Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Thursday 1/5

Final 2022 Stats: 691-- 2063/ $3,540.20 (-$585.50)

Best Bets: 106 -- 195 / $354.10 (-$35.90)

Spot Plays: 47 -- 197 / $313.30 (-$80.70)

Best Bet: TWO FACED (3RD)

Spot Play: DO YOU SEE IT (7TH)

Early Pick 5: 2,5,7/2/1/2,3,5,10/4,5,6,9 = $9.60

Late Pick 5: 1,9,10/3/2,3,7/1,5,6/1,3,9 = $16.20

Early Pick 4: 2,3,5,10/4,5,6,9/1,9,10/3 = $9.60

Late Pick 4: 3/2,3,7/1,5,6/1,3,9 = $5.40

Race 1: 3YO Colts and Geldings NW1 or $10,000 LT **Gtd. $100,000 Pick 5**

There are a few in here that exit a race won by the impressive No Control, who just jogged. Of those, I'll side with (2) PEPPER JACK FLASH, who tried to chase that winner by going first-over on the final turn. (5) THE WILL TO PLAY had the 10-hole that night and he made a mild late close. He draws much better and Macdonald sticks with him. He has a good chance tonight. (7) DELIGHTFUL LEADER has improving form and he was 3rd to No Control on 12/22. First-time McNair in the bike tonight makes him a must-use for me. (3) BLAKESAGENT will probably flash speed and stick around for a share tonight.

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Race 2: 5YO and Younger NW1 or $9,000 LT

(2) MY ONE PERCENT was asked for nothing for the first 3/4 of a mile in his debut then he showed some good zip trotting down the lane. Drawing better here, he can get the job done in this second start. (8) ALCINA almost took her maiden win with McNair driving and now Christoforou is back in the bike. She likely closes late for another share here. (6) CADILLAC, with 10 slices in his first 13 starts, likely sits and rallies for another share tonight. (7) BARZY is another that frequently finishes in the top four that should be in the exotics mix.

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Race 3: 5YO and Younger NW1 or $7,000 LT

(1) TWO FACED impressed me rallying sharply to get up for 2nd behind a runaway winner last week and he will be a Pick 5 single here. (6) SERIOUS DRAGON got McNair, took a ton of action, then blew up at the start. He will be a threat if he stays flat tonight. (7) SERIOUS MOJO is another that broke at the start and closed some ground. He should be in the exotics mix if he behaves tonight. (4) MIKRON is worth a look for the exotics with Macdonald in the bike.

Race 4: 5YO and Younger NW2 (F&M3) or $29,000 Pick 4

Tough race to kick off the early Pick 4 here. I'll stab with (10) FLYING FORMATION, who had two starts after missing a month and should be plenty tight now. His price will be good. (2) BRASH LADY closed well after having an adventurous start last time and she figures to be a threat here; using. (3) R HOT TODDY's form is clearly improved and he looked good dominating maidens. He would be no surprise here. (5) LILYS LASS is right there every week and she should get another share tonight.

Race 5: Claiming $15,000 to $18,000 for NW $35,000 LT

(5) JITTERBUG FLIP raced well in defeat last week and now he draws much better; top call. (6) MANHATTAN JOE gets McNair for the first time, which continues to be a potent angle, and he draws best. He should be dangerous here. (9) PROMISE ME A WIN is too sharp to leave out and he should offer another good price starting from a wide post. (4) THE TWIST got a needed clean line and he can make it into the exotics now.

Race 6: F&M CLM HDCP $12,000 to $15,000 Pick 5

(10) LITTLEBEARCAT looks best but draws worst and getting the 10-hole will help her price; top call. (9) SUNSHINEINMYPOCKET has lost three of her last four to the choice, but she has been right there and she has post draw on that rival. She is in with a shot here. (1) CUSTARD SMOOTHIE is in good form for a hot barn and she's worth a look at a price tonight. (3) REYS N A ROCKET likely rallies for another share in this spot.

Race 7: CLM HDCP $8,000 Pick 4

(3) DO YOU SEE IT improved sharply in his second start following a claim and the 27 3/5 third 1/4 that he paced is a good sign. I'll take a stand and single him in this spot. (4) ROCK N ROW races off the Fellows claim and he gets Macdonald in the bike. He figures to be the one to catch. (8) AMERICAN SNIPER raced decently off the claim in a Popup race and he should be part of the exotics tonight. (5) CUTTING CLASS was better last week and I can see him landing in the bottom of the exotics at a price.

Race 8: F&M CLM HDCP $8,000 to $10,000

(5) SOMETHING ROYAL raced terrific off the Waxman claim and she should be tough to beat here. (2) KEEP WATCHING almost lasted in an effort to bottom out the field. She figures to be the one to chase down. (7) GOLDEN LEADER took a shuffle and re-rallied when 3rd to the choice. She probably sits a trip near the front and takes another slice tonight. (4) A LA MODE SEELSTER brings good form in from Flamboro. She can be part of the Tri or Super in this spot.

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Race 9: CLM HDCP $8,000 to $10,000

(5) MIKES POWERHOUSE shoots for a repeat win for a hot barn and he is the one to beat. (1) KEVNDAN FRAUDSTERS was an easy winner here the one time McNair drove and he returns with this gelding racing off the Auciello claim. He should be the main danger. (6) THUNDERING JIM went too fast, too soon last week. He can be a threat here. (3) MACHING TIME is in solid form and he figures to take a share racing from close range tonight.

Race 10: Claiming $15,000 to $18,000 for NW $81,500 LT

(1) ZIPPIDY ZOOM raced tough in defeat last week and from the inside post tonight, Jones should find him a live helmet to follow; call to upset. (9) BELECHICK is razor-sharp, the obvious one to beat, and hard to leave off multi-race tickets; using. (3) BLUEMOON BAYAMA is capable at this level and he is another one to consider for late multi-race tickets. (6) HES REALLY KEEN is worth a look for the bottom of the exotics adding Lasix tonight. (8) TUF COOPER fits this level perfectly and he is another that should be in the exotics mix.