Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Thursday 12/9

Meet Stats: 392 - 1145 / $2,092.50 (-$197.50)
Best Bets: 58 - 104 / $200.70 (-$7.30)
Spot Plays: 27 - 105 / $190.50 (-$19.50)
Best Bet: NEVER MIND N (5th)
Spot Play: CEASELESS (3rd)
Early Pick 5: 4,6,8/1,2,7/1,5,10/2,4,8/9 = $16.20
Late Pick 5: 1,3/2,9/7,8,10/3,4/1,2,3 = $14.40
Early Pick 4: 2,4,8/9/1,3/2,9 = $2.40
Late Pick 4: 2,9/7,8,10/3,4/1,2,3 = $36
Race 1: F&M CLM HDCP $8,000 to $12,000 **Guaranteed $100,000 Pick 5**
(6) MISS ROCKADALI was completely used up by the time the hit the 3/4 pole last week. In this field, she faces a far more favorable pace scenario and I'll give her the nod to bounce back. (8) ERIKAS SHADOW easily vaulted past some winded leaders in that race and she should be the one to fend off. I wouldn't be surprised if she gets asked to leave much quicker tonight; using. (4) BLINK AND GONE raced much better last week when coming off a break and she is worth using in the Pick 5 tonight. (5) STREAKAZANA can take a share here racing off the Moreau claim.
[DRF HARNESS: Get Harness Eye PPs for this card]
Race 2: Pop Up Event Consolation
(2) TAKEYOURBREATHAWAY raced decently in both preliminary legs and from a good post she should be able to beat this group; top call. (1) CONTROL THE THONG will likely get an aggressive steer from Drury tonight and she could prove tough to catch if she gets a breather; using. (7) WHISTYS PARADISE produced her best effort in a while last week and she would be no surprise tonight; using. (4) CL SPORTSEXTREME should be good for a small share in this spot.
Race 3: F&M CLM $15,000 for NW $26,000 LT
(10) CEASELESS comes in off a sharp win in fast time at Flamboro Downs and this isn't a tough spot. I can see her going down the road here. (1) NOTHINGCOMPARESTOU should get a good trip racing near the front and she is in with a good chance tonight; using. (5) DELIMAS' good late speed should play well in this spot and she could add some value to the Pick 5. (7) MARETRAFFICCONTROL should improve enough on the class drop to take a share tonight.
[DRF BETS: Wager on tonight's Mohawk Park card at DRF Bets.com!]
Race 4: F&M 4YO and Younger NW1 or $8,100 LT - Pick 4
(4) ADDICTIVEBEHAVIOUR will likely get hammered at the windows off her good debut effort and she should get a more aggressive steer tonight; top call. (2) MEILLEUR FROMAGE moved up with Macdonald in the bike last week and he sticks. She should be in the hunt again tonight. (8) INTOTHEMYSTICMOON disappointed as the chalk last week but she is capable of better if she isn't first up this time; using. (3) BOOM SAUCE has been off more that a month since failing as the 4 to 5 favorite. I'll use her underneath tonight.
Race 5: Pop Up Event Final
(9) NEVER MIND N has been dominant in the first two legs of this series and he should get a sweep tonight. (5) WHAT A RUSH looked good mowing down his rivals in the lane last week and he can close for another good piece here. (3) PHEONIX and (4) RYDGEMONT SON N are both capable but they made bad breaks before the start last week so I'd demand a price if you are sticking with either of them.
Race 6: 2YO NW1 or $7,000 LT - Pick 5
(3) CHUCKY HANOVER raced well last week but one rival was just a bit better. He should have a great chance to graduate tonight. (1) SIP OF BOURBON was first up in that race and the final 1/4 was the quickest, which played against him. He could sit in the choice's pocket tonight. That makes him a threat. (4) GOOD TO GO raced better last week and he could hit the board here at a price. (5) DAVIDS IDEAL frequently finishes on the edges. I'll use him on the bottom of the exotics this time.
Race 7: Pop Up Event Consolation - Pick 4
This is a good spot for (9) MUSCLES FOREVER to blast to the front and lead all the way; top call. (2) HORSE TRADER gets Filion for a second straight drive and it looks like he chose him over the choice. He should be a threat tonight. (7) MAGICS WIZARD was 2nd to a dominant winner last week and he should be in the exotics mix again tonight; using underneath. (3) TUCKERS OUT can close for another small share.
Race 8: CLM HDCP $8,000 to $10,000
(8) MISSION THREE was a sharp winner here last week and this spot is no tougher; call to repeat. (10) ROYALE BIG GUY gets a key driver change to McNair tonight and he should enter contention despite drawing wide; using. (7) OUTLAW GUNPOWDER is gritty and consistent and he is hard to leave out of the exotics in this spot. (6) EAST BOUND EDDIE, 2nd to the choice at huge odds last week, can close for another share tonight.
Race 9: CLM $17,500 for NW $42,500
(4) SONIC FLARE made a huge recovery after breaking last week and he should be tough vs. these if he stays flat tonight. (3) WILLIAM ROSS gets away from the red-hot Elroy Shiner this week and he should be a big threat in this spot; using. (7) MACHED UP should get positioned near the front leaving the gate tonight and he can land in the Tri. (1) G A SPEED JOEY should get a good following trip and land a share.
Race 10: Pop Up Event Final
(1) BIG MYRTLE was perfectly prepared for this final and she comes into it peaking; top call. (2) GREYSTONE NATALI O shoots for the series sweep and McNair has been a good partner for her. She is hard to leave out of the late multi-race bets. (3) FILTER HANOVER should be more aggressive tonight and she has upset potential. (10) JUST MY SHADOW needed a lot of motivation from Henry to get into the race last week. She is one that I will play to beat from the 10-hole tonight. (6) SHEMARS LADY HAVOC is racing well for the leading driver. She should be in the exotics mix.

