picked off late by a rival that grabbed her cover. She can beat these with a slightly easier trip. (5) WAITINONAWOMAN is another that was raced hard, and she finished less than a length behind the choice. She gets a better post here and she is the other obvious contender in this field. (4) MISSY ROCKS made a nice late charge to get 3rd and she can take another share here. (3) POP THE BUBBLY is worth using underneath racing off the Cullen claim tonight. (2) GIMMIE A CORONA was less than two lengths behind the choice last week. She can sit a trip and land in the exotics here.